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The expectation maximization (EM) algorithm is a widespread method for empirical Bayesian inference, but its expectation step (E-step) is often intractable. Employing a stochastic approximation scheme with Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC)…

Computation · Statistics 2024-02-29 Samuel Gruffaz , Kyurae Kim , Alain Oliviero Durmus , Jacob R. Gardner

Although Gillespie's algorithm is justified under a set of axioms based on the assumption of homogeneity of the system, many chemical systems deviate from this assumption, as is the case for reactions taking place in low-mobility media.…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2024-05-08 José Bastardo , Ney Luiggi

Fitting stochastic kinetic models represented by Markov jump processes within the Bayesian paradigm is complicated by the intractability of the observed data likelihood. There has therefore been considerable attention given to the design of…

Computation · Statistics 2017-08-04 Andrew Golightly , Theodore Kypraios

The stochastic simulation algorithm (SSA) is widely used to perform exact forward simulation of discrete stochastic processes in biology. However, the computational cost, driven by sequential event-by-event sampling across large ensembles,…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2026-05-04 Tom Kimpson , Mark B. Flegg , Jennifer A. Flegg

The hybrid Monte Carlo (HMC) algorithm is arguably the most efficient sampling method for general probability distributions of continuous variables. Together with exact Fourier acceleration (EFA) the HMC becomes equivalent to direct…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2025-07-23 Johann Ostmeyer

A new stochastic number projection method is proposed. The component of the BCS wave function corresponding to the right number of particles is obtained by means of a Metropolis algorithm in which the weight functions are constructed from…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2009-10-31 Roberto Capote , Augusto Gonzalez

To minimise systematic errors in Monte Carlo simulations of charged particles, long range electrostatic interactions have to be calculated accurately and efficiently. Standard approaches, such as Ewald summation or the naive application of…

Computational Physics · Physics 2021-02-24 William Robert Saunders , James Grant , Eike Hermann Müller

We present a new multiple-try Metropolis-Hastings algorithm designed to be especially beneficial when a tailored proposal distribution is available. The algorithm is based on a given acyclic graph $G$, where one of the nodes in $G$, $k$…

Computation · Statistics 2018-07-06 Xin Luo , Håkon Tjelmeland

Tau leaping is a popular method for performing fast approximate simulation of certain continuous time Markov chain models typically found in chemistry and biochemistry. This method is known to perform well when the transition rates satisfy…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-09 Ross McVinish , Liam Hodgkinson

In this work, we consider the problem of estimating summary statistics to characterise biochemical reaction networks of interest. Such networks are often described using the framework of the Chemical Master Equation (CME). For…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2018-11-27 Christopher Lester , Christian A. Yates , Ruth E. Baker

In statistical data assimilation (SDA) and supervised machine learning (ML), we wish to transfer information from observations to a model of the processes underlying those observations. For SDA, the model consists of a set of differential…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-01-22 Zheng Fang , Adrian S. Wong , Kangbo Hao , Alexander J. A. Ty , Henry D. I. Abarbanel

This paper is a study on solutions of the Sample Average Approximation Method to solve compound stochastic programs. We derive nonasymptotic upper estimates for probabilities of the approximation errors. The results depend on the sample…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-08-29 Volker Kratschmer

The Metropolis-Hastings algorithm is a cornerstone of Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods, underpinning a wide range of applications in computational physics, Bayesian inference, and machine learning. Quantum variants of Metropolis-Hastings…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-05-07 Miguel Carrasco-Arango , Rosa M. Badia , Artur Garcia-Saez

We address the problem of simulation and parameter inference for chemical reaction networks described by the chemical Langevin equation, a stochastic differential equation (SDE) representation of the dynamics of the chemical species. This…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-18 Petar Jovanovski , Andrew Golightly , Umberto Picchini , Massimiliano Tamborrino

The missing data issue often complicates the task of estimating generalized linear models (GLMs). We describe why the pseudo-marginal Metropolis-Hastings algorithm, used in this setting, is an effective strategy for parameter estimation.…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-23 Taylor R. Brown , Timothy L. McMurry , Alexander Langevin

We investigate the potential of numerical algorithms to decipher the kinetic parameters involved in multi-step chemical reactions. To this end we study a dimerization kinetics of protein as a model system. We follow the dimerization…

Biological Physics · Physics 2014-12-24 Srijeeta Talukder , Shrabani Sen , Ralf Metzler , Suman K Banik , Pinaki Chaudhury

This work introduces a stochastic hierarchical optimization framework inspired by Sloppy Model theory for the efficient calibration of physical models. Central to this method is the use of a reduced Hessian approximation, which identifies…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-06 José Afonso , Vasco Guerra , Pedro Viegas

Given a target distribution $\mu \propto e^{-\mathcal{H}}$ to sample from with Hamiltonian $\mathcal{H}$, in this paper we propose and analyze new Metropolis-Hastings sampling algorithms that target an alternative distribution…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-30 Michael C. H. Choi , Jing Zhang

The multiple-try Metropolis (MTM) algorithm is an extension of the Metropolis-Hastings (MH) algorithm by selecting the proposed state among multiple trials according to some weight function. Although MTM has gained great popularity owing to…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-17 Hyunwoong Chang , Changwoo J. Lee , Zhao Tang Luo , Huiyan Sang , Quan Zhou

Reaction-diffusion models are widely used to study spatially-extended chemical reaction systems. In order to understand how the dynamics of a reaction-diffusion model are affected by changes in its input parameters, efficient methods for…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2017-03-08 Christopher Lester , Christian A. Yates , Ruth E. Baker
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