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We construct `self-stabilizing' processes {Z(t), t $\in [t_0,t_1)$}. These are random processes which when `localized', that is scaled around t to a fine limit, have the distribution of an $\alpha$(Z(t))-stable process, where $\alpha$ is…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-10 K. J. Falconer , J. Lévy Véhel

In a common experimental setting, the behaviour of a noisy dynamical system is monitored in response to manipulations of one or more control parameters. Here, we introduce a structured model to describe parametric changes in qualitative…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-07-05 Gergo Bohner , Maneesh Sahani

We study the stability of posterior predictive inferences to the specification of the likelihood model and perturbations of the data generating process. In modern big data analyses, useful broad structural judgements may be elicited from…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-30 Jack Jewson , Jim Q. Smith , Chris Holmes

In this paper, we develop invariance-based procedures for testing and inference in high-dimensional regression models. These procedures, also known as randomization tests, provide several important advantages. First, for the global null…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-27 Wenxuan Guo , Panos Toulis

Gaussian process emulators of computationally expensive computer codes provide fast statistical approximations to model physical processes. The training of these surrogates depends on the set of design points chosen to run the simulator.…

Computation · Statistics 2016-08-16 A. Garbuno-Inigo , F. A. DiazDelaO , K. M. Zuev

The first passage time process of a L\'evy subordinator with heavy-tailed L\'evy measure has long-range dependent paths. The random fluctuations that appear under two natural schemes of summation and time scaling of such stochastic…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-04-02 Ingemar Kaj , Anders Martin-Löf

This paper studies alpha testing in a high-dimensional conditional time-varying factor model with temporally dependent observations. Both factor loadings and alpha processes are allowed to vary smoothly over time, and the cross-sectional…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-16 Long Feng , Huifang Ma , Zhaojun Wang

We introduce a maximal inequality for a local empirical process under strongly mixing data. Local empirical processes are defined as the (local) averages $\frac{1}{nh}\sum_{i=1}^n \mathbf{1}\{x - h \leq X_i \leq x+h\}f(Z_i)$, where $f$…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-07-06 Luis Alvarez , Cristine Pinto

This paper presents a sharp approximation of the density of long runs of a random walk conditioned on its end value or by an average of a functions of its summands as their number tends to infinity. The conditioning event is of moderate or…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-06-14 Michel Broniatowski , Virgile Caron

We consider the estimation of large covariance and precision matrices from high-dimensional sub-Gaussian or heavier-tailed observations with slowly decaying temporal dependence. The temporal dependence is allowed to be long-range so with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-23 Hai Shu , Bin Nan

Gaussian process regression in its most simplified form assumes normal homoscedastic noise and utilizes analytically tractable mean and covariance functions of predictive posterior distribution using Gaussian conditioning. Its…

Applications · Statistics 2023-01-20 Pooja Algikar , Lamine Mili

We propose a novel estimation approach for a general class of semi-parametric time series models where the conditional expectation is modeled through a parametric function. The proposed class of estimators is based on a Gaussian…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-21 Mirko Armillotta , Paolo Gorgi

Gaussian process state-space models (GPSSMs) provide a principled and flexible approach to modeling the dynamics of a latent state, which is observed at discrete-time points via a likelihood model. However, inference in GPSSMs is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-18 Xuhui Fan , Edwin V. Bonilla , Terence J. O'Kane , Scott A. Sisson

Post-selected weak measurement has been widely used in experiments to observe weak effects in various physical systems. However, it is still unclear how large the amplification ability of a weak measurement can be and what determines the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2014-07-17 Shengshi Pang , Todd A. Brun , Shengjun Wu , Zeng-Bing Chen

In this paper we present the asymptotic analysis of the realised quadratic variation for multivariate symmetric $\beta$-stable L\'evy processes, $\beta \in (0,2)$, and certain pure jump semimartingales. The main focus is on derivation of…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-07 Johannes Heiny , Mark Podolskij

In this paper we develop and study adaptive empirical Bayesian smoothing splines. These are smoothing splines with both smoothing parameter and penalty order determined via the empirical Bayes method from the marginal likelihood of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-11-18 Paulo Serra , Tatyana Krivobokova

We consider a measure of dependence for symmetric $\alpha$-stable random vectors, which was introduced by the author in 1976. We demonstrate that this measure of dependence can be extended for much more broad class of random vectors (up to…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-11-05 Vygantas Paulauskas

We propose an extensive simulation study to compare some variable selection procedures in a high-dimensional framework. Assuming that the relationship between the actives variables and the response variable is linear, the high-dimensional…

Applications · Statistics 2025-03-21 Perrine Lacroix , Mélina Gallopin , Marie-Laure Martin

We consider a system of diffusing particles on the real line in a quadratic external potential and with repulsive electrostatic interaction. The empirical measure process is known to converge weakly to a deterministic measure-valued process…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-03-23 Martin Bender

The empirical copula has proved to be useful in the construction and understanding of many statistical procedures related to dependence within random vectors. The empirical beta copula is a smoothed version of the empirical copula that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-12 Betina Berghaus , Johan Segers