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Likelihood-free methods, such as approximate Bayesian computation, are powerful tools for practical inference problems with intractable likelihood functions. Markov chain Monte Carlo and sequential Monte Carlo variants of approximate…

Computation · Statistics 2019-02-26 David J. Warne , Ruth E. Baker , Matthew J. Simpson

In this article, we present a review of the recent developments on the topic of Multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) algorithm, in the paradigm of applications in financial engineering. We specifically focus on the recent studies conducted in two…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-09-30 Devang Sinha , Siddhartha P. Chakrabarty

This article analyzes and compares two general techniques of rare event simulation for generating paths of Markov processes over fixed time horizons: exponential tilting and stochastic bridge. These two methods allow to accurately compute…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-08-27 Javier Aguilar , Riccardo Gatto

We develop a penalized two-pass regression with time-varying factor loadings. The penalization in the first pass enforces sparsity for the time-variation drivers while also maintaining compatibility with the no-arbitrage restrictions by…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-08-02 Gaetan Bakalli , Stéphane Guerrier , Olivier Scaillet

We apply the Monte Carlo method to solving the Dirichlet problem of linear parabolic equations with fractional Laplacian. This method exploit- s the idea of weak approximation of related stochastic differential equations driven by the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-10-28 Caiyu Jiao , Changpin Li

In this article, we consider multilevel Monte Carlo for the numerical computation of expectations for stochastic differential equations driven by L\'{e}vy processes. The underlying numerical schemes are based on jump-adapted Euler schemes.…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-02 Steffen Dereich , Sangmeng Li

In this paper we discuss the possibility of using multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) methods for weak approximation schemes. It turns out that by means of a simple coupling between consecutive time discretisation levels, one can achieve the same…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-10-07 Denis Belomestny , Tigran Nagapetyan

While multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) methods for the numerical approximation of partial differential equations with random coefficients enjoy great popularity, combinations with spatial adaptivity seem to be rare. We present an adaptive MLMC…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-12-20 Ralf Kornhuber , Evgenia Youett

We show that exact sampling of the first passage event can be done for a Levy process with unbounded variation, if the process can be embedded in a subordinated standard Brownian motion. By sampling a series of first exit events of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-22 Zhiyi Chi

We consider one-dimensional discrete-time random walks (RWs) with arbitrary symmetric and continuous jump distributions $f(\eta)$, including the case of L\'evy flights. We study the expected maximum ${\mathbb E}[M_n]$ of bridge RWs, i.e.,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-08-30 Benjamin De Bruyne , Satya N. Majumdar , Gregory Schehr

We propose a modification, based on the RESTART (repetitive simulation trials after reaching thresholds) and DPR (dynamics probability redistribution) rare event simulation algorithms, of the standard diffusion Monte Carlo (DMC) algorithm.…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-04-10 Martin Hairer , Jonathan Weare

Sampling from a log-concave distribution function is one core problem that has wide applications in Bayesian statistics and machine learning. While most gradient free methods have slow convergence rate, the Langevin Monte Carlo (LMC) that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-23 Zhiyan Ding , Qin Li

The lifted Heston model is a stochastic volatility model emerging as a Markovian lift of the rough Heston model and the class of rough volatility processes. The model encodes the path dependency of volatility on a set of N square-root state…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-13 Nicola F. Zaugg , Lech A. Grzelak

This paper provides an exact simulation algorithm for the sampling from the joint law of the first-passage time, the undershoot and the overshoot of a subordinator crossing a non-increasing boundary. We prove that the running time of this…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-15 Jorge Ignacio González Cázares , Feng Lin , Aleksandar Mijatović

Hamiltonian Flow Monte Carlo(HFMC) methods have been implemented in engineering, biology and chemistry. HFMC makes large gradient based steps to rapidly explore the state space. The application of the Hamiltonian dynamics allows to estimate…

Computation · Statistics 2017-09-06 Raphael Douady , Shohruh Miryusupov

We present a novel preference learning framework to capture participant preferences efficiently within limited interaction rounds. It involves three main contributions. First, we develop a variational Bayesian approach to infer the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-20 Yan Wang , Jiapeng Liu , Milosz Kadziński , Xiuwu Liao

A resampling scheme provides a way to switch low-weight particles for sequential Monte Carlo with higher-weight particles representing the objective distribution. The less the variance of the weight distribution is, the more concentrated…

Computation · Statistics 2023-09-19 Xiongming Dai , Gerald Baumgartner

This paper focuses on the study of an original combination of the Multilevel Monte Carlo method introduced by Giles [10] and the popular importance sampling technique. To compute the optimal choice of the parameter involved in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-05 Mohamed Ben Alaya , Kaouther Hajji , Ahmed Kebaier

The L\'evy walk process with rests is discussed. The jumping time is governed by an $\alpha$-stable distribution with $\alpha>1$ while a waiting time distribution is Poissonian and involves a position-dependent rate which reflects a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-10-11 A. Kamińska , T. Srokowski

We introduce an algorithm for the pricing of finite expiry American options driven by L\'evy processes. The idea is to tweak Carr's `Canadisation' method, cf. Carr [9] (see also Bouchard et al [5]), in such a way that the adjusted algorithm…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-04-17 Florian Kleinert , Kees van Schaik