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By analyzing a southern California earthquake catalog, Davidsen and Paczuski [Phys. Rev. Lett. 94, 048501 (2005)] claim to have found evidence contradicting the theory of aftershock zone scaling in favor of scale-free statistics. We present…

Geophysics · Physics 2009-11-13 M. J. Werner , D. Sornette

We propose a new metric to quantify the correlation between any two earthquakes. The metric consists of a product involving the time interval and spatial distance between two events, as well as the magnitude of the first one. According to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Marco Baiesi , Maya Paczuski

Spatiotemporal clustering of earthquake events is a generally-established fact, and is important for designing models and assessment techniques in seismicity. Here, we investigate how this behavior can manifest in the statistical…

Geophysics · Physics 2013-07-08 Rene C. Batac , Holger Kantz

We quantify the correlation between earthquakes and use the same to distinguish between relevant causally connected earthquakes. Our correlation metric is a variation on the one introduced by Baiesi and Paczuski (2004). A network of…

Geophysics · Physics 2015-05-18 T. R. Krishna Mohan , P. G. Revathi

We discuss various statistical distributions of earthquake numbers. Previously we derived several discrete distributions to describe earthquake numbers for the branching model of earthquake occurrence: these distributions are the Poisson,…

Geophysics · Physics 2010-11-24 Yan Y. Kagan

Scale-invariant avalanches -- with events of all sizes following power-law distributions -- are considered critical. Above the upper critical dimension of four, the mean-field solution with a robust $3/2$ size exponent describes the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-02-03 K. Duplat , A. Douin , O. Ramos

Event datasets are sequences of events of various types occurring irregularly over the time-line, and they are increasingly prevalent in numerous domains. Existing work for modeling events using conditional intensities rely on either using…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-25 Tian Gao , Dharmashankar Subramanian , Karthikeyan Shanmugam , Debarun Bhattacharjya , Nicholas Mattei

While deep learning models have seen recent high uptake in the geosciences, and are appealing in their ability to learn from minimally processed input data, as black box models they do not provide an easy means to understand how a decision…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-03 Akshat Goel , Denise Gorse

A new surface-rupture-length ($SRL$) relationship as a function of magnitude ($\mathbf{M}$), fault thickness, and fault dip angle is presented in this paper. The objective of this study is to model the change in scaling between unbounded…

We have revisited the non-conserved (or model A) critical dynamics of the two-dimensional Ising model through numerical simulations of its lattice and continuum formulations --Glauber dynamics and the timedependent Ginzburg-Landau (TDGL)…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-12-02 Héctor Vaquero del Pino , Rodolfo Cuerno

In this paper, we propose a new dynamical model to study the two-stage volatility evolution of stock market index after extreme events, and find that the volatility after extreme events follows a stretched exponential decay in the initial…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-01-11 Mei-Ling Cai , Zhang-HangJian Chen , Sai-Ping Li , Xiong Xiong , Wei Zhang , Ming-Yuan Yang , Fei Ren

In this work the data of the earthquake catalog of the NOAA, National Geophysical Data Center (NGDC) are processed in terms of global seismic energy release. The determined Global Cumulative Seismic Energy Release (GCSER) graph as a…

Geophysics · Physics 2012-10-03 C. Thanassoulas , V. Klentos , G. Verveniotis , N. Zymaris

Contrary to common belief, as the time since the last earthquake in a certain region increases, the risk of occurrence of another earthquake diminishes. As a consequence, the expected waiting time to the next event increases with the…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-10 Alvaro Corral

The paper investigates a discrete time Binomial risk model with different types of polices and shock events may influence some of the claim sizes. It is shown that this model can be considered as a particular case of the classical compound…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-12 Pavlina K. Jordanova , Evelina Veleva

We review the developments of the statistical physics of fracture and earthquake over the last four decades. We argue that major progress has been made in this field and that the key concepts should now become integral part of the (under-)…

History and Philosophy of Physics · Physics 2017-12-21 Bikas K. Chakrabarti

We develop a statistical method for identifying induced seismicity from large datasets and apply the method to decades of wastewater disposal and seismicity data in California and Oklahoma. The method is robust against a variety of…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-02-27 Mark McClure , Riley Gibson , Kitkwan Chiu , Rajesh Ranganath

Automatic event detection from time series signals has wide applications, such as abnormal event detection in video surveillance and event detection in geophysical data. Traditional detection methods detect events primarily by the use of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-09-26 Yue Wu , Youzuo Lin , Zheng Zhou , David Chas Bolton , Ji Liu , Paul Johnson

The empirical Bath's law is derived from the magnitude-difference statistical distribution of earthquake pairs. The pair distribution related to earthquake correlations is presented. The single-event distribution of dynamically correlated…

Geophysics · Physics 2020-06-16 Bogdan Felix Apostol

Previous papers have outlined nowcasting methods to track the current state of earthquake hazard using only observed seismic catalogs. The basis for one of these methods, the "counting method", is the Gutenberg-Richter (GR)…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-10-20 John B Rundle , Ian Baughman , Andrea Donnellan , Lisa Grant , Geoffrey Fox

We demonstrate the efficacy of a Bayesian statistical inversion framework for reconstructing the likely characteristics of large pre-instrumentation earthquakes from historical records of tsunami observations. Our framework is designed and…