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This paper proposes a new class of nonparametric tests for the correct specification of models based on conditional moment restrictions, paying particular attention to generalized propensity score models. The test procedure is based on two…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-04-18 Pedro H. C. Sant'Anna , Xiaojun Song

We consider the problem of hypothesis testing in the situation where the first hypothesis is simple and the second one is local one-sided composite. We describe the choice of the thresholds and the power functions of different tests when…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-02-25 Serguei Dachian , Yury Kutoyants , Lin Yang

The steadily increasing size of scientific Monte Carlo simulations and the desire for robust, correct, and reproducible results necessitates rigorous testing procedures for scientific simulations in order to detect numerical problems and…

Computational Physics · Physics 2018-01-08 Markus Wallerberger , Emanuel Gull

We consider parameter estimation, hypothesis testing and variable selection for partially time-varying coefficient models. Our asymptotic theory has the useful feature that it can allow dependent, nonstationary error and covariate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-08-20 Ting Zhang , Wei Biao Wu

Statistical hypothesis tests typically use prespecified sample sizes, yet data often arrive sequentially. Interim analyses invalidate classical error guarantees, while existing sequential methods require rigid testing preschedules or incur…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-17 Chris Holmes , Stephen Walker

We generalize the method of surrogate data of testing for nonlinearity in time series to the case that the data are sampled with uneven time intervals. The null hypothesis will be that the data have been generated by a linear stochastic…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-31 Andreas Schmitz , Thomas Schreiber

We consider the problem of determining feasible systems from a finite set of simulated alternatives with respect to probability constraints, where the observations from stochastic simulations are Bernoulli distributed. Most statistically…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-27 Taehoon Kim , Sigrun Andradottir , Seong-Hee Kim , Yuwei Zhou

Symmetry plays a central role in the sciences, machine learning, and statistics. For situations in which data are known to obey a symmetry, a multitude of methods that exploit symmetry have been developed. Statistical tests for the presence…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-24 Kenny Chiu , Benjamin Bloem-Reddy

We consider the issue of performing accurate small sample inference in beta autoregressive moving average model, which is useful for modeling and forecasting continuous variables that assumes values in the interval $(0,1)$. The inferences…

Computation · Statistics 2017-02-16 Bruna Gregory Palm , Fábio M. Bayer

We consider network autoregressive models for count data with a non-random neighborhood structure. The main methodological contribution is the development of conditions that guarantee stability and valid statistical inference for such…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-20 Mirko Armillotta , Konstantinos Fokianos

In this article, we study tests of independence for data with arbitrary distributions in the non-serial case, i.e., for independent and identically distributed random vectors, as well as in the serial case, i.e., for time series. These…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-13 Bouchra R. Nasri , Bruno N. Remillard

This study aims to evaluate the performance of power in the likelihood ratio test for changepoint detection by bootstrap sampling, and proposes a hypothesis test based on bootstrapped confidence interval lengths. Assuming i.i.d normally…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-10 Ryan Chen , Javier Cabrera

Economic data are often generated by stochastic processes that take place in continuous time, though observations may occur only at discrete times. For example, electricity and gas consumption take place in continuous time. Data generated…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-06-15 Federico A. Bugni , Joel L. Horowitz

Monte Carlo methods can provide accurate p-value estimates of word counting test statistics and are easy to implement. They are especially attractive when an asymptotic theory is absent or when either the search sequence or the word pattern…

Applications · Statistics 2008-12-01 Hock Peng Chan , Nancy R. Zhang , Louis H. Y. Chen

Existing approaches to model uncertainty typically either compare models using a quantitative model selection criterion or evaluate posterior model probabilities having set a prior. In this paper, we propose an alternative strategy which…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-26 Vik Shirvaikar , Stephen G. Walker , Chris Holmes

Consider an observation of a multivariate temporal point process $N$ with law $\mathcal P$ on the time interval $[0,T]$. To test the null hypothesis that $\mathcal P$ belongs to a given parametric family, we construct a convergent…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-26 Justin Baars , Sami Umut Can , Roger J. A. Laeven

A validated simulation model primarily requires performing an appropriate input analysis mainly by determining the behavior of real-world processes using probability distributions. In many practical cases, probability distributions of the…

Applications · Statistics 2014-03-05 Issac Shams , Saeede Ajorlou , Kai Yang

The hypothesis of randomness is fundamental in statistical machine learning and in many areas of nonparametric statistics; it says that the observations are assumed to be independent and coming from the same unknown probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-08 Vladimir Vovk

Permutation entropy has become a standard tool for time series analysis that exploits the temporal properties of these data sets. Many current applications use an approach based on Shannon entropy, which implicitly assumes an underlying…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-14 Daryl DeFord , Katherine Moore

In this paper, we obtain a new characterization result for symmetric distributions based on the entropy measure. Using the characterization, we propose a nonparametric test to test the symmetry of a distribution. We also develop the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-14 Ganesh Vishnu Avhad , Ananya Lahiri , Sudheesh K. Kattumannil
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