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Related papers: Estimating the Tail Index by using Model Averaging

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Ensemble methods are widely employed to improve generalization in machine learning. This has also prompted the adoption of ensemble learning for the knowledge graph embedding (KGE) models in performing link prediction. Typical approaches to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-30 Rupesh Sapkota , Caglar Demir , Arnab Sharma , Axel-Cyrille Ngonga Ngomo

The normal distribution and its perturbation has left an immense mark on the statistical literature. Hence, several generalized forms were developed to model different skewness, kurtosis, and body shapes. However, it is not easy to…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-12-10 Matthias Wagener , Mohammad Arashi

Heavy tailed phenomena are naturally analyzed by extreme value statistics. A crucial step in such an analysis is the estimation of the extreme value index, which describes the tail heaviness of the underlying probability distribution. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-18 Hanan Ahmed , John H. J. Einmahl

The number of triangles in a graph is useful to deduce a plethora of important features of the network that the graph is modeling. However, finding the exact value of this number is computationally expensive. Hence, a number of…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2017-10-30 Duru Türkoğlu , Ata Turk

A general method to combine several estimators of the same quantity is investigated. In the spirit of model and forecast averaging, the final estimator is computed as a weighted average of the initial ones, where the weights are constrained…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-05-26 Frédéric Lavancier , Paul Rochet

Statistical multispecies models of multiarea marine ecosystems use a variety of data sources to estimate parameters using composite or weighted likelihood functions with associated weighting issues and questions on how to obtain variance…

Applications · Statistics 2012-02-16 Lorna Taylor , Verena M. Trenkel , Vojtech Kupca , Gunnar Stefansson

In the study of heavy tail data, several models have been introduced. If the interest is in the tail of the distribution, block maxima or excess over thresholds are the typical approaches, wasting relevant information in the bulk of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-10 Luis E. Nieto-Barajas

The odds ratio measure is used in health and social surveys where the odds of a certain event is to be compared between two populations. It is defined using logistic regression, and requires that data from surveys are accompanied by their…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-07-01 C. Goga , A Ruiz-Gazen

The Heuristic Ratio Estimation (HRE) approach proposes a new way of using the pairwise comparisons matrix. It allows the assumption that the weights of some alternatives (herein referred to as concepts) are known and fixed, hence the weight…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2015-09-25 Konrad Kułakowski

This paper proposes a scoring-rule-based method for ranking predictive distributions in the Fr\'echet domain that is able to distinguish between different tail indices. The approach is built on normalized order statistics and exploits…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-26 Martin Bladt , Christoffer Øhlenschlæger

In M-open problems where no true model can be conceptualized, it is common to back off from modeling and merely seek good prediction. Even in M-complete problems, taking a predictive approach can be very useful. Stacking is a model…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-02-17 Tri Le , Bertrand Clarke

Learning individualized treatment rules (ITRs) is an important topic in precision medicine. Current literature mainly focuses on deriving ITRs from a single source population. We consider the observational data setting when the source…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-07-04 Rui Chen , Jared D. Huling , Guanhua Chen , Menggang Yu

We consider the problem of constructing an adaptive bridge regression modeling, which is a penalized procedure by imposing different weights to different coefficients in the bridge penalty term. A crucial issue in the modeling process is…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-02-15 Shuichi Kawano

Graphs are used to model interactions in a variety of contexts, and there is a growing need to quickly assess the structure of such graphs. Some of the most useful graph metrics are based on triangles, such as those measuring social…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2014-10-21 C. Seshadhri , Ali Pinar , Tamara G. Kolda

Standard inference about a scalar parameter estimated via GMM amounts to applying a t-test to a particular set of observations. If the number of observations is not very large, then moderately heavy tails can lead to poor behavior of the…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-07-15 Ulrich K. Mueller

Overweight and obesity remain a major global public health concern and identifying the individualized patterns that increase the risk of future weight gains has a crucial role in preventing obesity and numerous sub-sequent diseases…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-09 Mina Samizadeh , Jessica C Jones-Smith , Bethany Sheridan , Rahmatollah Beheshti

We use extreme value theory to estimate the probability of successive exceedances of a threshold value of a time-series of an observable on several classes of chaotic dynamical systems. The observables have either a Fr\'echet (fat-tailed)…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-11-07 Meagan Carney , Mark Holland , Matthew Nicol , Phuong Tran

Targeted maximum likelihood estimation (TMLE) is a general method for estimating parameters in semiparametric and nonparametric models. Each iteration of TMLE involves fitting a parametric submodel that targets the parameter of interest. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-06-03 Iván Díaz , Michael Rosenblum

Model averaging is an alternative to model selection for dealing with model uncertainty, which is widely used and very valuable. However, most of the existing model averaging methods are proposed based on the least squares loss function,…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-29 Miaomiao Wang , Guohua Zou

In the mixture models problem it is assumed that there are $K$ distributions $\theta_{1},\ldots,\theta_{K}$ and one gets to observe a sample from a mixture of these distributions with unknown coefficients. The goal is to associate instances…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-12-02 Jason D Lee , Ran Gilad-Bachrach , Rich Caruana
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