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Consider a family of portfolio strategies with the aim of achieving the asymptotic growth rate of the best one. The idea behind Cover's universal portfolio is to build a wealth-weighted average which can be viewed as a buy-and-hold…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-12-13 Ting-Kam Leonard Wong

Algorithms which compute locally optimal continuous designs often rely on a finite design space or on repeatedly solving a complex non-linear program. Both methods require extensive evaluations of the Jacobian Df of the underlying model.…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-18 Philipp Seufert , Jan Schwientek , Michael Bortz

This paper investigates optimal portfolio strategies in a financial market where the drift of the stock returns is driven by an unobserved Gaussian mean reverting process. Information on this process is obtained from observing stock returns…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-03-15 Abdelali Gabih , Hakam Kondakji , Jörn Sass , Ralf Wunderlich

More than seventy years ago Harry Markowitz formulated portfolio construction as an optimization problem that trades off expected return and risk, defined as the standard deviation of the portfolio returns. Since then the method has been…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-01-11 Stephen Boyd , Kasper Johansson , Ronald Kahn , Philipp Schiele , Thomas Schmelzer

We study conformal inference in non-exchangeable environments through the lens of Blackwell's theory of approachability. We first recast adaptive conformal inference (ACI, Gibbs and Cand\`es, 2021) as a repeated two-player vector-valued…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-20 Guillaume Principato , Gilles Stoltz

Although the log-likelihood is widely used in model selection, the log-likelihood ratio has had few applications in this area. We develop a log-likelihood ratio based method for selecting regression models by focusing on the set of models…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-28 Min Tsao

Log-linear models are a well-established method for describing statistical dependencies among a set of n random variables. The observed frequencies of the n-tuples are explained by a joint probability such that its logarithm is a sum of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Daniel Herrmann , Dominik Janzing

Blackwell's celebrated approachability theory provides a general framework for a variety of learning problems, including regret minimization. However, Blackwell's proof and implicit algorithm measure approachability using the $\ell_2$…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-06 Christoph Dann , Yishay Mansour , Mehryar Mohri , Jon Schneider , Balasubramanian Sivan

We consider the mean--variance portfolio optimization problem under the game theoretic framework and without risk-free assets. The problem is solved semi-explicitly by applying the extended Hamilton--Jacobi--Bellman equation. Although the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-02-17 Chi Kin Lam , Yuhong Xu , Guosheng Yin

Automated investment managers, or robo-advisors, have emerged as an alternative to traditional financial advisors. The viability of robo-advisors crucially depends on their ability to offer personalized financial advice. We introduce a…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-11-25 Agostino Capponi , Sveinn Olafsson , Thaleia Zariphopoulou

We propose a universal end-to-end framework for portfolio optimization where asset distributions are directly obtained. The designed framework circumvents the traditional forecasting step and avoids the estimation of the covariance matrix,…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-11-18 Chao Zhang , Zihao Zhang , Mihai Cucuringu , Stefan Zohren

By employing the technique of enlargement of filtrations, we demonstrate how to incorporate information about the future trend of the stochastic interest rate process into a financial model. By modeling the interest rate as an affine…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-25 Bernardo D'Auria , José Antonio Salmerón

The standard approach for constructing a Mean-Variance portfolio involves estimating parameters for the model using collected samples. However, since the distribution of future data may not resemble that of the training set, the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-12 Duy Khanh Lam

Management of the portfolios containing low liquidity assets is a tedious problem. The buyer proposes the price that can differ greatly from the paper value estimated by the seller, the seller, on the other hand, can not liquidate his…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-09-28 Ljudmila A. Bordag , Ivan P. Yamshchikov , Dmitry Zhelezov

This paper investigates portfolio selection within a continuous-time financial market with regime-switching and beliefs-dependent utilities. The market coefficients and the investor's utility function both depend on the market regime, which…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-10-23 Xiaochen Chen , Guohui Guan , Zongxia Liang

The paper studies problem of continuous time optimal portfolio selection for a incom- plete market diffusion model. It is shown that, under some mild conditions, near optimal strategies for investors with different performance criteria can…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-04-15 Nikolai Dokuchaev

In the portfolio multiobjective optimization framework, we propose to compare and choose, among all feasible asset portfolios of a given market, the one that maximizes the product of the distances between its values of risk and gain and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-01-16 Francesco Cesarone , Lorenzo Lampariello , Simone Sagratella

We introduce the Blackwell discount factor for Markov Decision Processes (MDPs). Classical objectives for MDPs include discounted, average, and Blackwell optimality. Many existing approaches to computing average-optimal policies solve for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-04 Julien Grand-Clément , Marek Petrik

A cryptocurrency is a digital asset maintained by a decentralised system using cryptography. Investors in this emerging digital market are exploring the profitability potential of portfolios in place of single coins. Portfolios are…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-04-06 Ruixue Jing , Luis Enrique Correa Rocha

A quantum-inspired optimization approach is proposed to study the portfolio optimization aimed at selecting an optimal mix of assets based on the risk-return trade-off to achieve the desired goal in investment. By integrating conventional…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-15 Ying-Chang Lu , Chao-Ming Fu , Lien-Po Yu , Yen-Jui Chang , Ching-Ray Chang