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Stochastic algorithms are among the best for solving computationally hard search and reasoning problems. The runtime of such procedures is characterized by a random variable. Different algorithms give rise to different probability…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-08 Carla P. Gomes , Bart Selman

This paper addresses the portfolio selection problem for nonlinear law-dependent preferences in continuous time, which inherently exhibit time inconsistency. Employing the method of stochastic maximum principle, we establish verification…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-15 Zongxia Liang , Jianming Xia , Fengyi Yuan

Utilizing market forecasts is pivotal in optimizing portfolio selection strategies. We introduce DeepClair, a novel framework for portfolio selection. DeepClair leverages a transformer-based time-series forecasting model to predict market…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-08-19 Donghee Choi , Jinkyu Kim , Mogan Gim , Jinho Lee , Jaewoo Kang

We propose a data-driven portfolio selection model that integrates side information, conditional estimation and robustness using the framework of distributionally robust optimization. Conditioning on the observed side information, the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-04-10 Viet Anh Nguyen , Fan Zhang , Shanshan Wang , Jose Blanchet , Erick Delage , Yinyu Ye

Online portfolio selection is an integral componentof wealth management. The fundamental undertaking is tomaximise returns while minimising risk given investor con-straints. We aim to examine and improve modern strategiesto generate higher…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2021-09-29 Matthew Kruger , Terence L. van Zyl , Andrew Paskaramoorthy

In this paper, we consider an informational market model with two flows of informations. The smallest flow F, which is available to all agents, is the filtration of the initial market model(S,F,P), where S is the assets' prices and P is a…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-04-11 Ferdoos Alharbi , Tahir Choulli

Calibrated strategies can be obtained by performing strategies that have no internal regret in some auxiliary game. Such strategies can be constructed explicitly with the use of Blackwell's approachability theorem, in an other auxiliary…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2010-07-28 Vianney Perchet

In this paper, we develop approximate dynamic programming methods for stochastic systems modeled as Markov Decision Processes, given both soft performance criteria and hard constraints in a class of probabilistic temporal logic called…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-10-08 Lening Li , Jie Fu

In this paper we consider a discrete-time risk sensitive portfolio optimization over a long time horizon with proportional transaction costs. We show that within the log-return i.i.d. framework the solution to a suitable Bellman equation…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-01-11 Marcin Pitera , Łukasz Stettner

In this paper, we consider a new problem of portfolio optimization using stochastic information. In a setting where there is some uncertainty, we ask how to best select $k$ potential solutions, with the goal of optimizing the value of the…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2024-12-03 Marina Drygala , Silvio Lattanzi , Andreas Maggiori , Miltiadis Stouras , Ola Svensson , Sergei Vassilvitskii

In this paper we develop a concrete and fully implementable approach to the optimization of functionally generated portfolios in stochastic portfolio theory. The main idea is to optimize over a family of rank-based portfolios parameterized…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-10-12 Steven Campbell , Ting-Kam Leonard Wong

Attempts to allocate capital across a selection of different investments are often hampered by the fact that investors' decisions are made under limited information (no historical return data) and during an extremely limited timeframe.…

General Economics · Economics 2020-04-22 Christoph J. Börner , Ingo Hoffmann , Fabian Poetter , Tim Schmitz

We consider a multi-stock continuous time incomplete market model with random coefficients. We study the investment problem in the class of strategies which do not use direct observations of the appreciation rates of the stocks, but rather…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-02-10 Nikolai Dokuchaev

We apply Blackwell optimality to repeated games. An equilibrium whose strategy profile is sequentially rational for all high enough discount factors simultaneously is a Blackwell (subgame-perfect, perfect public, etc.) equilibrium. The bite…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-01-13 Costas Cavounidis , Sambuddha Ghosh , Johannes Hörner , Eilon Solan , Satoru Takahashi

Portfolio optimization is a primary component of the decision-making process in finance, aiming to tactfully allocate assets to achieve optimal returns while considering various constraints. Herein, we proposed a method that uses the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-12-24 Chansreynich Huot , Kimleang Kea , Tae-Kyung Kim , Youngsun Han

Stochastic approximation methods play a central role in maximum likelihood estimation problems involving intractable likelihood functions, such as marginal likelihoods arising in problems with missing or incomplete data, and in parametric…

Computation · Statistics 2020-06-02 Valentin De Bortoli , Alain Durmus , Marcelo Pereyra , Ana F. Vidal

We consider the problem of selecting a portfolio of assets that provides the investor a suitable balance of expected return and risk. With respect to the seminal mean-variance model of Markowitz, we consider additional constraints on the…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Andrea Schaerf

Blackwell's approachability (Blackwell, 1954, 1956) is a very general online learning framework where a Decision Maker obtains vector-valued outcomes, and aims at the convergence of the average outcome to a given ``target'' set. Blackwell…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-08-26 Joon Kwon , Yijun Wan , Bruno Ziliotto

The field of portfolio selection is an active research topic, which combines elements and methodologies from various fields, such as optimization, decision analysis, risk management, data science, forecasting, etc. The modeling and…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-28 A. Georgantas

It is widely recognized that when classical optimal strategies are applied with parameters estimated from data, the resulting portfolio weights are remarkably volatile and unstable over time. The predominant explanation for this is the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-06-15 Carl Lindberg