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We present a new approach to Bayesian inference that entirely avoids Markov chain simulation, by constructing a map that pushes forward the prior measure to the posterior measure. Existence and uniqueness of a suitable measure-preserving…

Computation · Statistics 2012-08-31 Tarek A. El Moselhy , Youssef M. Marzouk

The parametric bootstrap can be used for the efficient computation of Bayes posterior distributions. Importance sampling formulas take on an easy form relating to the deviance in exponential families and are particularly simple starting…

Applications · Statistics 2013-01-15 Bradley Efron

We consider robust optimization problems, where the goal is to optimize in the worst case over a class of objective functions. We develop a reduction from robust improper optimization to Bayesian optimization: given an oracle that returns…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-07-05 Robert Chen , Brendan Lucier , Yaron Singer , Vasilis Syrgkanis

We develop a generative model-based approach to Bayesian inverse problems, such as image reconstruction from noisy and incomplete images. Our framework addresses two common challenges of Bayesian reconstructions: 1) It makes use of complex,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-24 Vanessa Böhm , François Lanusse , Uroš Seljak

We present an efficient, principled, and interpretable technique for inferring module assignments and for identifying the optimal number of modules in a given network. We show how several existing methods for finding modules can be…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2008-06-23 Jake M. Hofman , Chris H. Wiggins

To handle with inverse problems, two probabilistic approaches have been proposed: the maximum entropy on the mean (MEM) and the Bayesian estimation (BAYES). The main object of this presentation is to compare these two approaches which are…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 A. Mohammad-Djafari

Empirical analysis serves as an important complement to theoretical analysis for studying practical Bayesian optimization. Often empirical insights expose strengths and weaknesses inaccessible to theoretical analysis. We define two metrics…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-04-01 Ian Dewancker , Michael McCourt , Scott Clark , Patrick Hayes , Alexandra Johnson , George Ke

In this paper we consider the estimation of unknown parameters in Bayesian inverse problems. In most cases of practical interest, there are several barriers to performing such estimation, This includes a numerical approximation of a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-07 Neil K. Chada , Ajay Jasra , Mohamed Maama , Raul Tempone

We are developing a general framework for using learned Bayesian models for decision-theoretic control of search and reasoningalgorithms. We illustrate the approach on the specific task of controlling both general and domain-specific…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-14 Eric J. Horvitz , Yongshao Ruan , Carla P. Gomes , Henry Kautz , Bart Selman , David Maxwell Chickering

We develop a novel data-driven approach to the inverse problem of classical statistical mechanics: given experimental data on the collective motion of a classical many-body system, how does one characterise the free energy landscape of that…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-03-01 Peter Yatsyshin , Serafim Kalliadasis , Andrew B. Duncan

Inverse optimization is a powerful paradigm for learning preferences and restrictions that explain the behavior of a decision maker, based on a set of external signal and the corresponding decision pairs. However, most inverse optimization…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-05 Chaosheng Dong , Yiran Chen , Bo Zeng

Bayesian methods have proved powerful in many applications for the inference of model parameters from data. These methods are based on Bayes' theorem, which itself is deceptively simple. However, in practice the computations required are…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-10 Michael A. Chappell , Mark W. Woolrich

Algorithmic recourse aims to recommend an informative feedback to overturn an unfavorable machine learning decision. We introduce in this paper the Bayesian recourse, a model-agnostic recourse that minimizes the posterior probability odds…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-23 Tuan-Duy H. Nguyen , Ngoc Bui , Duy Nguyen , Man-Chung Yue , Viet Anh Nguyen

Bayesian optimization has become widely popular across various experimental sciences due to its favorable attributes: it can handle noisy data, perform well with relatively small datasets, and provide adaptive suggestions for sequential…

Other Quantitative Biology · Quantitative Biology 2025-08-15 Maximilian Siska , Emma Pajak , Katrin Rosenthal , Antonio del Rio Chanona , Eric von Lieres , Laura Marie Helleckes

Learning-based methods for inverse problems, adapting to the data's inherent structure, have become ubiquitous in the last decade. Besides empirical investigations of their often remarkable performance, an increasing number of works…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-07-21 Clemens Arndt , Sören Dittmer , Nick Heilenkötter , Meira Iske , Tobias Kluth , Judith Nickel

Recent work on Bayesian optimization has shown its effectiveness in global optimization of difficult black-box objective functions. Many real-world optimization problems of interest also have constraints which are unknown a priori. In this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-03-25 Michael A. Gelbart , Jasper Snoek , Ryan P. Adams

While the Bayesian decision-theoretic framework offers an elegant solution to the problem of decision making under uncertainty, one question is how to appropriately select the prior distribution. One idea is to employ a worst-case prior.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-22 Thomas Kleine Buening , Christos Dimitrakakis , Hannes Eriksson , Divya Grover , Emilio Jorge

A nonparametric Bayesian approach is developed to determine quantum potentials from empirical data for quantum systems at finite temperature. The approach combines the likelihood model of quantum mechanics with a priori information over…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 J. C. Lemm , J. Uhlig , A. Weiguny

A quality-Bayesian approach, combining the direct sampling method and the Bayesian inversion, is proposed to reconstruct the locations and intensities of the unknown acoustic sources using partial data. First, we extend the direct sampling…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-04-10 Zhaoxing Li , Yanfang Liu , Jiguang Sun , Liwei Xu

Neural networks are popular state-of-the-art models for many different tasks.They are often trained via back-propagation to find a value of the weights that correctly predicts the observed data. Although back-propagation has shown good…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-29 Simón Rodríguez Santana , Daniel Hernández-Lobato