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This work introduces the network uncertainty quantification (NetUQ) method for performing uncertainty propagation in systems composed of interconnected components. The method assumes the existence of a collection of components, each of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-09-02 Kevin Carlberg , Sofia Guzzetti , Mohammad Khalil , Khachik Sargsyan

In this paper, we present a deep learning-based numerical method for approximating high dimensional stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs). At each time step, our method relies on a predictor-corrector procedure. More precisely,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-09-13 He Zhang , Ran Zhang , Tao Zhou

Generative diffusion models, notable for their large parameter count (exceeding 100 million) and operation within high-dimensional image spaces, pose significant challenges for traditional uncertainty estimation methods due to computational…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-06-28 Lucas Berry , Axel Brando , David Meger

A new multifidelity method is developed for nonlinear orbit uncertainty propagation. This approach guarantees improved computational efficiency and limited accuracy losses compared to fully high-fidelity counterparts. The initial…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-03-30 Alberto Fossà , Roberto Armellin , Emmanuel Delande , Matteo Losacco , Francesco Sanfedino

This paper proposes a novel uncertainty quantification framework for computationally demanding systems characterized by a large vector of non-Gaussian uncertainties. It combines state-of-the-art techniques in advanced Monte Carlo sampling…

Computation · Statistics 2018-03-05 Phaedon-Stelios Koutsourelakis

In this paper, we propose a novel decomposition approach for mixed-integer stochastic programming (SMIP) problems that is inspired by the combination of penalty-based Lagrangian and block Gauss-Seidel methods (PBGS). In this sense, PBGS is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-08-09 Fabricio Oliveira , Jeffrey Christiansen , Brian Dandurand , Andrew Eberhard

In this article, we construct a numerical method for a stochastic version of the Susceptible Infected Susceptible (SIS) epidemic model, expressed by a suitable stochastic differential equation (SDE), by using the semi-discrete method to a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-07-28 Yiannis Kiouvrekis , Ioannis S. Stamatiou

We propose the coarse-grained spectral projection method (CGSP), a deep learning-assisted approach for tackling quantum unitary dynamic problems with an emphasis on quench dynamics. We show CGSP can extract spectral components of many-body…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-02-03 Pinchen Xie , Weinan E

Reliable uncertainty quantification for causal effects is crucial in various applications, but remains difficult in nonparametric models, particularly for continuous treatments. We introduce IMPspec, a Gaussian process (GP) framework for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-16 Hugh Dance , Peter Orbanz , Arthur Gretton

Belief propagation is a widely used message passing method for the solution of probabilistic models on networks such as epidemic models, spin models, and Bayesian graphical models, but it suffers from the serious shortcoming that it works…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-04-27 Alec Kirkley , George T. Cantwell , M. E. J. Newman

Multivariate global polynomial approximations - such as polynomial chaos or stochastic collocation methods - are now in widespread use for sensitivity analysis and uncertainty quantification. The pseudospectral variety of these methods uses…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2013-04-09 Paul G. Constantine , Michael S. Eldred , Eric T. Phipps

Gaussian graphical models are widely used to infer dependence structures. Bayesian methods are appealing to quantify uncertainty associated with structural learning, i.e., the plausibility of conditional independence statements given the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-05 Deborah Sulem , Jack Jewson , David Rossell

Reflected diffusions in polyhedral domains are commonly used as approximate models for stochastic processing networks in heavy traffic. Stationary distributions of such models give useful information on the steady state performance of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-05-24 Amarjit Budhiraja , Jiang Chen , Sylvain Rubenthaler

A computational method based on the non-linear Gaussian process (GP), known as deep Gaussian processes (deep GPs) for uncertainty quantification & propagation in modelling of flow through heterogeneous porous media is presented. The method…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-06 A. Daneshkhah , O. Chatrabgoun , M. Esmaeilbeigi , T. Sedighi , S. Abolfathi

In this paper, we address the problem of uncertainty propagation through nonlinear stochastic dynamical systems. More precisely, given a discrete-time continuous-state probabilistic nonlinear dynamical system, we aim at finding the sequence…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-02-01 Ashkan Jasour , Allen Wang , Brian C. Williams

Identifying and quantifying $\gamma$-emitting radionuclides, considering spectral deformation from $\gamma$-interactions in radioactive source surroundings, present a significant challenge in $\gamma$-ray spectrometry. In that context, a…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2026-04-23 Dinh Triem Phan , Jérôme Bobin , Cheick Thiam , Christophe Bobin

We propose a novel numerical approach for nonlocal diffusion equations [8] with integrable kernels, based on the relationship between the backward Kolmogorov equation and backward stochastic differential equations (BSDEs) driven by L\`{e}vy…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-07-28 Guannan Zhang , Weidong Zhao , Clayton Webster , Max Gunzburger

Differential Equation (DE) is a commonly used modeling method in various scientific subjects such as finance and biology. The parameters in DE models often have interesting scientific interpretations, but their values are often unknown and…

Computation · Statistics 2020-11-24 Ying Zhou , Hongqiao Wang

Incremental stability is a property of dynamical systems that ensures the convergence of trajectories with respect to each other rather than a fixed equilibrium point or a fixed trajectory. In this paper, we introduce a related stability…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-14 P Sangeerth , David Smith Sundarsingh , Bhabani Shankar Dey , Pushpak Jagtap

This work proposes and analyzes a generalized acceleration technique for decreasing the computational complexity of using stochastic collocation (SC) methods to solve partial differential equations (PDEs) with random input data. The SC…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-05-05 Diego Galindo , Peter Jantsch , Clayton G. Webster , Guannan Zhang
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