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We introduce a general class of autoregressive models for studying the dynamic of multivariate binary time series with stationary exogenous covariates. Using a high-level set of assumptions, we show that existence of a stationary path for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-16 Guillaume Franchi , Lionel Truquet

Latent class models are widely used for identifying unobserved subgroups from multivariate categorical data in social sciences, with binary data as a particularly popular example. However, accurately recovering individual latent class…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-25 Zhongyuan Lyu , Yuqi Gu

Linear Response theory aims to predict how added forcing alters the statistical properties of an unforced system. These kinds of questions have been studied predominantly for autonomous dynamical systems, yet many systems in the physical,…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-04-07 Stefano Galatolo , Valerio Lucarini

Missing data and noisy observations pose significant challenges for reliably predicting events from irregularly sampled multivariate time series (longitudinal) data. Imputation methods, which are typically used for completing the data prior…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-08-17 Hossein Soleimani , James Hensman , Suchi Saria

Practical problems with missing data are common, and statistical methods have been developed concerning the validity and/or efficiency of statistical procedures. On a central focus, there have been longstanding interests on the mechanism…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-26 Rui Duan , C. Jason Liang , Pamela Shaw , Cheng Yong Tang , Yong Chen

In precision medicine, one of the most important problems is estimating the optimal individualized treatment rules (ITR), which typically involves recommending treatment decisions based on fully observed individual characteristics of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-15 Yue Zhang , Shanshan Luo , Zhi Geng , Yangbo He

Latent variable models for network data extract a summary of the relational structure underlying an observed network. The simplest possible models subdivide nodes of the network into clusters; the probability of a link between any two nodes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-07-03 Konstantina Palla , David Knowles , Zoubin Ghahramani

We propose a framework for analyzing the sensitivity of counterfactuals to parametric assumptions about the distribution of latent variables in structural models. In particular, we derive bounds on counterfactuals as the distribution of…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-03-26 Timothy Christensen , Benjamin Connault

While hidden class models of various types arise in many statistical applications, it is often difficult to establish the identifiability of their parameters. Focusing on models in which there is some structure of independence of some of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-01 Elizabeth S. Allman , Catherine Matias , John A. Rhodes

In this paper we recast the problem of missing values in the covariates of a regression model as a latent Gaussian Markov random field (GMRF) model in a fully Bayesian framework. Our proposed approach is based on the definition of the…

Computation · Statistics 2019-12-24 Virgilio Gómez-Rubio , Michela Cameletti , Marta Blangiardo

In this paper, we study a generalization of the two-groups model in the presence of covariates --- a problem that has recently received much attention in the statistical literature due to its applicability in multiple hypotheses testing…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-01 Nabarun Deb , Sujayam Saha , Adityanand Guntuboyina , Bodhisattva Sen

Multivariate categorical data occur in many applications of machine learning. One of the main difficulties with these vectors of categorical variables is sparsity. The number of possible observations grows exponentially with vector length,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-03-10 Yarin Gal , Yutian Chen , Zoubin Ghahramani

Computer-based interactive items have become prevalent in recent educational assessments. In such items, the entire human-computer interactive process is recorded in a log file and is known as the response process. This paper aims at…

Applications · Statistics 2025-01-08 Xueying Tang , Zhi Wang , Qiwei He , Jingchen Liu , Zhiliang Ying

Statistical latent class models are widely used in social and psychological researches, yet it is often difficult to establish the identifiability of the model parameters. In this paper we consider the identifiability issue of a family of…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-03-15 Gongjun Xu

Logistic regression is a common classification method in supervised learning. Surprisingly, there are very few solutions for performing logistic regression with missing values in the covariates. We suggest a complete approach based on a…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-09 Wei Jiang , Julie Josse , Marc Lavielle , TraumaBase Group

Learning identifiable representations and models from low-level observations is helpful for an intelligent spacecraft to complete downstream tasks reliably. For temporal observations, to ensure that the data generating process is provably…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-05 Congxi Zhang , Yongchun Xie

The evaluation of large language models (LLMs) via benchmarks is widespread, yet inconsistencies between different leaderboards and poor separability among top models raise concerns about their ability to accurately reflect authentic model…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-01-19 Hongli Zhou , Hui Huang , Ziqing Zhao , Lvyuan Han , Huicheng Wang , Kehai Chen , Muyun Yang , Wei Bao , Jian Dong , Bing Xu , Conghui Zhu , Hailong Cao , Tiejun Zhao

Log-linear models are typically fitted to contingency table data to describe and identify the relationship between different categorical variables. However, the data may include observed zero cell entries. The presence of zero cell entries…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-01 Serveh Sharifi Far , Michail Papathomas , Ruth King

Multivariate time-series data are used in many classification and regression predictive tasks, and recurrent models have been widely used for such tasks. Most common recurrent models assume that time-series data elements are of equal length…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-21 Mehak Gupta , Rahmatollah Beheshti

Most Item Response Theory (IRT) models for dichotomous responses are based on probit or logit link functions which assume a symmetric relationship between the probability of a correct response and the latent traits of individuals submitted…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-24 Flávio B. Gonçalves , Juliane Venturelli , Rosangela H. Loschi
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