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Related papers: Global Asteroid Risk Analysis

200 papers

Asteroid detections in astronomical images may appear as trails due to a combination of their apparent rate of motion and exposure duration. Nearby asteroids in particular typically have high apparent rates of motion and acceleration. Their…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-11 Peter Vereš , Robert Jedicke , Larry Denneau , Richard Wainscoat , Matthew J. Holman , Hsing-Wen Lin

Ensuring safe, real-time motion planning in arbitrary environments requires a robotic manipulator to avoid collisions, obey joint limits, and account for uncertainties in the mass and inertia of objects and the robot itself. This paper…

Using published simulations of the 10-year Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST), we forecast its ability to determine the masses of individual main-belt asteroids (MBAs) through precise astrometry of any pairs of the ~1.2 million known…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2025-04-03 Gary M. Bernstein , Negin Najafi , Daniel C. H. Gomes

Using moving mesh hydrodynamic simulations, we determine the shock propagation and resulting ground velocities for a planet hit by a high velocity impactor. We use our results to determine the atmospheric mass loss caused by the resulting…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2019-04-17 Almog Yalinewich , Hilke E. Schlichting

Accurate relative orbit determination is a significant challenge in modern space operations, particularly when relying only on angular measurements. The inherent observability limitations of this approach make initial state estimation…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-11 Kui Xie , Giovanni Romagnoli , Giordana Bucchioni , Alberto Bemporad

We perform statistical wavelet analysis of the Main Belt asteroids, seeking statistically significant asteroid families. The goal is to test the new wavelet analysis algorithm and to compare its results with more traditional methods like…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2020-07-22 R. V. Baluev , E. I. Rodionov

We demonstrate the efficiency and effectiveness of using a satellite-based sensor with visual and infrared focal plane arrays to search for NEAs with orbits largely interior to the Earth's orbit. Such a space-based system could detect…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-10-31 E. F. Tedesco , K. Muinonen , S. D. Price

Asteroid discoveries are essential for planetary-defense efforts aiming to prevent impacts with Earth, including the more frequent megaton explosions from decameter impactors. While large asteroids ($\geq$100 km) have remained in the main…

We present an automated and probabilistic method to make prediscovery detections of near-Earth asteroids (NEAs) in archival survey images, with the goal of reducing orbital uncertainty immediately after discovery. We refit Minor Planet…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2025-10-10 Sage Li , Alex Geringer-Sameth , Nathan Golovich

In this work, we explore how to classify asteroids in co-orbital motion with a given planet using Machine Learning. We consider four different kinds of motion in mean motion resonance with the planet, nominally Tadpole, Horseshoe and…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2023-09-20 Giulia Ciacci , Andrea Barucci , Sara Di Ruzza , Elisa Maria Alessi

We aim to provide a taxonomic classification for asteroids observed by VISTA-VHS survey. We derive a method for assigning a compositional type to an object based on its (Y-J), (J-Ks), and (H-Ks) colors. We present a taxonomic classification…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2018-09-12 M. Popescu , J. Licandro , J. M. Carvano , R. Stoicescu , J. de Leon , D. Morate , I. L. Boaca , C. P. Cristescu

The minimum orbital intersection distance is used as a measure to assess potential close approaches and collision risks between astronomical objects. Methods to calculate this quantity have been proposed in several previous publications.…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2019-12-25 José Manuel Hedo , Elena Fantino , Manuel Ruíz , Jesús Pelaez

Through multiple, small unmanned probes we can more efficiently capture an asteroid and return it to lunar orbit. The Asteroid Return and Exploration System (ARES) aims to make use of previously tested technology with the application of a…

Space Physics · Physics 2014-10-08 Charles Domercant , Aiden Gonzalez

Tunguska and Chelyabinsk impact events occurred inside a geographical area of only 3.4\% of the Earth's surface. Although two events hardly constitute a statistically significant demonstration of a geographical pattern of impacts, their…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2018-05-16 Jorge I. Zuluaga , Mario Sucerquia

Many asteroid databases with lightcurve brightness measurements (e.g. WISE, Pan-STARRS1) contain enormous amounts of data for asteroid shape and spin modelling. While lightcurve inversion is not plausible for individual targets with scarce…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2017-12-13 Hari Nortunen , Mikko Kaasalainen

Thermal inertia estimates are available for a limited number of a few hundred objects, and the results are practically solely based on thermophysical modeling (TPM). We present a novel thermal inertia estimation method, Asteroid Thermal…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2023-11-08 Bojan Novaković , Marco Fenucci , Dušan Marčeta , Debora Pavela

We present analysis of the asteroid surface density distribution of main belt asteroids (mean perihelion $\Delta \simeq 2.404$ AU) in five ecliptic latitude fields, $-17 \gtsimeq \beta(\degr) \ltsimeq +15$, derived from deep \textit{Large…

Many asteroids are rubble piles with irregular shapes. While the irregular shapes of large asteroids may be attributed to collisional events, those of small asteroids may result from not only impact events but also rotationally induced…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2018-08-08 Masatoshi Hirabayashi , Daniel J. Scheeres

All-vs-all orbital evolutionary simulations for the low Earth orbit (LEO) simulate the long term evolution of the LEO environment. Although these simulations typically offer the highest fidelity, they are also highly computationally…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2025-03-12 Enrico M. Zucchelli , Daniel Jang , Richard Linares

While almost all potentially hazardous asteroids (PHAs) with a size larger than one kilometre have been discovered, it is well-known that the vast majority of the smaller ones are in fact yet to be found. There is therefore an excellent…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2017-06-08 Alexandre Payez , Johannes Schoenmaekers