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The timing of radio pulsars in binary systems provides a superb testing ground of general relativity. Here we propose a Bayesian approach to carry out these tests, and a relevant efficient numerical implementation, that has several…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2016-07-27 Walter Del Pozzo , Alberto Vecchio

A novel approximate Bayesian filter based on backward stochastic differential equations is introduced. It uses a nonlinear Feynman--Kac representation of the filtering problem and the approximation of an unnormalized filtering density using…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-04-21 Kasper Bågmark , Adam Andersson , Stig Larsson

We propose a new method for conducting Bayesian prediction that delivers accurate predictions without correctly specifying the unknown true data generating process. A prior is defined over a class of plausible predictive models. After…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-24 Ruben Loaiza-Maya , Gael M. Martin , David T. Frazier

Control of non-episodic, finite-horizon dynamical systems with uncertain dynamics poses a tough and elementary case of the exploration-exploitation trade-off. Bayesian reinforcement learning, reasoning about the effect of actions and future…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-08-12 Edgar D. Klenske , Philipp Hennig

The construction of decision-theoretic Bayesian designs for realistically-complex nonlinear models is computationally challenging, as it requires the optimization of analytically intractable expected utility functions over high-dimensional…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-07-01 Antony Overstall , David Woods

Approximate Bayesian computing is a powerful likelihood-free method that has grown increasingly popular since early applications in population genetics. However, complications arise in the theoretical justification for Bayesian inference…

Computation · Statistics 2018-12-03 Suzanne Thornton , Wentao Li , Min-ge Xie

Calibrating stochastic radio channel models to new measurement data is challenging when the likelihood function is intractable. The standard approach to this problem involves sophisticated algorithms for extraction and clustering of…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-05-07 Ayush Bharti , Francois-Xavier Briol , Troels Pedersen

Gathering labeled data to train well-performing machine learning models is one of the critical challenges in many applications. Active learning aims at reducing the labeling costs by an efficient and effective allocation of costly labeling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-03 Daniel Kottke , Marek Herde , Christoph Sandrock , Denis Huseljic , Georg Krempl , Bernhard Sick

This paper proposes a novel particle filter for tracking time-varying states of multiple targets jointly from superpositional data, which depend on the sum of contributions of all targets. Many conventional tracking methods rely on…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-08-26 Nobutaka Ito , Simon Godsill

We study the problem of searching for and tracking a collection of moving targets using a robot with a limited Field-Of-View (FOV) sensor. The actual number of targets present in the environment is not known a priori. We propose a search…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-05-11 Yoonchang Sung , Pratap Tokekar

This paper investigates the problem of simultaneously predicting multiple binary responses by utilizing a shared set of covariates. Our approach incorporates machine learning techniques for binary classification, without making assumptions…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-07 The Tien Mai

We propose a novel use of a recent new computational tool for Bayesian inference, namely the Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) methodology. ABC is a way to handle models for which the likelihood function may be intractable or even…

Computation · Statistics 2014-03-04 Clara Grazian , Brunero Liseo

A vital stage in the mathematical modelling of real-world systems is to calibrate a model's parameters to observed data. Likelihood-free parameter inference methods, such as Approximate Bayesian Computation, build Monte Carlo samples of the…

Computation · Statistics 2021-12-23 Thomas P Prescott , Ruth E Baker

An algorithm for the estimation of multiple targets from partial and corrupted observations is introduced based on the concept of partially-distinguishable multi-target system. It combines the advantages of engineering solutions like MHT…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-05 J. Houssineau , D. E. Clark

We present an efficient numerical implementation of the $\delta$-Generalized Labeled Multi-Bernoulli multi-target tracking filter. Each iteration of this filter involves an update operation and a prediction operation, both of which result…

Computation · Statistics 2017-03-01 B. -N. Vo , B. -T. Vo , D. Phung

We present a Bayesian data fusion method to approximate a posterior distribution from an ensemble of particle estimates that only have access to subsets of the data. Our approach relies on approximate probabilistic inference of model…

Computation · Statistics 2020-10-28 Caleb Miller , Michael D. Schneider , Jem N. Corcoran , Jason Bernstein

Robust environment perception is essential for decision-making on robots operating in complex domains. Principled treatment of uncertainty sources in a robot's observation model is necessary for accurate mapping and object detection. This…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2016-07-15 Shayegan Omidshafiei , Brett T. Lopez , Jonathan P. How , John Vian

In this article, we present data-subsetting algorithms that allow for the approximate and scalable implementation of the Bayesian bootstrap. They are analogous to two existing algorithms in the frequentist literature: the bag of little…

Computation · Statistics 2019-03-25 Andrés F. Barrientos , Víctor Peña

The likelihood-free sequential Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) algorithms, are increasingly popular inference tools for complex biological models. Such algorithms proceed by constructing a succession of probability distributions over…

Computation · Statistics 2012-10-12 Daniel Silk , Saran Filippi , Michael P. H. Stumpf

To infer the parameters of mechanistic models with intractable likelihoods, techniques such as approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) are increasingly being adopted. One of the main disadvantages of ABC in practical situations, however, is…

Computation · Statistics 2018-08-03 Jonathan U Harrison , Ruth E Baker
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