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We investigate the properties of a sequential Monte Carlo method where the particle weight that appears in the algorithm is estimated by a positive, unbiased estimator. We present broadly-applicable convergence results, including a central…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-26 Paul B. Rohrbach , Robert L. Jack

Particle filters provide Monte Carlo approximations of intractable quantities such as point-wise evaluations of the likelihood in state space models. In many scenarios, the interest lies in the comparison of these quantities as some…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-07-19 Pierre E. Jacob , Fredrik Lindsten , Thomas B. Schön

Estimation of stochastic processes evolving in a random environment is of crucial importance for example to predict aircraft trajectories evolving in an unknown atmosphere. For fixed parameter, interacting particle systems are a convenient…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-26 Cécile Ichard , Christelle Vergé

We report a fast, efficient and credible statistical reconstruction of any two-phase patterns of islands of miscellaneous shapes and poly-dispersed in sizes. In the proposed multi-scale approach called a weighted doubly-hybrid, two…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-03-24 W. Olchawa , R. Piasecki

We present an online parallel portfolio selection algorithm based on the island model commonly used for parallelization of evolutionary algorithms. In our case each of the islands runs a different optimization algorithm. The distributed…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2018-06-13 Štěpán Balcar , Martin Pilát

The term ``sequential Monte Carlo methods'' or, equivalently, ``particle filters,'' refers to a general class of iterative algorithms that performs Monte Carlo approximations of a given sequence of distributions of interest (\pi_t). We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Nicolas Chopin

In modern days, the ability to carry out computations in parallel is key to efficient implementations of computationally intensive algorithms. This paper investigates the applicability of the previously proposed Augmented Island Resampling…

Computation · Statistics 2023-12-12 Kari Heine

We propose a two-step algorithm for optimal controlled islanding that partitions a power grid into islands of limited volume while optimizing several criteria: high generator coherency inside islands, minimum power flow disruption due to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-05-09 Mikhail Goubko , Vasily Ginz

Model averaging has gained significant attention in recent years due to its ability of fusing information from different models. The critical challenge in frequentist model averaging is the choice of weight vector. The bootstrap method,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-10 Minghui Song , Guohua Zou , Alan T. K. Wan

We consider situations where the applicability of sequential Monte Carlo particle filters is compromised due to the expensive evaluation of the particle weights. To alleviate this problem, we propose a new particle filter algorithm based on…

Computation · Statistics 2022-01-24 Kari Heine , Daniel Burrows

We reexamine the density of two dimensional islands in the submonolayer regime of a homoepitaxially growing surface using the coarse grained Monte Carlo simulation with random sequential updating rather than parallel updating. It turns out…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-25 H. Jeong , B. Kahng , D. E. Wolf

For solving the discretized three-temperature energy linear systems, Xu et al. proposed a physical-variable based coarsening two-level iterative method (PCTL algorithm) in 2009 and verified its efficiency by numerical experiments in…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-07-14 Yue Hao , Silu Huang , Xiaowen Xu

We study convergence properties of pseudo-marginal Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms (Andrieu and Roberts [Ann. Statist. 37 (2009) 697-725]). We find that the asymptotic variance of the pseudo-marginal algorithm is always at least as…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-31 Christophe Andrieu , Matti Vihola

We prove that bootstrap type Monte Carlo particle filters approximate the optimal nonlinear filter in a time average sense uniformly with respect to the time horizon when the signal is ergodic and the particle system satisfies a tightness…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-10-20 Ramon van Handel

This paper derives central limit and bootstrap theorems for probabilities that sums of centered high-dimensional random vectors hit hyperrectangles and sparsely convex sets. Specifically, we derive Gaussian and bootstrap approximations for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-09 Victor Chernozhukov , Denis Chetverikov , Kengo Kato

The exchange algorithm is one of the most popular extensions of the Metropolis--Hastings algorithm to sample from doubly-intractable distributions. However, the theoretical exploration of the exchange algorithm is very limited. For example,…

Computation · Statistics 2021-08-20 Guanyang Wang

We describe two distinct approaches to obtaining cloud point densities and coexistence properties of polydisperse fluid mixtures by Monte Carlo simulation within the grand canonical ensemble. The first method determines the chemical…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 Matteo Buzzacchi , Peter Sollich , Nigel B. Wilding , Marcus Mueller

We analyse the asymptotic properties of a continuous-time, two-timescale stochastic approximation algorithm designed for stochastic bilevel optimisation problems in continuous-time models. We obtain the weak convergence rate of this…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-07-08 Louis Sharrock

We develop new tools for isolating CFTs using the numerical bootstrap. A "cutting surface" algorithm for scanning OPE coefficients makes it possible to find islands in high-dimensional spaces. Together with recent progress in large-scale…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2020-07-06 Shai M. Chester , Walter Landry , Junyu Liu , David Poland , David Simmons-Duffin , Ning Su , Alessandro Vichi

Inference for functional linear models in the presence of heteroscedastic errors has received insufficient attention given its practical importance; in fact, even a central limit theorem has not been studied in this case. At issue,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-27 Hyemin Yeon , Xiongtao Dai , Daniel John Nordman
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