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In the present paper we identify a rigorous property of a number of tempering-based Monte Carlo sampling methods, including parallel tempering as well as partial and infinite swapping. Based on this property we develop a variety of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-11 J. D. Doll , Nuria Plattner , David L. Freeman , Yufei Liu , Paul Dupuis

We propose a new method for estimating rare event probabilities when independent samples are available. It is assumed that the underlying probability measures satisfy a large deviations principle with a scaling parameter $\varepsilon$ that…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-06 Paul Dupuis , Guo-Jhen Wu , Michael Snarski

We describe a new approach to the rare-event Monte Carlo sampling problem. This technique utilizes a symmetrization strategy to create probability distributions that are more highly connected and thus more easily sampled than their…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-28 Nuria Plattner , J. D. Doll , Paul Dupuis , Hui Wang , Yufei Liu , J. E. Gubernatis

Monte Carlo methods, Variational Inference, and their combinations play a pivotal role in sampling from intractable probability distributions. However, current studies lack a unified evaluation framework, relying on disparate performance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-12 Denis Blessing , Xiaogang Jia , Johannes Esslinger , Francisco Vargas , Gerhard Neumann

A variant of the parallel tempering method is proposed in terms of a stochastic switching process for the coupled dynamics of replica configuration and temperature permutation. This formulation is shown to facilitate the analysis of the…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2017-12-20 Jianfeng Lu , Eric Vanden-Eijnden

The goal of this paper is to develop provably efficient importance sampling Monte Carlo methods for the estimation of rare events within the class of linear stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs). We find that if a spectral gap…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-05 Michael Salins , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

A sampling procedure for the transition matrix Monte Carlo method is introduced that generates the density of states function over a wide parameter range with minimal coding effort.

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-03-23 David Yevick

Parallel tempering, also known as replica exchange sampling, is an important method for simulating complex systems. In this algorithm simulations are conducted in parallel at a series of temperatures, and the key feature of the algorithm is…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-06-14 Paul Dupuis , Yufei Liu , Nuria Plattner , J. D. Doll

Sequential Monte Carlo Samplers are a class of stochastic algorithms for Monte Carlo integral estimation w.r.t. probability distributions, which combine elements of Markov chain Monte Carlo methods and importance sampling/resampling…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Andreas Eberle , Carlo Marinelli

Parallel tempering, or replica exchange, is a popular method for simulating complex systems. The idea is to run parallel simulations at different temperatures, and at a given swap rate exchange configurations between the parallel…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-20 J. D. Doll , Paul Dupuis , Pierre Nyquist

Importance sampling has been known as a powerful tool to reduce the variance of Monte Carlo estimator for rare event simulation. Based on the criterion of minimizing the variance of Monte Carlo estimator within a parametric family, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-02-11 Cheng-Der Fuh , Huei-Wen Teng , Ren-Her Wang

The idea of rare event sampling is applied to the estimation of the performance of error-correcting codes. The essence of the idea is importance sampling of the pattern of noises in the channel by Multicanonical Monte Carlo, which enables…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-13 Yukito Iba , Koji Hukushima

Metastability is a formidable challenge to Markov chain Monte Carlo methods. In this paper we present methods for algorithm design to meet this challenge. The design problem we consider is temperature selection for the infinite swapping…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-12 Paul Dupuis , Guo-Jhen Wu

We describe and analyze some Monte Carlo methods for manifolds in Euclidean space defined by equality and inequality constraints. First, we give an MCMC sampler for probability distributions defined by un-normalized densities on such…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-09-21 Emilio Zappa , Miranda Holmes-Cerfon , Jonathan Goodman

In the present paper we examine the risk-sensitive and sampling issues associated with the problem of calculating generalized averages. By combining thermodynamic integration and Stationary Phase Monte Carlo techniques, we develop an…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-04-26 J. D. Doll , P. Dupuis , P. Nyquist

Quantum mechanics for many-body systems may be reduced to the evaluation of integrals in 3N dimensions using Monte-Carlo, providing the Quantum Monte Carlo ab initio methods. Here we limit ourselves to expectation values for trial…

Computational Physics · Physics 2010-11-22 John Robert Trail , Ryo Maezono

The performance of the Monte Carlo sampling methods relies on the crucial choice of a proposal density. The notion of optimality is fundamental to design suitable adaptive procedures of the proposal density within Monte Carlo schemes. This…

Computation · Statistics 2026-02-24 Fernando Llorente , Luca Martino

A method is presented to tackle the sign problem in the simulations of systems having indefinite or complex-valued measures. In general, this new approach is shown to yield statistical errors smaller than the crude Monte Carlo using…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2008-11-26 T D Kieu , C J Griffin

Monte Carlo methods represent the "de facto" standard for approximating complicated integrals involving multidimensional target distributions. In order to generate random realizations from the target distribution, Monte Carlo techniques use…

Computation · Statistics 2022-01-21 L. Martino , V. Elvira , D. Luengo , J. Corander

Closed-form stochastic filtering equations can be derived in a general setting where probability distributions are replaced by some specific outer measures. In this article, we study how the principles of the sequential Monte Carlo method…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-07 Jeremie Houssineau , Branko Ristic
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