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Related papers: Volatility is rough

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We present small-time implied volatility asymptotics for Realised Variance (RV) and VIX options for a number of (rough) stochastic volatility models via large deviations principle. We provide numerical results along with efficient and…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-11-03 Chloe Lacombe , Aitor Muguruza , Henry Stone

We show that typical behaviors of market participants at the high frequency scale generate leverage effect and rough volatility. To do so, we build a simple microscopic model for the price of an asset based on Hawkes processes. We encode in…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2016-09-19 El Euch Omar , Fukasawa Masaaki , Rosenbaum Mathieu

We propose a stochastic process for stock movements that, with just one source of Brownian noise, has an instantaneous volatility that rises from a type of statistical feedback across many time scales. This results in a stationary…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2008-12-02 Lisa Borland

We introduce a novel distribution-based estimator for the Hurst parameter of log-volatility, leveraging the Kolmogorov-Smirnov statistic to assess the scaling behavior of entire distributions rather than individual moments. To address the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-04 Sergio Bianchi , Daniele Angelini

In this paper we investigate general linear stochastic volatility models with correlated Brownian noises. In such models the asset price satisfies a linear SDE with coefficient of linearity being the volatility process. This class contains…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2013-05-16 Jacek Jakubowski , Maciej Wisniewolski

In this work, we introduce a novel pricing methodology in general, possibly non-Markovian local stochastic volatility (LSV) models. We observe that by conditioning the LSV dynamics on the Brownian motion that drives the volatility, one…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-24 Peter Bank , Christian Bayer , Peter K. Friz , Luca Pelizzari

Based on a criterium of mathematical simplicity and consistency with empirical market data, a stochastic volatility model has been obtained with the volatility process driven by fractional noise. Depending on whether the stochasticity…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2010-07-28 R. Vilela Mendes , Maria João Oliveira

This paper proposes a semiparametric stochastic volatility (SV) model that relaxes the restrictive Gaussian assumption in both the return and volatility error terms, allowing them to follow flexible, nonparametric distributions with…

Computation · Statistics 2025-06-03 Yudong Feng , Ashis Gangopadhyay

We consider a system of multiscale stochastic differential equations whose slow component is drivenby a fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter H greater than 1/2. Under ergodic assumptions ensuring the applicability of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-10 Xue-Mei Li , Colin Piernot , Szymon Sobczak , Kexing Ying

The Nested factor model was introduced by Chicheportiche et al. to represent non-linear correlations between stocks. Stock returns are explained by a standard factor model, but the (log)-volatilities of factors and residuals are themselves…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-16 Othmane Zarhali , Cecilia Aubrun , Emmanuel Bacry , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud , Jean-François Muzy

The measures of roughness of the volatility in the litterature are based on the realized volatility of high frequency data. Some authors show that this leads to a biased estimate, and does not necessarily indicate roughness of the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-08-01 Fabien Le Floc'h

Standard quantitative models of the stock market predict a log-normal distribution for stock returns (Bachelier 1900, Osborne 1959), but it is recognised (Fama 1965) that empirical data, in comparison with a Gaussian, exhibit leptokurtosis…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Gilles Daniel

The sub-fractional Brownian motion (sfBm) is a stochastic process, characterized by non-stationarity in their increments and long-range dependency, considered as an intermediate step between the standard Brownian motion (Bm) and the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-09 Axel A. Araneda , Nils Bertschinger

We introduce a bootstrap procedure for high-frequency statistics of Brownian semistationary processes. More specifically, we focus on a hypothesis test on the roughness of sample paths of Brownian semistationary processes, which uses an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-06 Mikkel Bennedsen , Ulrich Hounyo , Asger Lunde , Mikko S. Pakkanen

Volatility measures the amplitude of price fluctuations. Despite it is one of the most important quantities in finance, volatility is not directly observable. Here we apply a maximum likelihood method which assumes that price and volatility…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-09-03 Jordi Camprodon , Josep Perelló

This paper advances interest rate modeling in the post-LIBOR era by introducing rough stochastic volatility into the Forward Market Model (FMM). We establish a rigorous asymptotic expansion of swaption implied volatility, connecting the FMM…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-01 Reo Adachi , Masaaki Fukasawa , Naoki Iida , Mitsumasa Ikeda , Yo Nakatsu , Ryota Tsurumi , Tomohisa Yamakami

Understanding the statistical laws governing citation dynamics remains a fundamental challenge in network theory and the science of science. Citation networks typically exhibit in-degree distributions well approximated by log-normal…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-10-14 Keisuke Okamura

Based on a criterion of mathematical simplicity and consistency with empirical market data, a stochastic volatility model has been obtained with the volatility process driven by fractional noise. Depending on whether the stochasticity…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-05 R. Vilela Mendes , M. J. Oliveira , A. M. Rodrigues

We study fractional stochastic volatility models in which the volatility process is a positive continuous function $\sigma$ of a continuous Gaussian process $\widehat{B}$. Forde and Zhang established a large deviation principle for the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-08-06 Archil Gulisashvili

The recently developed rough Bergomi (rBergomi) model is a rough fractional stochastic volatility (RFSV) model which can generate more realistic term structure of at-the-money volatility skews compared with other RFSV models. However, its…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-09-21 Qinwen Zhu , Grégoire Loeper , Wen Chen , Nicolas Langrené