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Statistical inference on the mean of a Poisson distribution is a fundamentally important problem with modern applications in, e.g., particle physics. The discreteness of the Poisson distribution makes this problem surprisingly challenging,…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-07-03 Ryan Martin , Duncan Ermini Leaf , Chuanhai Liu

Probability distributions produced by the cross-entropy loss for ordinal classification problems can possess undesired properties. We propose a straightforward technique to constrain discrete ordinal probability distributions to be unimodal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-06-23 Christopher Beckham , Christopher Pal

In this work, we continue the line of research on the complexity of distributions (Viola, Journal of Computing 2012), and study samplers defined by low degree polynomials. An $n$-tuple $P = (P_1,\dots, P_n)$ of functions $P_i \colon…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2026-05-05 Mohammad Mahdi Khodabandeh , Igor Shinkar

We provide an algorithm for properly learning mixtures of two single-dimensional Gaussians without any separability assumptions. Given $\tilde{O}(1/\varepsilon^2)$ samples from an unknown mixture, our algorithm outputs a mixture that is…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2014-05-20 Constantinos Daskalakis , Gautam Kamath

In this article, we obtain, for the total variance distance, the error bounds between Poisson and convolution of power series distributions via Stein's method. This provides a unified approach to many known discrete distributions. Several…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-26 A. N. Kumar , P. Vellaisamy , F. Viens

In this paper, we consider Bayesian point estimation and predictive density estimation in the binomial case. After presenting preliminary results on these problems, we compare the risk functions of the Bayes estimators based on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-09-13 Yasuyuki Hamura

We study a hypothesis testing problem in which data is compressed distributively and sent to a detector that seeks to decide between two possible distributions for the data. The aim is to characterize all achievable encoding rates and…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2011-02-01 Md. Saifur Rahman , Aaron B. Wagner

We consider a nonlinear polynomial regression model in which we wish to test the null hypothesis of structural stability in the regression parameters against the alternative of a break at an unknown time. We derive the extreme value…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-10-23 Alexander Aue , Lajos Horváth , Marie Hušková , Piotr Kokoszka

The Poisson distribution is the probability distribution of the number of independent events in a given period of time. Although the Poisson distribution appears ubiquitously in various stochastic dynamics of gene expression, both as…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-10-02 Julian Lee

It is a common contention that it is an ``impossible mission'' to exactly determine the minimum sample size for the estimation of a binomial parameter with prescribed margin of error and confidence level. In this paper, we investigate such…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-08-02 Xinjia Chen

A popular approach for testing if two univariate random variables are statistically independent consists of partitioning the sample space into bins, and evaluating a test statistic on the binned data. The partition size matters, and the…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-04-28 Ruth Heller , Yair Heller , Shachar Kaufman , Barak Brill , Malka Gorfine

Distribution testing deals with what information can be deduced about an unknown distribution over $\{1,\ldots,n\}$, where the algorithm is only allowed to obtain a relatively small number of independent samples from the distribution. In…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2016-09-23 Eldar Fischer , Oded Lachish , Yadu Vasudev

The algorithmic theory of randomness is well developed when the underlying space is the set of finite or infinite sequences and the underlying probability distribution is the uniform distribution or a computable distribution. These…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2016-08-31 Peter Gacs

In the problem of high-dimensional convexity testing, there is an unknown set $S \subseteq \mathbb{R}^n$ which is promised to be either convex or $\varepsilon$-far from every convex body with respect to the standard multivariate normal…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2017-06-29 Xi Chen , Adam Freilich , Rocco A. Servedio , Timothy Sun

One aspect of Poisson approximation is that the support of the random variable of interest is often finite while the support of the Poisson distribution is not. In this paper we will remedy this by examining truncated negative binomial (of…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-02 H. L. Gan

We study the probability distribution of the number of zeros of multivariable polynomials with bounded degree over a finite field. We find the probability generating function for each set of bounded degree polynomials. In particular, in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-30 Ritik Jain , Han-Bom Moon , Peter Wu

We propose new goodness-of-fit tests for the Poisson distribution. The testing procedure entails fitting a weighted Poisson distribution, which has the Poisson as a special case, to observed data. Based on sample data, we calculate an…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-21 Winnie Kirui , Elzanie Bothma , Marius Smuts , Anke Steyn , Jaco Visagie

We study the problem of testing \emph{conditional independence} for discrete distributions. Specifically, given samples from a discrete random variable $(X, Y, Z)$ on domain $[\ell_1]\times[\ell_2] \times [n]$, we want to distinguish, with…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2018-07-03 Clément L. Canonne , Ilias Diakonikolas , Daniel M. Kane , Alistair Stewart

We investigate distribution testing with access to non-adaptive conditional samples. In the conditional sampling model, the algorithm is given the following access to a distribution: it submits a query set $S$ to an oracle, which returns a…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2018-11-06 Gautam Kamath , Christos Tzamos

As statistical analyses become more central to science, industry and society, there is a growing need to ensure correctness of their results. Approximate correctness can be verified by replicating the entire analysis, but can we verify…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2024-09-11 Tal Herman , Guy Rothblum
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