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We investigate two stochastic models of a growing population subject to selection and mutation. In our models each individual carries a fitness which determines its mean offspring number. Many of these offspring inherit their parent's…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-12 Su-Chan Park , Joachim Krug , Léo Touzo , Peter Mörters

Statistical fluctuations in population sizes of microbes may be quite large depending on the nature of their underlying stochastic dynamics. For example, the variance of the population size of a microbe undergoing a pure birth process with…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-06-27 Dipjyoti Das , Dibyendu Das , Ashok Prasad

Comprehensive models of stochastic, clonally reproducing populations are defined in terms of general branching processes, allowing birth during maternal life, as for higher organisms, or by splitting, as in cell division. The populations…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-10-14 Kais Hamza , Peter Jagers , Fima C. Klebaner

We propose a stochastic model for evolution. Births and deaths of species occur with constant probabilities. Each new species is associated with a fitness sampled from the uniform distribution on [0,1]. Every time there is a death event…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-11-09 Herve Guiol , Fabio P. Machado , Rinaldo B. Schinazi

The classical Luria-Delbr\"uck model for fluctuation analysis is extended to the case where cells can either divide or die at the end of their generation time. This leads to a family of probability distributions generalizing the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-05-30 Bernard Ycart

We consider a stochastic individual-based model of adaptive dynamics for an asexually reproducing population with mutation, with linear birth and death rates, as well as a density-dependent competition. To depict repeating changes of the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-05-28 Manuel Esser , Anna Kraut

Biological tools such as genetic lineage tracing, three dimensional confocal microscopy and next generation DNA sequencing are providing new ways to quantify the distribution of clones of normal and mutated cells. Population-wide clone size…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2013-11-25 Roshan A , Jones PH , Greenman CD

We develop a stochastic framework for viral population dynamics at the cellular level that explicitly incorporates the replication cycle with random stage durations. The model is formulated as a structured birth-death process coupled with a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-05-13 Seong Jun Park

Predicting evolution of expanding populations is critical to control biological threats such as invasive species and cancer metastasis. Expansion is primarily driven by reproduction and dispersal, but nature abounds with examples of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-04-26 Maxime Deforet , Carlos Carmona-Fontaine , Kirill S. Korolev , Joao B. Xavier

The Luria--Delbr\"uck mutation model is a cornerstone of evolution theory and has been mathematically formulated in a number of ways. In this paper we illustrate how this model of mutation rates can be derived by means of classical…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-12-02 Lorenzo Pareschi , Giuseppe Toscani

Establishing a quantitative connection between the population growth rate and the generation times of single cells is a prerequisite for understanding evolutionary dynamics of microbes. However, existing theories fail to account for the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-09-19 Jie Lin , Ariel Amir

In exponentially proliferating populations of microbes, the population typically doubles at a rate less than the average doubling time of a single-cell due to variability at the single-cell level. It is known that the distribution of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-29 Ethan Levien , Trevor GrandPre , Ariel Amir

In the present work we analyze the problem of adaptation and evolution of RNA virus populations, by defining the basic stochastic model as a multivariate branching process in close relation with the branching process advanced by Demetrius,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-02-11 Fernando Antoneli , Francisco Bosco , Diogo Castro , Luiz Mario Janini

This paper calculates probability distributions modeling the Luria-Delbr\"uck experiment. We show that by thinking purely in terms of generating functions, and using a 'backwards in time' paradigm, that formulas describing various…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-08-16 Stephen Montgomery-Smith , Anh Le , George Smith , Sidney Billstein , Hesam Oveys , Dylan Pisechko , Austin Yates

We aim to understand the evolution of the genetic composition of cancer cell populations. To achieve this, we consider an individual-based model representing a cell population where cells divide, die and mutate along the edges of a finite…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-18 Vianney Brouard

This paper theoretically analyzes a phenomenological stochastic model for bacterial growth. This model comprises cell division and the linear growth of cells, where growth rates and cell cycles are drawn from lognormal distributions. We…

Biological Physics · Physics 2016-06-28 Ken Yamamoto , Jun-ichi Wakita

Understanding the time evolution of fragmented animal populations and their habitats, connected by migration, is a problem of both theoretical and practical interest. This paper presents a method for calculating the time evolution of the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2008-12-04 Anders Eriksson

The Luria-Delbr\"uck mutation model has a long history and has been mathematically formulated in several different ways. Here we tackle the problem in the case of a continuous distribution using some mathematical tools from nonlinear…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2011-12-14 Eugene Kashdan , Lorenzo Pareschi

A simplified model for the growth of a population is studied in which random effects arise because reproducing individuals have a certain probability of surviving until the next breeding season and hence contributing to the next generation.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-04-05 Henry C. Tuckwell

Horizontal gene transfer consists in exchanging genetic materials between microorganisms during their lives. This is a major mechanism of bacterial evolution and is believed to be of main importance in antibiotics resistance. We consider a…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-18 Nicolas Champagnat , Sylvie Méléard , Viet Chi Tran