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We analyse the infection-age-dependent SIR model from a numerical point of view. First, we present an algorithm for calculating the solution the infection-age-structured SIR model without demography of the background host. Second, we…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-06-29 Ralph Brinks , Annika Hoyer

The susceptible-exposed-infectious-susceptible (SEIS) model is well-known in mathematical epidemiology as a model of infection in which there is a latent period between the moment of infection and the onset of infectiousness. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-06 Eric Foxall

We study the phase transition from the persistence phase to the extinction phase for the SIRS (susceptible/ infected/ refractory/ susceptible) model of diseases spreading on small world network. We show the effects of all the parameters…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-11-19 Mohammed Ali Saif

We study the classic Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) model for the spread of an infectious disease. In this stochastic process, there are two competing mechanism: infection and recovery. Susceptible individuals may contract the disease…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-05-08 E. Ben-Naim , P. L. Krapivsky

The standard way to estimate the parameters $\Theta_\text{SEIR}$ (e.g., the transmission rate $\beta$) of an SEIR model is to use grid search, where simulations are performed on each set of parameters, and the parameter set leading to the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-01 Chun Fan , Yuxian Meng , Xiaofei Sun , Fei Wu , Tianwei Zhang , Jiwei Li

We develop a multiple compartment Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) model to analyze the spread of several infectious diseases through different geographic areas. Additionally, we propose a data-quality sensitive optimization framework…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-06-21 Inbar Seroussi , Nir Levy , Daniela Paolotti , Nir Sochen , Elad Yom-Tov

Detecting the origin of information or infection spread in networks is a fundamental challenge with applications in misinformation tracking, epidemiology, and beyond. We study the multi-source detection problem: given snapshot observations…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-12-02 Xingchao Jian , Purui Zhang , Lan Tian , Feng Ji , Wenfei Liang , Wee Peng Tay , Bihan Wen , Felix Krahmer

This paper addresses novel consensus problems for multi-agent systems operating in an unreliable environment where adversaries are spreading. The dynamics of the adversarial spreading processes follows the susceptible-infected-recovered…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-01-12 Yuan Wang , Hideaki Ishii , François Bonnet , Xavier Défago

In social networks, control of rumor spread is an active area of research. SIR model is generally used to study the rumor dynamics in network while considering the rumor as an epidemic. In disease spreading model, epidemic is controlled by…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-09-29 Anoop Mehta , Ruchir Gupta

The Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) model is the cornerstone of epidemiological models. However, this specification depends on two parameters only, which implies a lack of flexibility and the difficulty to replicate the volatile…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-11-17 Christian Gourieroux , Yang Lu

Incidence estimation of HIV infection can be performed using recent infection testing algorithm (RITA) results from a cross-sectional sample. This allows practitioners to understand population trends in the HIV epidemic without having to…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-13 Marlena Bannick , Deborah Donnell , Richard Hayes , Oliver Laeyendecker , Fei Gao

A simplified susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) epidemic model and a small-world model are applied to analyse the spread and control of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS) for Hong Kong in early 2003. From data available in mid April…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Pengliang Shi , Michael Small

We present an exact analytical solution to a one-dimensional model of the Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) epidemic type, with infection rates dependent on nearest-neighbor occupations. We use a quantum mechanical approach, transforming…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-30 H. Thomas Williams , Irina Mazilu , Dan Mazilu

Models of spread processes over non-trivial networks are commonly motivated by modeling and analysis of biological networks, computer networks, and human contact networks. However, identification of such models has not yet been explored in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-01-27 Philip E. Pare , Ji Liu , Carolyn L. Beck , Barret E. Kirwan , Tamer Basar

In this paper, we study the dynamics of epidemic processes taking place in adaptive networks of arbitrary topology. We focus our study on the adaptive susceptible-infected-susceptible (ASIS) model, where healthy individuals are allowed to…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-06-29 Masaki Ogura , Victor M. Preciado

The emergence of novel infectious agents presents challenges to statistical models of disease transmission. These challenges arise from limited, poor-quality data and an incomplete understanding of the agent. Moreover, outbreaks manifest…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-20 Jiasheng Shi , Jeffrey S. Morris , David M. Rubin , Jing Huang

It is the main purpose of this paper to introduce a graph-valued stochastic process in order to model the spread of a communicable infectious disease. The major novelty of the SIR model we promote lies in the fact that the social network on…

Applications · Statistics 2014-02-06 Charanpal Dhanjal , Stéphan Clémençon

We study the problem of identifying the source of emerging large-scale outbreaks of foodborne disease. To solve the source identification problem we formulate a probabilistic model of the contamination diffusion process as a random walk on…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-05-09 Abigail L. Horn , Hanno Friedrich

We consider in this paper a general SEIRS model describing the dynamics of an infectious disease including latency, waning immunity and infection-induced mortality. We derive an infinite system of differential equations that provides an…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-01-26 Marcel Fang , Pierre-Alexandre Bliman

Epidemic spread on networks is one of the most studied dynamics in network science and has important implications in real epidemic scenarios. Nonetheless, the dynamics of real epidemics and how it is affected by the underline structure of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-09-08 Bnaya Gross , Shlomo Havlin
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