English
Related papers

Related papers: Optimal Inference After Model Selection

200 papers

This thesis studies two problems in modern statistics. First, we study selective inference, or inference for hypothesis that are chosen after looking at the data. The motiving application is inference for regression coefficients selected by…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-07-02 Jason D. Lee

The maximum type-I and type-II error exponents associated with the newly introduced almost-fixed-length hypothesis testing is characterized. In this class of tests, the decision-maker declares the true hypothesis almost always after…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-05-18 Anusha Lalitha , Tara Javidi

Likelihood-free inference refers to inference when a likelihood function cannot be explicitly evaluated, which is often the case for models based on simulators. Most of the literature is based on sample-based `Approximate Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-22 Conor Durkan , George Papamakarios , Iain Murray

In a linear regression model with random design, we consider a family of candidate models from which we want to select a `good' model for prediction out-of-sample. We fit the models using block shrinkage estimators, and we focus on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-09-13 Hannes Leeb , Nina Senitschnig

Inference and prediction under the sparsity assumption have been a hot research topic in recent years. However, in practice, the sparsity assumption is difficult to test, and more importantly can usually be violated. In this paper, to study…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-10-18 Yanmei Shi , Zhiruo Li , Qi Zhang

We propose a unified framework to draw inferences for regression coefficients in a generalized linear model (GLM) following Lasso-based variable selection. We adapt to non-Gaussian GLMs a recently developed parametric programming strategy…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-27 Qinyan Shen , Karl Gregory , Xianzheng Huang

Bayesian statistical inference loses predictive optimality when generative models are misspecified. Working within an existing coherent loss-based generalisation of Bayesian inference, we show existing Modular/Cut-model inference is…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-18 Chris U. Carmona , Geoff K. Nicholls

Ordinal measurements are common outcomes in studies within psychology, as well as in the social and behavioral sciences. Choosing an appropriate regression model for analysing such data poses a difficult task. This paper aims to facilitate…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-03 Stefan Inerle , Markus Pauly , Moritz Berger

We study full Bayesian procedures for high-dimensional linear regression. We adopt data-dependent empirical priors introduced in [1]. In their paper, these priors have nice posterior contraction properties and are easy to compute. Our paper…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-02-14 Xiao Fang , Malay Ghosh

Selective classification enhances the reliability of predictive models by allowing them to abstain from making uncertain predictions. In this work, we revisit the design of optimal selection functions through the lens of the Neyman--Pearson…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-04 Alvin Heng , Harold Soh

This paper addresses the following general scenario: A scientist wishes to perform a battery of experiments, each generating a sequential stream of data, to investigate some phenomenon. The scientist would like to control the overall error…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-05-12 Jay Bartroff , Jinlin Song

This technical note considers the sampling of outcomes that provide the greatest amount of information about the structure of underlying world models. This generalisation furnishes a principled approach to structure learning under a…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2025-12-25 Karl Friston , Lancelot Da Costa , Alexander Tschantz , Conor Heins , Christopher Buckley , Tim Verbelen , Thomas Parr

A common goal in modern biostatistics is to form a biomarker signature from high dimensional gene expression data that is predictive of some outcome of interest. After learning this biomarker signature, an important question to answer is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-05 Samuel M. Gross , Jonathan Taylor , Robert Tibshirani

Machine unlearning is the process of efficiently removing specific information from a trained machine learning model without retraining from scratch. Existing unlearning methods, which often provide provable guarantees, typically involve…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-04 Somnath Basu Roy Chowdhury , Rahul Kidambi , Avinava Dubey , David Wang , Gokhan Mergen , Amr Ahmed , Aranyak Mehta

Applied statistical problems often come with pre-specified groupings to predictors. It is natural to test for the presence of simultaneous group-wide signal for groups in isolation, or for multiple groups together. Classical tests for the…

Applications · Statistics 2015-11-25 Stephen Reid , Jonathan Taylor , Robert Tibshirani

We compare several confidence intervals after model selection in the setting recently studied by Berk et al. [Ann. Statist. 41 (2013) 802-837], where the goal is to cover not the true parameter but a certain nonstandard quantity of interest…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-07-30 Hannes Leeb , Benedikt M. Pötscher , Karl Ewald

While Bayesian methods are praised for their ability to incorporate useful prior knowledge, in practice, convenient priors that allow for computationally cheap or tractable inference are commonly used. In this paper, we investigate the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-07-14 Willie Neiswanger , Eric Xing

In multiple testing scenarios, typically the sign of a parameter is inferred when its estimate exceeds some significance threshold in absolute value. Typically, the significance threshold is chosen to control the experimentwise type I error…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-01-03 Chaoyu Yu , Peter D. Hoff

This paper discusses predictive inference and feature selection for generalized linear models with scarce but high-dimensional data. We argue that in many cases one can benefit from a decision theoretically justified two-stage approach:…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-09 Juho Piironen , Markus Paasiniemi , Aki Vehtari

Posterior probabilistic statistical inference without priors is an important but so far elusive goal. Fisher's fiducial inference, Dempster-Shafer theory of belief functions, and Bayesian inference with default priors are attempts to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-03-26 Ryan Martin , Chuanhai Liu
‹ Prev 1 4 5 6 7 8 10 Next ›