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We propose a nonparametric factorization approach for sparsely observed tensors. The sparsity does not mean zero-valued entries are massive or dominated. Rather, it implies the observed entries are very few, and even fewer with the growth…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-04 Conor Tillinghast , Zheng Wang , Shandian Zhe

The development of parsimonious models for reliable inference and prediction of responses in high-dimensional regression settings is often challenging due to relatively small sample sizes and the presence of complex interaction patterns…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-04-15 Subharup Guha , Veerabhadran Baladandayuthapani

The literature on Bayesian methods for the analysis of discrete-time semi-Markov processes is sparse. In this paper, we introduce the semi-Markov beta-Stacy process, a stochastic process useful for the Bayesian non-parametric analysis of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-24 Andrea Arfè , Stefano Peluso , Pietro Muliere

This paper proposes a nonparametric Bayesian framework called VariScan for simultaneous clustering, variable selection, and prediction in high-throughput regression settings. Poisson-Dirichlet processes are utilized to detect…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-08 Subharup Guha , Veerabhadran Baladandayuthapani

We introduce a new class of nonparametric prior distributions on the space of continuously varying densities, induced by Dirichlet process mixtures which diffuse in time. These select time-indexed random functions without jumps, whose…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-02-10 Ramsés H. Mena , Matteo Ruggiero

We develop an automated variational method for inference in models with Gaussian process (GP) priors and general likelihoods. The method supports multiple outputs and multiple latent functions and does not require detailed knowledge of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-06 Edwin V. Bonilla , Karl Krauth , Amir Dezfouli

Gaussian processes (GPs) are frequently used in machine learning and statistics to construct powerful models. However, when employing GPs in practice, important considerations must be made, regarding the high computational burden,…

Computation · Statistics 2021-03-08 Karla Monterrubio-Gómez , Sara Wade

We consider nonparametric Bayesian estimation and prediction for nonhomogeneous Poisson process models with unknown intensity functions. We propose a class of improper priors for intensity functions. Nonparametric Bayesian inference with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-17 Fumiyasu Komaki

Discrete random structures are important tools in Bayesian nonparametrics and the resulting models have proven effective in density estimation, clustering, topic modeling and prediction, among others. In this paper, we consider nested…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-17 Federico Camerlenghi , David B. Dunson , Antonio Lijoi , Igor Prünster , Abel Rodríguez

Point pattern data often exhibit features such as abrupt changes, hotspots and spatially varying dependence in local intensity. Under a Poisson process framework, these correspond to discontinuities and nonstationarity in the underlying…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-24 Izabel Nolau , Flávio B. Gonçalves , Dani Gamerman

Nonparametric mixture models based on the Dirichlet process are an elegant alternative to finite models when the number of underlying components is unknown, but inference in such models can be slow. Existing attempts to parallelize…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-12-03 Sinead A. Williamson , Avinava Dubey , Eric P. Xing

Gaussian processes (GPs) are nonparametric priors over functions. Fitting a GP implies computing a posterior distribution of functions consistent with the observed data. Similarly, deep Gaussian processes (DGPs) should allow us to compute a…

The beta distribution serves as a canonical tool for modeling probabilities in statistics and machine learning. However, there is limited work on flexible and computationally convenient stochastic process extensions for modeling dependent…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-18 Changwoo J. Lee , Alessandro Zito , Huiyan Sang , David B. Dunson

Gaussian graphical models have been used to study intrinsic dependence among several variables, but the Gaussianity assumption may be restrictive in many applications. A nonparanormal graphical model is a semiparametric generalization for…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-20 Jami J. Mulgrave , Subhashis Ghosal

While there is an increasing amount of literature about Bayesian time series analysis, only a few Bayesian nonparametric approaches to multivariate time series exist. Most methods rely on Whittle's Likelihood, involving the second order…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-11-27 Alexander Meier , Claudia Kirch , Renate Meyer

Infinite-activity completely random measures (CRMs) have become important building blocks of complex Bayesian nonparametric models. They have been successfully used in various applications such as clustering, density estimation, latent…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-06 Juho Lee , Xenia Miscouridou , François Caron

Probabilistic approaches for handling count-valued time sequences have attracted amounts of research attentions because their ability to infer explainable latent structures and to estimate uncertainties, and thus are especially suitable for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-24 Jiahao Wang , Sikun Yang , Heinz Koeppl , Xiuzhen Cheng , Pengfei Hu , Guoming Zhang

Stochastic processes are a flexible and widely used family of models for statistical modeling. While stochastic processes offer attractive properties such as inclusion of uncertainty properties, their inference is typically intractable,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-10 Teemu Härkönen , Simo Särkkä

We propose a scalable framework for inference in an inhomogeneous Poisson process modeled by a continuous sigmoidal Cox process that assumes the corresponding intensity function is given by a Gaussian process (GP) prior transformed with a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-10 Virginia Aglietti , Edwin V. Bonilla , Theodoros Damoulas , Sally Cripps

In Bayesian semi-parametric analyses of time-to-event data, non-parametric process priors are adopted for the baseline hazard function or the cumulative baseline hazard function for a given finite partition of the time axis. However, it…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-06 Yi Li , Sumi Seo , Kyu Ha Lee