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Given a finite collection of estimators or classifiers, we study the problem of model selection type aggregation, that is, we construct a new estimator or classifier, called aggregate, which is nearly as good as the best among them with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-11-10 A. Juditsky , P. Rigollet , A. B. Tsybakov

The Adaptive Multilevel Splitting algorithm is a very powerful and versatile iterative method to estimate the probability of rare events, based on an interacting particle systems. In an other article, in a so-called idealized setting, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-21 Charles-Edouard Bréhier , Ludovic Goudenège , Loic Tudela

A fully stochastic second-order adaptive-regularization method for unconstrained nonconvex optimization is presented which never computes the objective-function value, but yet achieves the optimal $\mathcal{O}(\epsilon^{-3/2})$ complexity…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-01-22 Serge Gratton , Sadok Jerad , Philippe L. Toint

We establish minimax optimal rates of convergence for nonparametric estimation in functional ANOVA models when data from first-order partial derivatives are available. Our results reveal that partial derivatives can improve convergence…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-09-12 Xiaowu Dai , Peter Chien

Variational methods are extremely popular in the analysis of network data. Statistical guarantees obtained for these methods typically provide asymptotic normality for the problem of estimation of global model parameters under the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-11-08 Solenne Gaucher , Olga Klopp

We consider the fundamental problem of matching a template to a signal. We do so by M-estimation, which encompasses procedures that are robust to gross errors (i.e., outliers). Using standard results from empirical process theory, we derive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-10 Ery Arias-Castro , Lin Zheng

In this paper, we investigate the statistical convergence rate of a Bayesian low-rank tensor estimator. Our problem setting is the regression problem where a tensor structure underlying the data is estimated. This problem setting occurs in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-08-14 Taiji Suzuki

We investigate the joint asymptotic behavior of so-called blocks estimator of the extremal index, that determines the mean length of clusters of extremes, based on the exceedances over different thresholds. Due to the large bias of these…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-07-06 Holger Drees

We develop a finite-sample optimal estimator for regression discontinuity design when the outcomes are bounded, including binary outcomes as the leading case. Our estimator achieves minimax mean squared error among linear shrinkage…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-12-29 Takuya Ishihara , Masayuki Sawada , Kohei Yata

We establish some uniform limit results in the setting of additive regression model estimation. Our results allow to give an asymptotic 100% confidence bands for these components. These results are stated in the framework of i.i.d random…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-11 Mohammed Debbarh

In this paper, we are interested in the study of beta kernel estimators from an asymptotic minimax point of view. It is well known that beta kernel estimators are, on the contrary of classical kernel estimators, "free of boundary effect"…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-01-15 Karine Bertin , Nicolas Klutchnikoff

Additive regression models have a long history in multivariate nonparametric regression. They provide a model in which each regression function depends only on a single explanatory variable allowing to obtain estimators at the optimal…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-09-16 Graciela Boente , Alejandra Martinez

Estimation of convex functions finds broad applications in engineering and science, while convex shape constraint gives rise to numerous challenges in asymptotic performance analysis. This paper is devoted to minimax optimal estimation of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-06-11 Teresa M. Lebair , Jinglai Shen , Xiao Wang

In this paper, we analyze the continuous armed bandit problems for nonconvex cost functions under certain smoothness and sublevel set assumptions. We first derive an upper bound on the expected cumulative regret of a simple bin splitting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-31 Puning Zhao , Lifeng Lai

This article investigates a distributed aggregative optimization problem subject to coupled affine inequality constraints, in which local objective functions depend not only on their own decision variables but also on an aggregation of all…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-06-13 Kaixin Du , Min Meng

We propose an estimator of prediction error using an approximate message passing (AMP) algorithm that can be applied to a broad range of sparse penalties. Following Stein's lemma, the estimator of the generalized degrees of freedom, which…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-08-01 Ayaka Sakata

Quantile aggregation with dependence uncertainty has a long history in probability theory with wide applications in finance, risk management, statistics, and operations research. Using a recent result on inf-convolution of quantile-based…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-09 Jose Blanchet , Henry Lam , Yang Liu , Ruodu Wang

We develop a novel procedure for estimating the optimizer of general convex stochastic optimization problems of the form $\min_{x\in\mathcal{X}} \mathbb{E}[F(x,\xi)]$, when the given data is a finite independent sample selected according to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-01-26 Daniel Bartl , Shahar Mendelson

Random sampling is an essential tool in the processing and transmission of data. It is used to summarize data too large to store or manipulate and meet resource constraints on bandwidth or battery power. Estimators that are applied to the…

Databases · Computer Science 2015-03-19 Edith Cohen , Haim Kaplan

Evaluating treatments received by one population for application to a different target population of scientific interest is a central problem in causal inference from observational studies. We study the minimax linear estimator of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-01 David A. Hirshberg , Arian Maleki , Jose R. Zubizarreta