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This study investigates the functioning of modern payment systems through the lens of banks' maturity mismatch practices, and it examines the effects of banks' refusal to roll over short-term interbank liabilities on financial stability.…

General Economics · Economics 2023-06-12 Jessica Reale

Node centrality is one of the most important and widely used concepts in the study of complex networks. Here, we extend the paradigm of node centrality in financial and economic networks to consider the changes of node "importance" produced…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-06-05 Paolo Bartesaghi , Michele Benzi , Gian Paolo Clemente , Rosanna Grassi , Ernesto Estrada

We study insolvency cascades in an interbank system when banks are allowed to insure their loans with credit default swaps (CDS) sold by other banks. We show that, by properly shifting financial exposures from one institution to another, a…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-10-16 Matt V. Leduc , Sebastian Poledna , Stefan Thurner

Networks of financial exposures are the key propagators of risk and distress among banks, but their empirical structure is not publicly available because of confidentiality. This limitation has triggered the development of methods of…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-08-07 Valentina Macchiati , Piero Mazzarisi , Diego Garlaschelli

When banks extend loans to each other, they generate a negative externality in the form of systemic risk. They create a network of interbank exposures by which they expose other banks to potential insolvency cascades. In this paper, we show…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2017-06-26 Matt V. Leduc , Stefan Thurner

This study presents a method to predict the growth fluctuation of firms interdependent in a network economy. The risk of downward growth fluctuation of firms is calculated from the statistics on Japanese industry.

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-06-10 Yoshiharu Maeno

In the wake of the still ongoing global financial crisis, bank interdependencies have come into focus in trying to assess linkages among banks and systemic risk. To date, such analysis has largely been based on numerical data. By contrast,…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-07-28 Samuel Rönnqvist , Peter Sarlin

When studying social, economic and biological systems, one has often access to only limited information about the structure of the underlying networks. An example of paramount importance is provided by financial systems: information on the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-10-31 Tiziano Squartini , Guido Caldarelli , Giulio Cimini , Andrea Gabrielli , Diego Garlaschelli

We study the mean field approximation of a recent model of cascades on networks relevant to the investigation of systemic risk control in financial networks. In the model, the hypothesis of a trend reinforcement in the stochastic process…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-11-13 Jan Lorenz , Stefano Battiston

In this paper we develop a novel hidden Markov graphical model to investigate time-varying interconnectedness between different financial markets. To identify conditional correlation structures under varying market conditions and…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-06 Beatrice Foroni , Luca Merlo , Lea Petrella

We study proliferation of an action in binary action network coordination games that are generalized to include global effects. This captures important aspects of proliferation of a particular action or narrative in online social networks,…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-08-02 John Higgins , Tarun Sabarwal

We use bank-level balance sheet data from 2005 to 2010 to study interactions within the banking system of five emerging countries: Argentina, Brazil, Mexico, South Africa, and Taiwan. For each country we construct a financial network based…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-07-08 Diego Aparicio , Daniel Fraiman

The importance of adequately modeling credit risk has once again been highlighted in the recent financial crisis. Defaults tend to cluster around times of economic stress due to poor macro-economic conditions, {\em but also} by directly…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-04 Sebastian Heise , Reimer Kuehn

We model a network economy with three sectors: downstream firms, upstream firms, and banks. Agents are linked by productive and credit relationships so that the behavior of one agent influences the behavior of the others through network…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-06-18 Domenico Delli Gatti , Mauro Gallegati , Bruce Greenwald , Alberto Russo , Joseph E. Stiglitz

We provide a framework for detecting relevant insurance companies in a systemic risk perspective. Among the alternative methodologies for measuring systemic risk, we propose a complex network approach where insurers are linked to form a…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-11-24 Gian Paolo Clemente , Alessandra Cornaro

A susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) model of multiple contagions on multilayer networks is developed to incorporate different spreading channels and disease mutations. The basic reproduction number for this model is estimated…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-03-31 Petar Jovanovski , Igor Tomovski , Ljupco Kocarev

Understanding the process by which a contagion disseminates throughout a network is of great importance in many real world applications. The required sophistication of the inference approach depends on the type of information we want to…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-05-26 Shohreh Shaghaghian , Mark Coates

In [1] Zawadoski introduces a banking network model in which the asset and counter-party risks are treated separately and the banks hedge their assets risks by appropriate OTC contracts. In his model, each bank has only two counter-party…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-08-20 Bhaskar DasGupta , Lakshmi Kaligounder

The dynamic network of relationships among corporations underlies cascading economic failures including the current economic crisis, and can be inferred from correlations in market value fluctuations. We analyze the time dependence of the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-11-18 Dion Harmon , Blake Stacey , Yavni Bar-Yam , Yaneer Bar-Yam

This paper develops a dynamic monetary model to study the (in)stability of the fractional reserve banking system. The model shows that the fractional reserve banking system can endanger stability in that equilibrium is more prone to exhibit…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-04-18 Heon Lee