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We consider a dynamical model of distress propagation on complex networks, which we apply to the study of financial contagion in networks of banks connected to each other by direct exposures. The model that we consider is an extension of…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-10-05 Marco Bardoscia , Fabio Caccioli , Juan Ignacio Perotti , Gianna Vivaldo , Guido Caldarelli

This paper studies the network structure and fragmentation of the Argentinean interbank market. Both the unsecured (CALL) and the secured (REPO) markets are examined, applying complex network analysis. Results indicate that, although the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-08-25 Federico Forte , Pedro Elosegui , Gabriel Montes-Rojas

This paper introduces forward-looking measures of the network connectedness of fears in the financial system, arising due to the good and bad beliefs of market participants about uncertainty that spreads unequally across a network of banks.…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-27 Jozef Barunik , Mattia Bevilacqua , Radu Tunaru

This paper introduces a novel framework to study default dependence and systemic risk in a financial network that evolves over time. We analyse several indicators of risk, and develop a new latent space model to assess the health of key…

Applications · Statistics 2020-10-02 Laleh Tafakori , Armin Pourkhanali , Riccardo Rastelli

Interbank contagion can theoretically exacerbate losses in a financial system and lead to additional cascade defaults during downturn. In this paper we produce default analysis using both regression and neural network models to verify…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-05-29 Riccardo Doyle

A simple banking network model is proposed which features multiple waves of bank defaults and is analytically solvable in the limiting case of an infinitely large homogeneous network. The model is a collection of nodes representing…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2012-04-02 Igor Tsatskis

We propose a dynamic network model where two mechanisms control the probability of a link between two nodes: (i) the existence or absence of this link in the past, and (ii) node-specific latent variables (dynamic fitnesses) describing the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-01-03 Piero Mazzarisi , Paolo Barucca , Fabrizio Lillo , Daniele Tantari

We introduce a probabilistic framework that represents stylized banking networks with the aim of predicting the size of contagion events. Most previous work on random financial networks assumes independent connections between banks, whereas…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-04-12 Thomas R. Hurd , James P. Gleeson , Sergey Melnik

We use the theory of complex networks in order to quantitatively characterize the formation of communities in a particular financial market. The system is composed by different banks exchanging on a daily basis loans and debts of liquidity.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 G. De Masi , G. Iori , G. Caldarelli

In this paper we study the implications of contingent payments on the clearing wealth in a network model of financial contagion. We consider an extension of the Eisenberg-Noe financial contagion model in which the nominal interbank…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-12-14 Tathagata Banerjee , Zachary Feinstein

The 2008 financial crisis illustrated the need for a thorough, functional understanding of systemic risk in strongly interconnected financial structures. Dynamic processes on complex networks being intrinsically difficult, most recent…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-08-05 Matteo Smerlak , Brady Stoll , Agam Gupta , James S. Magdanz

Article about objective laws of formation of a distributive infrastructure of e-commerce. The distributive infrastructure of e-commerce, according to the author, plays an important role in formation of network economy. The author opens…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2016-02-25 Mikhail Kaluzhsky

In this paper we estimate the propagation of liquidity shocks through interbank markets when the information about the underlying credit network is incomplete. We show that techniques such as Maximum Entropy currently used to reconstruct…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-10-08 Iacopo Mastromatteo , Elia Zarinelli , Matteo Marsili

Propagation of balance-sheet or cash-flow insolvency across financial institutions may be modeled as a cascade process on a network representing their mutual exposures. We derive rigorous asymptotic results for the magnitude of contagion in…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-03-26 Hamed Amini , Rama Cont , Andreea Minca

Global trade of material goods involves the potential to create pathways for the spread of infectious pathogens. One trade sector in which this synergy is clearly critical is that of wildlife trade networks. This highly complex system…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-04-10 John S. McAlister , Jesse L. Brunner , Danielle J. Galvin , Nina H. Fefferman

We propose a statistical model for weighted temporal networks capable of measuring the level of heterogeneity in a financial system. Our model focuses on the level of diversification of financial institutions; that is, whether they are more…

Applications · Statistics 2018-08-15 Juraj Hledik , Riccardo Rastelli

Research capacity is critical in understanding systemic risk and informing new regulation. Banking regulation has not kept pace with all the complexities of financial innovation. The academic literature on systemic risk is rapidly…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2013-10-25 Antoaneta Sergueiva

In this paper we study the effect of network structure between agents and objects on measures for systemic risk. We model the influence of sharing large exogeneous losses to the financial or (re)insuance market by a bipartite graph. Using…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-10-05 Oliver Kley , Claudia Klüppelberg , Gesine Reinert

Management of systemic risk in financial markets is traditionally associated with setting (higher) capital requirements for market participants. There are indications that while equity ratios have been increased massively since the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-05-16 Christian Diem , Anton Pichler , Stefan Thurner

An interbank market lets participants pool the risk arising from the combination of illiquid investments and random withdrawals by depositors. But it also creates the potential for one bank's failure to trigger off avalanches of further…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-07 Giulia Iori , Saqib Jafarey