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Related papers: Low Frequency L\'evy Copula Estimation

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It is shown that statistics of records for time series generated by random walks are independent of the details of the jump distribution, as long as the latter is continuous and symmetric. In N steps, the mean of the record distribution…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-08-04 Satya N. Majumdar , Robert M. Ziff

Variational inference (VI) has become a widely used approach for scalable Bayesian inference, but its performance strongly depends on the flexibility of the chosen variational family. In this work, we propose a novel variational family that…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-03 Giovanni Piccirilli , Aluísio Pinheiro

We study offline change-point estimation for time series data exhibiting nonlinear serial dependence. To address this problem, we propose a copula-based Markov chain model with Weibull marginal distributions, which is suitable for modeling…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-29 Li-Hsien Sun , Zong-Yuan Huang , Yi-Ling Huang , Chi-Yang Chiu , Ning Ning

We propose a score test for dependence predictability in conditional copulas that is robust to temporal instabilities. Our semiparametric procedure accommodates flexible dynamics in the marginal processes and remains agnostic about the…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-03 Alexander Mayer , Tatsushi Oka , Dominik Wied

To disentangle the complex non-stationary dependence structure of precipitation extremes over the entire contiguous U.S., we propose a flexible local approach based on factor copula models. Our sub-asymptotic spatial modeling framework…

Applications · Statistics 2019-03-26 Daniela Castro-Camilo , Raphaël Huser

We study the nonparametric estimation of the jump density of a renewal reward process from one discretely observed sample path over [0,T]. We consider the regime when the sampling rate goes to 0. The main difficulty is that a renewal reward…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-07-09 Celine Duval

Dependence strucuture estimation is one of the important problems in machine learning domain and has many applications in different scientific areas. In this paper, a theoretical framework for such estimation based on copula and copula…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-11 Jian Ma , Zengqi Sun

In this paper we study the problem of constructing bootstrap confidence intervals for the L\'evy density of the driving L\'evy process based on high-frequency observations of a L\'evy-driven moving average processes. Using a spectral…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-15 D. Belomestny , E. Ivanova , T. Orlova

The study of distributed order calculus usually concerns about fractional derivatives of the form $\int_0^1 \partial^\alpha u \, m(d\alpha)$ for some measure $m$, eventually a probability measure. In this paper an approach based on L\'evy…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-20 Bruno Toaldo

This paper develops a robust parametric framework for jump detection in discretely observed CKLS-type jump-diffusion processes with high-frequency asymptotics, based on the minimum density power divergence estimator (MDPDE). The methodology…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-06 Sourojyoti Barick

We consider correlated L\'evy walks on a class of two- and three-dimensional deterministic self-similar structures, with correlation between steps induced by the geometrical distribution of regions, featuring different diffusion properties.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-03-19 Pierfrancesco Buonsante , Raffaella Burioni , Alessandro Vezzani

We investigate the probability of observing a given pattern of $n$ rises and falls in a random stationary data series. The data are modelled as a sequence of $n+1$ independent and identically distributed random numbers. This probabilistic…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-04-29 J M Luck

L\'evy copulas are an important tool which can be used to build dependent L\'evy processes. In a classical setting, they have been used to model financial applications. In a Bayesian framework they have been employed to introduce dependent…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-01 Alan Riva Palacio , Fabrizio Leisen

Statistical independence and conditional independence are two fundamental concepts in statistics and machine learning. Copula Entropy is a mathematical concept defined by Ma and Sun for multivariate statistical independence measuring and…

Computation · Statistics 2021-03-30 Jian Ma

We consider high frequency samples from ergodic L\'evy driven stochastic differential equation (SDE) with drift coefficient $a(x,\alpha)$ and scale coefficient $c(x,\gamma)$ involving unknown parameters $\alpha$ and $\gamma$. We suppose…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-12 Hiroki Masuda , Yuma Uehara

What is the analogue of L\'evy processes for random surfaces? Motivated by scaling limits of random planar maps in random geometry, we introduce and study L\'evy looptrees and L\'evy maps. They are defined using excursions of general L\'evy…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-15 Igor Kortchemski , Cyril Marzouk

The {\alpha}-stable L\'evy process, commonly used to describe L\'evy flight, is characterized by discontinuous jumps and is widely used to model anomalous transport phenomena. In this study, we investigate the associated exit problem and…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-01-16 Minglei Yang , Diego del-Castillo-Negrete , Guannan Zhang

We derive the asymptotic distribution of ordinal-pattern frequencies under weak dependence conditions and investigate the long-run covariance matrix not only analytically for moving-average, Gaussian, and the novel generalized coin-tossing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-24 Angelika Silbernagel , Christian Weiß

We study high-dimensional Ornstein--Uhlenbeck processes driven by L\'evy noise and consider drift matrices that decompose into a low-rank plus sparse component, capturing a few latent factors together with a sparse network of direct…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-25 Marina Palaisti

The paper is devoted to the study of the short rate equation of the form $$ dR(t)=F(R(t)) dt +\sum_{i=1}^{d}G(R(t-))dZ_i(t)$$ with deterministic functions $F,G_1,...,G_d$ and a multivariate L\'evy process $Z=(Z_1,...,Z_d)$ with possibly…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-01 Michał Barski , Rafał Łochowski