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We study general nonlinear models for time series networks of integer and continuous valued data. The vector of high dimensional responses, measured on the nodes of a known network, is regressed non-linearly on its lagged value and on…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-25 Mirko Armillotta , Konstantinos Fokianos

Computing the reliability of a time-varying network, taking into account its dynamic nature, is crucial for networks that change over time, such as space networks, vehicular ad-hoc networks, and drone networks. These networks are modeled…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2025-04-03 Yu Nakahata , Shun Arizono , Shoji Kasahara

Financial time-series classification (FTC) is extremely valuable for investment management. In past decades, it draws a lot of attention from a wide extent of research areas, especially Artificial Intelligence (AI). Existing researches…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-22 Liu Guang , Wang Xiaojie , Li Ruifan

Dynamic network data have become ubiquitous in social network analysis, with new information becoming available that captures when friendships form, when corporate transactions happen and when countries interact with each other. Flexible…

Applications · Statistics 2023-05-16 Yunran Chen , Alexander Volfovsky

International trade has been increasingly organized in the form of global value chains (GVCs) where different stages of production are located in different countries. This recent phenomenon has substantial consequences for both trade policy…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-02-20 Zhen Zhu , Greg Morrison , Michelangelo Puliga , Alessandro Chessa , Massimo Riccaboni

This is a review about financial dependencies which merges efforts in econophysics and financial economics during the last few years. We focus on the most relevant contributions to the analysis of asset markets' dependencies, especially…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-02-17 M. Raddant , T. Di Matteo

We discovered that past changes in the market correlation structure are significantly related with future changes in the market volatility. By using correlation-based information filtering networks we device a new tool for forecasting the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-05-31 Nicoló Musmeci , Tomaso Aste , Tiziana Di Matteo

Methodologies to infer financial networks from the price series of speculative assets vary, however, they generally involve bivariate or multivariate predictive modelling to reveal causal and correlational structures within the time series…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-08-31 Cameron Cornell , Lewis Mitchell , Matthew Roughan

We draw on the data collected by the Integrated Crisis Early Warning System on millions of international and regional public news stories, and this system's indicators of the orientation toward a specific nation-state. We construct the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-05-14 Omid Askarisichania , Ambuj K. Singh , Francesco Bullo , Noah E. Friedkin

The initial theoretical connections between Leontief input-output models and Markov chains were established back in 1950s. However, considering the wide variety of mathematical properties of Markov chains, there has not been a full…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2017-10-27 Vahid Moosavi , Giulio Isacchini

With a steadily growing human population and rapid advancements in technology, the global human network is increasing in size and connection density. This growth exacerbates networked global threats and can lead to unexpected consequences…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-07-02 Xiang Niu , Alaa Moussawi , Noemi Derzsy , Xin Lin , Gyorgy Korniss , Boleslaw K. Szymanski

We use the theory of complex networks in order to quantitatively characterize the formation of communities in a particular financial market. The system is composed by different banks exchanging on a daily basis loans and debts of liquidity.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 G. De Masi , G. Iori , G. Caldarelli

This study examines long-term trends and shifting behavior in the collaboration network of mathematics literature, using a subset of data from Mathematical Reviews spanning 1985-2009. Rather than modeling the network cumulatively, this…

Using a rolling windows analysis of filtered and aligned stock index returns from 40 countries during the period 2006-2014, we construct Granger causality networks and investigate the ensuing structure of the relationships by studying…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2015-11-05 Stefan Lyocsa , Tomas Vyrost , Eduard Baumohl

Empirical analysis of the foreign exchange market is conducted based on methods to quantify similarities among multi-dimensional time series with spectral distances introduced in [A.-H. Sato, Physica A, 382 (2007) 258--270]. As a result it…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-13 Aki-Hiro Sato

In reality, many real-world networks interact with and depend on other networks. We develop an analytical framework for studying interacting networks and present an exact percolation law for a network of $n$ interdependent networks (NON).…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2012-08-24 Jianxi Gao , S. V. Buldyrev , S. Havlin , H. E. Stanley

Gold and currency markets form a unique pair with specific interactions and dynamics. We focus on the efficiency ranking of gold markets with respect to the currency of purchase. By utilizing the Efficiency Index (EI) based on fractal…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-10-30 Ladislav Kristoufek , Miloslav Vosvrda

We develop a simple theoretical framework for the evolution of weighted networks that is consistent with a number of stylized features of real-world data. In our framework, the Barabasi-Albert model of network evolution is extended by…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-13 Massimo Riccaboni , Stefano Schiavo

We study the international interbank market through a geometrical and a topological analysis of empirical data. The geometrical analysis of the time series of cross-country liabilities shows that the systematic information of the interbank…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-05-28 Alessandro Spelta , Tanya Araújo

We consider a setting where multiple entities inter-act with each other over time and the time-varying statuses of the entities are represented as multiple correlated time series. For example, speed sensors are deployed in different…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-23 Razvan-Gabriel Cirstea , Chenjuan Guo , Bin Yang