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Using data from a sample of 28 representatives countries, we propose a classification of currency crises consequences based on the ultrametric analysis of the real exchange rate movements time series, without any further assumption. By…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2008-12-02 Guillermo J. Ortega , David Matesanz

During a financial crisis, the capital markets network frequently exhibits a high correlation between returns. We developed a network analysis framework based on daily returns from 42 countries to determine systemic stability. Our network…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-01-06 Supanat Kamtue , Pongsak Luangaram , Sirawit Woramongkhon

Financial spillovers in interconnected systems, such as global banking networks, require tools that capture temporal and frequency dynamics, while incorporating the underlying network topology. While current network time series models are…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-07 Cristian F. Jiménez-Varón , Marina I. Knight

The decisions traders make to buy or sell an asset depend on various analyses, with expertise required to identify patterns that can be exploited for profit. In this paper we identify novel features extracted from emergent and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-09 Gabriel Rodrigues Palma , Mariusz Skoczeń , Phil Maguire

Financial markets are highly correlated systems that reveal both the inter-market dependencies and the correlations among their different components. Standard analyzing techniques include correlation coefficients for pairs of signals and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 J. Kwapien , S. Drozdz , A. Z. Gorski , P. Oswiecimka

Community currency networks are made up of individuals and or companies that share some physical or social characteristics and engage in economic transactions using a virtual currency. This paper investigates the structural and dynamic…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-07-04 Camilla Ancona , Dora Ricci , Carmela Bernardo , Francesco Lo Iudice , Anton Proskurnikov , Francesco Vasca

This paper is concerned with cross-sectional dependence arising because observations are interconnected through an observed network. Following Doukhan and Louhichi (1999), we measure the strength of dependence by covariances of nonlinearly…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-03-10 Denis Kojevnikov , Vadim Marmer , Kyungchul Song

We study the cluster dynamics of multichannel (multivariate) time series by representing their correlations as time-dependent networks and investigating the evolution of network communities. We employ a node-centric approach that allows us…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-05-13 Daniel J. Fenn , Mason A. Porter , Mark McDonald , Stacy Williams , Neil F. Johnson , Nick S. Jones

We use bank-level balance sheet data from 2005 to 2010 to study interactions within the banking system of five emerging countries: Argentina, Brazil, Mexico, South Africa, and Taiwan. For each country we construct a financial network based…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-07-08 Diego Aparicio , Daniel Fraiman

The recent financial crisis has stressed the need to understand financial systems as networks of interdependent countries, where cross-border financial linkages play the fundamental role. It has also been emphasized that the relevance of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-03 Alessandro Spelta , Tanya Araújo

Networks are widely used to model the interaction between individual dynamical systems. In many instances, the total number of units as well as the interaction coupling are not fixed in time, but rather constantly evolve. In terms of…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2023-09-19 Melvyn Tyloo

In this brief review, we critically examine the recent work done on correlation-based networks in financial systems. The structure of empirical correlation matrices constructed from the financial market data changes as the individual stock…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-04-21 Vishwas Kukreti , Hirdesh K. Pharasi , Priya Gupta , Sunil Kumar

Economy correlations between the 19 richest countries are investigated through their Gross Domestic Product increments. A distance is defined between increment correlation matrix elements and their evolution studied as a function of time…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2012-10-03 Janusz Miskiewicz , Marcel Ausloos

Financial institutions obtain enormous amounts of data about user transactions and money transfers, which can be considered as a large graph dynamically changing in time. In this work, we focus on the task of predicting new interactions in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-01-24 Valentina Shumovskaia , Kirill Fedyanin , Ivan Sukharev , Dmitry Berestnev , Maxim Panov

There are many studies dealing with the analysis of similarity among currencies in foreign exchange market by using network analysis approach. In those studies, each currency is represented by a univariate time series of exchange rate…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-08-30 Mansooreh Kazemilari , Maman Abdurachman Djauhari , Zuhaimy Ismail

We analyze random networks that change over time. First we analyze a dynamic Erdos-Renyi model, whose edges change over time. We describe its stationary distribution, its convergence thereto, and the SI contact process on the network, which…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-19 Benjamin Armbruster , John Gunnar Carlsson

Node centrality is one of the most important and widely used concepts in the study of complex networks. Here, we extend the paradigm of node centrality in financial and economic networks to consider the changes of node "importance" produced…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-06-05 Paolo Bartesaghi , Michele Benzi , Gian Paolo Clemente , Rosanna Grassi , Ernesto Estrada

Recent studies have shown the classification and prediction power of the Neural Networks. It has been demonstrated that a NN can approximate any continuous function. Neural networks have been successfully used for forecasting of financial…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2018-02-09 Bogdan Oancea , ŞTefan Cristian Ciucu

Exchange of resources among individual components of a system is fundamental to systems like a social network of humans and a network of cities and villages. For various reasons, the human society has come up with the notion of money as a…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-08-29 Harshit Agrawal , Ashwin Lahorkar , Snehal M. Shekatkar

Many models of market dynamics make use of the idea of conservative wealth exchanges among economic agents. A few years ago an exchange model using extremal dynamics was developed and a very interesting result was obtained: a self-generated…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-12 L. A. Braunstein , P. A. Macri , J. R. Iglesias