English
Related papers

Related papers: Convergence of large deviation estimators

200 papers

We study a large deviation functional of density fluctuation by analyzing stochastic non-linear diffusion equations driven by the difference between the densities fixed at the boundaries. By using a fundamental equality that yields the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-13 Shin-ichi Sasa

While conformal predictors reap the benefits of rigorous statistical guarantees on their error frequency, the size of their corresponding prediction sets is critical to their practical utility. Unfortunately, there is currently a lack of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-12 Guneet S. Dhillon , George Deligiannidis , Tom Rainforth

We consider a general d-dimensional quantum system of non-interacting particles, with suitable statistics, in a very large (formally infinite) container. We prove that, in equilibrium, the fluctuations in the density of particles in a…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Joel L. Lebowitz , Marco Lenci , Herbert Spohn

The fluctuations in nonequilibrium systems are under intense theoretical and experimental investigation. Topical ``fluctuation relations'' describe symmetries of the statistical properties of certain observables, in a variety of models and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-09-08 Lamberto Rondoni , Carlos Mejia-Monasterio

The large-deviation method allows to characterize an ergodic counting process in terms of a thermodynamic frame where a free energy function determines the asymptotic non-stationary statistical properties of its fluctuations. Here, we study…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-12-13 Adrian A. Budini

The objective of this work is the investigation of complexity, asymmetry, stochasticity and non-linearity of the financial and economic systems by using the tools of statistical mechanics and information theory. More precisely, this thesis…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-08-30 Rubina Zadourian

We consider high-dimensional estimation problems where the number of parameters diverges with the sample size. General conditions are established for consistency, uniqueness, and asymptotic normality in both unpenalized and penalized…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-08 Jana Gauss , Thomas Nagler

We obtain error rates for large deviations of sums of i.i.d. random variables in, a particular case, of the domain of a non-symmetric infinite mean $\alpha=1$-stable law. The focus of this work is on the method of proof via analytic…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-17 Jonny Imbierski , Dalia Terhesiu

We obtain the exact large deviation functions of the density profile and of the current, in the non-equilibrium steady state of a one dimensional symmetric simple exclusion process coupled to boundary reservoirs with slow rates. Compared to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-02-03 Bernard Derrida , Ori Hirschberg , Tridib Sadhu

We provide a new version of delta theorem, that takes into account of high dimensional parameter estimation. We show that depending on the structure of the function, the limits of functions of estimators have faster or slower rate of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-01-24 Mehmet Caner

Large deviation functions are an essential tool in the statistics of rare events. Often they can be obtained by contraction from a so-called level 2 large deviation {\em functional} characterizing the empirical density of the underlying…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-08-24 Johannes Hoppenau , Daniel Nickelsen , Andreas Engel

Let $(X_i)_{i=1,...,n}$ be a possibly nonstationary sequence such that $\mathscr{L}(X_i)=P_n$ if $i\leq n\theta$ and $\mathscr{L}(X_i)=Q_n$ if $i>n\theta$, where $0<\theta <1$ is the location of the change-point to be estimated. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Samir Ben Hariz , Jonathan J. Wylie , Qiang Zhang

This thesis is dedictaed to the study of fluctuation and correlation observables of hadronic equilibrium systems. The statistical hadronization model of high energy physics, in its ideal, i.e. non-interacting, gas approximation will be…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2010-08-13 Michael Hauer

A diffusive system coupled to unequal boundary reservoirs reaches a non-equilibrium steady state. While the full-counting-statistics of current fluctuations in these states are well understood for generic systems, results for steady-state…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-01-29 Soumyabrata Saha , Tridib Sadhu

A new nonparametric estimator of a convex regression function in any dimension is proposed and its convergence properties are studied. We start by using any estimator of the regression function and we \emph{convexify} it by taking the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-06-16 Néstor E. Aguilera , Liliana Forzani , Pedro Morin

We present an algorithm to evaluate the large deviation functions associated to history-dependent observables. Instead of relying on a time discretisation procedure to approximate the dynamics, we provide a direct continuous-time algorithm,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-12-03 Vivien Lecomte , Julien Tailleur

In various disordered systems or non-equilibrium dynamical models, the large deviations of some observables have been found to display different scalings for rare values bigger or smaller than the typical value. In the present paper, we…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-05-12 Cecile Monthus

We consider a collection of weakly interacting diffusion processes moving in a two-scale locally periodic environment. We study the large deviations principle of the empirical distribution of the particles' positions in the combined limit…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-03 Zachary Bezemek , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

We consider the problem of estimating the parameters of a supercritical controlled branching process consistently from a single observed trajectory of population size counts. Our goal is to establish which parameters can and cannot be…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-19 Peter Braunsteins , Sophie Hautphenne , James Kerlidis

In Monte-Carlo methods the Markov processes used to sample a given target distribution usually satisfy detailed balance, i.e. they are time-reversible. However, relatively recent results have demonstrated that appropriate reversible and…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-29 Luc Rey-Bellet , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos