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We introduce a nonparametric model for inferring time-evolving, unobserved probability distributions from discrete-time data consisting of unlabelled partitions. The latent process is a two-parameter Poisson-Dirichlet diffusion, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-19 Marco Dalla Pria , Matteo Ruggiero , Dario Spanò

It is shown that a simple Dirichlet process mixture of multivariate normals offers Bayesian density estimation with adaptive posterior convergence rates. Toward this, a novel sieve for non-parametric mixture densities is explored, and its…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-11-18 Surya T. Tokdar

Bayesian models based on the Dirichlet process and other stick-breaking priors have been proposed as core ingredients for clustering, topic modeling, and other unsupervised learning tasks. Prior specification is, however, relatively…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-27 Ryan Giordano , Runjing Liu , Michael I. Jordan , Tamara Broderick

Gaussian process regression can flexibly represent the posterior distribution of an interest parameter given sufficient information on the likelihood. However, in some cases, we have little knowledge regarding the probability model. For…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-22 Yuta Shikuri

We present a dual-view mixture model to cluster users based on their features and latent behavioral functions. Every component of the mixture model represents a probability density over a feature view for observed user attributes and a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-12-19 Alberto Lumbreras , Julien Velcin , Marie Guégan , Bertrand Jouve

Adaptive learning is necessary for non-stationary environments where the learning machine needs to forget past data distribution. Efficient algorithms require a compact model update to not grow in computational burden with the incoming data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-11 Vanessa Gómez-Verdejo , Emilio Parrado-Hernández , Manel Martínez-Ramón

Conditional density estimation is complicated by multimodality, heteroscedasticity, and strong non-Gaussianity. Gaussian processes (GPs) provide a principled nonparametric framework with calibrated uncertainty, but standard GP regression is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-12 Vardaan Tekriwal , Mark D. Risser , Hengrui Luo , Marcus M. Noack

We develop stochastic variational inference, a scalable algorithm for approximating posterior distributions. We develop this technique for a large class of probabilistic models and we demonstrate it with two probabilistic topic models,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-04-24 Matt Hoffman , David M. Blei , Chong Wang , John Paisley

Diffusion processes are a class of stochastic differential equations (SDEs) providing a rich family of expressive models that arise naturally in dynamic modelling tasks. Probabilistic inference and learning under generative models with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-28 Prakhar Verma , Vincent Adam , Arno Solin

To scale non-parametric extensions of probabilistic topic models such as Latent Dirichlet allocation to larger data sets, practitioners rely increasingly on parallel and distributed systems. In this work, we study data-parallel training for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-07 Alexander Terenin , Måns Magnusson , Leif Jonsson

The classical mixture of Gaussians model is related to K-means via small-variance asymptotics: as the covariances of the Gaussians tend to zero, the negative log-likelihood of the mixture of Gaussians model approaches the K-means objective,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-02-19 Tamara Broderick , Brian Kulis , Michael I. Jordan

We propose a novel nonparametric online predictor for discrete labels conditioned on multivariate continuous features. The predictor is based on a feature space discretization induced by a full-fledged k-d tree with randomly picked…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-03 Alix Lhéritier , Frédéric Cazals

Recent work has demonstrated surprisingly good performance of pre-trained LLMs on regression tasks (for example, time-series prediction), with the ability to incorporate expert prior knowledge and the information contained in textual…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-14 Felix Biggs , Samuel Willis

We introduce a new method for online parameter estimation in stochastic interacting particle systems, based on continuous observation of a small number of particles from the system. Our method recursively updates the model parameters using…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-25 Louis Sharrock , Nikolas Kantas , Grigorios A. Pavliotis

We study two practically important cases of model based clustering using Gaussian Mixture Models: (1) when there is misspecification and (2) on high dimensional data, in the light of recent advances in Gradient Descent (GD) based…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-28 Siva Rajesh Kasa , Vaibhav Rajan

Conventional machine learning applications typically assume that data samples are independently and identically distributed (i.i.d.). However, practical scenarios often involve a data-generating process that produces highly dependent data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-04 Shaocong Ma , Ziyi Chen , Yi Zhou , Kaiyi Ji , Yingbin Liang

A method for sequential inference of the fixed parameters of a dynamic latent Gaussian models is proposed and evaluated that is based on the iterated Laplace approximation. The method provides a useful trade-off between computational…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-09-29 Tiep Mai , Simon Wilson

Model-based clustering of moderate or large dimensional data is notoriously difficult. We propose a model for simultaneous dimensionality reduction and clustering by assuming a mixture model for a set of latent scores, which are then linked…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-04 Lorenzo Ghilotti , Mario Beraha , Alessandra Guglielmi

When faced with high frequency streams of data, clustering raises theoretical and algorithmic pitfalls. We introduce a new and adaptive online clustering algorithm relying on a quasi-Bayesian approach, with a dynamic (i.e., time-dependent)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-09-24 Le Li , Benjamin Guedj , Sébastien Loustau

Mixture models are widely used in modeling heterogeneous data populations. A standard approach of mixture modeling assumes that the mixture component takes a parametric kernel form. In many applications, making parametric assumptions on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-06 Yilei Zhang , Yun Wei , Aritra Guha , XuanLong Nguyen
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