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We study active structure learning of Bayesian networks in an observational setting, in which there are external limitations on the number of variable values that can be observed from the same sample. Random samples are drawn from the joint…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-23 Noa Ben-David , Sivan Sabato

Causal Bayesian networks (CBN) are popular graphical probabilistic models that encode causal relations among variables. Learning their graphical structure from observational data has received a lot of attention in the literature. When there…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-22 Christophe Gonzales , Amir-Hosein Valizadeh

Identifying a coupled dynamical system out of many plausible candidates, each of which could serve as the underlying generator of some observed measurements, is a profoundly ill posed problem that commonly arises when modelling real world…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2019-09-17 Amirhossein Jafarian , Peter Zeidman , Vladimir Litvak , Karl Friston

Causal Bayesian Networks (CBNs) are an important tool for reasoning under uncertainty in complex real-world systems. Determining the graphical structure of a CBN remains a key challenge and is undertaken either by eliciting it from humans,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-10-18 Neville K Kitson , Anthony C Constantinou

In Bayesian Networks (BNs), the direction of edges is crucial for causal reasoning and inference. However, Markov equivalence class considerations mean it is not always possible to establish edge orientations, which is why many BN structure…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-19 Kiattikun Chobtham , Anthony C. Constantinou , Neville K. Kitson

The radio astronomy community is rapidly adopting deep learning techniques to deal with the huge data volumes expected from the next generation of radio observatories. Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) provide a principled way to model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-29 Devina Mohan , Anna M. M. Scaife

Sum-product networks (SPNs) are flexible density estimators and have received significant attention due to their attractive inference properties. While parameter learning in SPNs is well developed, structure learning leaves something to be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-05 Martin Trapp , Robert Peharz , Hong Ge , Franz Pernkopf , Zoubin Ghahramani

In cognitive radio systems, the ability to accurately detect primary user's signal is essential to secondary user in order to utilize idle licensed spectrum. Conventional energy detector is a good choice for blind signal detection, while it…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2019-09-09 Jiabao Gao , Xuemei Yi , Caijun Zhong , Xiaoming Chen , Zhaoyang Zhang

Continuous time Bayesian networks (CTBNs) describe structured stochastic processes with finitely many states that evolve over continuous time. A CTBN is a directed (possibly cyclic) dependency graph over a set of variables, each of which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-12-12 Uri Nodelman , Christian R. Shelton , Daphne Koller

This paper presents a Bayesian approach to learning the connectivity structure of a group of neurons from data on configuration frequencies. A major objective of the research is to provide statistical tools for detecting changes in firing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-02-18 Kathryn Blackmond Laskey , Laura Martignon

Cognitive diagnostic assessment aims to measure specific knowledge structures in students. To model data arising from such assessments, cognitive diagnostic models with discrete latent variables have gained popularity in educational and…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-25 Seunghyun Lee , Yuqi Gu

We consider the problem of learning structures and parameters of Continuous-time Bayesian Networks (CTBNs) from time-course data under minimal experimental resources. In practice, the cost of generating experimental data poses a bottleneck,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-01-12 Dominik Linzner , Heinz Koeppl

Neural networks (NNs) are primarily developed within the frequentist statistical framework. Nevertheless, frequentist NNs lack the capability to provide uncertainties in the predictions, and hence their robustness can not be adequately…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2023-10-26 Nastaran Dabiran , Brandon Robinson , Rimple Sandhu , Mohammad Khalil , Dominique Poirel , Abhijit Sarkar

In recent times, neural networks have become a powerful tool for the analysis of complex and abstract data models. However, their introduction intrinsically increases our uncertainty about which features of the analysis are model-related…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-09 Tom Charnock , Laurence Perreault-Levasseur , François Lanusse

Bayesian networks are probabilistic graphical models often used in big data analytics. The problem of exact structure learning is to find a network structure that is optimal under certain scoring criteria. The problem is known to be NP-hard…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-03-22 Subhadeep Karan , Jaroslaw Zola

There is increasing interest in learning how human brain networks vary as a function of a continuous trait, but flexible and efficient procedures to accomplish this goal are limited. We develop a Bayesian semiparametric model, which…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-02 Lu Wang , Daniele Durante , Rex E. Jung , David B. Dunson

In this report paper we first present a report of the Advanced Machine Learning Course Project on the provided data set and then present a novel heuristic algorithm for exact Bayesian network (BN) structure discovery that uses decomposable…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-11-26 Amir Arsalan Soltani

Probabilistic graphical models (PGMs) provide a compact and flexible framework to model very complex real-life phenomena. They combine the probability theory which deals with uncertainty and logical structure represented by a graph which…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-01 Maryia Shpak

Deep learning models, including modern systems like large language models, are well known to offer unreliable estimates of the uncertainty of their decisions. In order to improve the quality of the confidence levels, also known as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-15 Jiayi Huang , Sangwoo Park , Osvaldo Simeone

Feedforward neural networks (FNNs) can be viewed as non-linear regression models, where covariates enter the model through a combination of weighted summations and non-linear functions. Although these models have some similarities to the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-02 Andrew McInerney , Kevin Burke