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The information-theoretic framework of Russo and J. Zou (2016) and Xu and Raginsky (2017) provides bounds on the generalization error of a learning algorithm in terms of the mutual information between the algorithm's output and the training…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-26 Mahdi Haghifam , Jeffrey Negrea , Ashish Khisti , Daniel M. Roy , Gintare Karolina Dziugaite

Estimating the Generalization Error (GE) of Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) is an important task that often relies on availability of held-out data. The ability to better predict GE based on a single training set may yield overarching DNN…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-20 Angus Galloway , Anna Golubeva , Mahmoud Salem , Mihai Nica , Yani Ioannou , Graham W. Taylor

Current PAC-Bayes generalisation bounds are restricted to scalar metrics of performance, such as the loss or error rate. However, one ideally wants more information-rich certificates that control the entire distribution of possible…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-10 Reuben Adams , John Shawe-Taylor , Benjamin Guedj

For several styles of fidelity constraints -- guaranteed distortion, conditional excess distortion, excess distortion -- we show mutual information upper bounds on the minimum expected description length needed to represent a random…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2026-02-10 Victoria Kostina

Bayesian coresets speed up posterior inference in the large-scale data regime by approximating the full-data log-likelihood function with a surrogate log-likelihood based on a small, weighted subset of the data. But while Bayesian coresets…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-18 Trevor Campbell

Recently, Mutual Information (MI) has attracted attention in bounding the generalization error of Deep Neural Networks (DNNs). However, it is intractable to accurately estimate the MI in DNNs, thus most previous works have to relax the MI…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-21 Xinjie Lan , Kenneth Barner

This paper studies a high-dimensional inference problem involving the matrix tensor product of random matrices. This problem generalizes a number of contemporary data science problems including the spiked matrix models used in sparse…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-12-18 Galen Reeves

It has been known for a long time that the mutual information between the input sequence and output of a binary symmetric channel (BSC) is upper bounded by the mutual information between the same input sequence and the output of a binary…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-01-29 Uri Erez , Or Ordentlich , Shlomo Shamai

We introduce a framework for Bayesian experimental design (BED) with implicit models, where the data-generating distribution is intractable but sampling from it is still possible. In order to find optimal experimental designs for such…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-05-11 Steven Kleinegesse , Michael U. Gutmann

Prediction is a central task of statistics and machine learning, yet many inferential settings provide only partial information, typically in the form of moment constraints or estimating equations. We develop a finite, fully Bayesian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-20 Nicholas G. Polson , Daniel Zantedeschi

Modular Bayesian methods perform inference in models that are specified through a collection of coupled sub-models, known as modules. These modules often arise from modelling different data sources or from combining domain knowledge from…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-26 David T. Frazier , David J. Nott

Bayesian models quantify uncertainty and facilitate optimal decision-making in downstream applications. For most models, however, practitioners are forced to use approximate inference techniques that lead to sub-optimal decisions due to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-09-12 Tomasz Kuśmierczyk , Joseph Sakaya , Arto Klami

In parametric Bayesian learning, a prior is assumed on the parameter $W$ which determines the distribution of samples. In this setting, Minimum Excess Risk (MER) is defined as the difference between the minimum expected loss achievable when…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-20 Hassan Hafez-Kolahi , Behrad Moniri , Shohreh Kasaei , Mahdieh Soleymani Baghshah

The pointwise mutual information profile, or simply profile, is the distribution of pointwise mutual information for a given pair of random variables. One of its important properties is that its expected value is precisely the mutual…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-30 Paweł Czyż , Frederic Grabowski , Julia E. Vogt , Niko Beerenwinkel , Alexander Marx

Alternative exact expressions are derived for the minimum error probability of a hypothesis test discriminating among $M$ quantum states. The first expression corresponds to the error probability of a binary hypothesis test with certain…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2016-11-15 Gonzalo Vazquez-Vilar

Bayesian analyses are often performed using so-called noninformative priors, with a view to achieving objective inference about unknown parameters on which available data depends. Noninformative priors depend on the relationship of the data…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-08-14 Nicholas Lewis

Bayesian neural networks perform variational inference over the weights however calculation of the posterior distribution remains a challenge. Our work builds on variational inference techniques for bayesian neural networks using the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-23 Abhinav Sagar

Bayesian inference is attractive for its coherence and good frequentist properties. However, it is a common experience that eliciting a honest prior may be difficult and, in practice, people often take an {\em empirical Bayes} approach,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-04-09 Sonia Petrone , Judith Rousseau , Catia Scricciolo

A fundamental tool in network information theory is the covering lemma, which lower bounds the probability that there exists a pair of random variables, among a give number of independently generated candidates, falling within a given set.…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2019-04-18 Jingbo Liu , Mohammad H. Yassaee , Sergio Verdú

This paper gives a replica analysis for the minimum mean square error (MSE) of a massive multiple-input multiple-output (MIMO) system by using Bayesian inference. The Bayes-optimal estimator is adopted to estimate the data symbols and the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-11-15 Chao-Kai Wen , Yongpeng Wu , Kai-Kit Wong , Robert Schober , Pangan Ting