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Anytime approximation algorithms that compute the probabilities of queries over probabilistic databases can be of great use to statistical learning tasks. Those approaches have been based so far on either (i) sampling or (ii)…

Databases · Computer Science 2018-07-04 Maarten Van den Heuvel , Floris Geerts , Wolfgang Gatterbauer , Martin Theobald

Some statistical models are specified via a data generating process for which the likelihood function cannot be computed in closed form. Standard likelihood-based inference is then not feasible but the model parameters can be inferred by…

Computation · Statistics 2015-02-20 Michael U. Gutmann , Jukka Corander , Ritabrata Dutta , Samuel Kaski

This paper studies the hazard-free formula complexity of Boolean functions. Our first result shows that unate functions are the only Boolean functions for which the monotone formula complexity of the hazard-derivative equals the hazard-free…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2025-06-17 Leah London Arazi , Amir Shpilka

A natural measure of smoothness of a Boolean function is its sensitivity (the largest number of Hamming neighbors of a point which differ from it in function value). The structure of smooth or equivalently low-sensitivity functions is still…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2015-08-12 Parikshit Gopalan , Noam Nisan , Rocco A. Servedio , Kunal Talwar , Avi Wigderson

Uncertainty often plays an important role in dynamic flow problems. In this paper, we consider both, a stationary and a dynamic flow model with uncertain boundary data on networks. We introduce two different ways how to compute the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-04-28 Michael Schuster , Elisa Strauch , Martin Gugat , Jens Lang

While useful probability bounds for $n$ pairwise independent Bernoulli random variables adding up to at least an integer $k$ have been proposed in the literature, none of these bounds are tight in general. In this paper, we provide several…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-11-24 Arjun Ramachandra , Karthik Natarajan

We study the most-informative Boolean function conjecture using a differential equation approach. This leads to a formulation of a functional inequality on finite-dimensional random variables. We also develop a similar inequality in the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-02-17 Zijie Chen , Amin Gohari , Chandra Nair

This paper deals with the problem of estimating the probability that one event was a cause of another in a given scenario. Using structural-semantical definitions of the probabilities of necessary or sufficient causation (or both), we show…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-18 Jin Tian , Judea Pearl

Variational methods are employed in situations where exact Bayesian inference becomes intractable due to the difficulty in performing certain integrals. Typically, variational methods postulate a tractable posterior and formulate a lower…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-12 Nikolaos Gianniotis , Christoph Schnörr , Christian Molkenthin , Sanjay Singh Bora

Increasing amounts of available data have led to a heightened need for representing large-scale probabilistic knowledge bases. One approach is to use a probabilistic database, a model with strong assumptions that allow for efficiently…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-04-04 Tal Friedman , Guy Van den Broeck

We consider upper exponential bounds for the probability of the event that an absolute deviation of sample mean from mathematical expectation p is bigger comparing with some ordered level epsilon. These bounds include 2 coefficients {alpha,…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-04-13 Vladimir Nikulin

In this paper, we propose a novel robust stochastic optimization approach with a distinctive consideration for rare events, in which divergence measures are used to bound the event-wise ambiguity sets. This is done by using the Poisson…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-09-14 Aakil M. Caunhye , Douglas Alem

This article investigates the probabilistic relationship between quantum classification of Boolean functions and their Hamming distance. By integrating concepts from quantum computing, information theory, and combinatorics, we explore how…

The DUCK-calculus presented here is a recent approach to cope with probabilistic uncertainty in a sound and efficient way. Uncertain rules with bounds for probabilities and explicit conditional independences can be maintained incrementally.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-25 Helmut Thone , Ulrich Guntzer , Werner Kiessling

Probabilities of Causation (PoC) play a fundamental role in decision-making in law, health care and public policy. Nevertheless, their point identification is challenging, requiring strong assumptions, in the absence of which only bounds…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-10-13 Numair Sani , Atalanti A. Mastakouri

The likelihood function of a finite mixture model is a non-convex function with multiple local maxima and commonly used iterative algorithms such as EM will converge to different solutions depending on initial conditions. In this paper we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-08-19 Elad Mezuman , Yair Weiss

Boolean tensor decomposition approximates data of multi-way binary relationships as product of interpretable low-rank binary factors, following the rules of Boolean algebra. Here, we present its first probabilistic treatment. We facilitate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-15 Tammo Rukat , Chris C. Holmes , Christopher Yau

Effective bounds on the union probability are well known to be beneficial in the analysis of stochastic problems in many areas, including probability theory, information theory, statistical communications, computing and operations research.…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-02 Jun Yang , Fady Alajaji , Glen Takahara

We present a new proof rule for verifying lower bounds on quantities of probabilistic programs. Our proof rule is not confined to almost-surely terminating programs -- as is the case for existing rules -- and can be used to establish…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2023-02-14 Shenghua Feng , Mingshuai Chen , Han Su , Benjamin Lucien Kaminski , Joost-Pieter Katoen , Naijun Zhan

We derive new upper and lower bounds for probabilities that $r$ or at least $r$ from $n$ events occur. These bounds can turn to equalities. The method is discussed as well. It works for measurable space and measures with sign, too. We also…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-12 Andrei N. Frolov