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The R package DynForest implements random forests for predicting a continuous, a categorical or a (multiple causes) time-to-event outcome based on time-fixed and time-dependent predictors. The main originality of DynForest is that it…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-04-12 Anthony Devaux , Cécile Proust-Lima , Robin Genuer

We consider a model of stationary population with random size given by a continuous state branching process with immigration with a quadratic branching mechanism. We give an exact elementary simulation procedure of the genealogical tree of…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-05 Jean-François Delmas , Romain Abraham

We study the behaviour of the rescaled minimal subtree containing the origin and K random vertices selected from a random critical (sufficiently spread-out, and in dimensions d > 8) lattice tree conditioned to survive until time ns, in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-30 Manuel Cabezas , Alexander Fribergh , Mark Holmes , Edwin Perkins

We study continuous-time birth-death type processes, where individuals have independent and identically distributed lifetimes, according to a random variable Q, with E[Q]=1, and where the birth rate if the population is currently in state…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-08-05 Frank Ball , Tom Britton , Peter Neal

In this paper we consider two continuous-mass population models as analogues of logistic branching random walks, one is supported on a finite trait space and the other one is supported on an infinite trait space. For the first model with…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-04-18 Anton Bovier , Shi-Dong Wang

The history of gene families -- which are equivalent to event-labeled gene trees -- can to some extent be reconstructed from empirically estimated evolutionary event-relations containing pairs of orthologous, paralogous or xenologous genes.…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2019-10-30 Manuel Lafond , Marc Hellmuth

Consider a random real tree whose leaf set, or boundary, is endowed with a finite mass measure. Each element of the tree is further given a type, or allele, inherited from the most recent atom of a random point measure…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-26 Jean-Jil Duchamps , Amaury Lambert

We consider the spatial Lambda-Fleming-Viot process model for frequencies of genetic types in a population living in R^d, with two types of individuals (0 and 1) and natural selection favouring individuals of type 1. We first prove that the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-01 Alison Etheridge , Amandine Veber , Feng Yu

Random forests are a very effective and commonly used statistical method, but their full theoretical analysis is still an open problem. As a first step, simplified models such as purely random forests have been introduced, in order to shed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-07-16 Sylvain Arlot , Robin Genuer

We consider a neutral dynamical model of biological diversity, where individuals live and reproduce independently. They have i.i.d. lifetime durations (which are not necessarily exponentially distributed) and give birth (singly) at constant…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2010-09-06 Nicolas Champagnat , Amaury Lambert

A critical branching process with immigration which evolve in a random environment is considered. Assuming that immigration is not allowed when there are no individuals in the aboriginal population we investigate the tail distribution of…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-10 Elena Dyakonova , Doudou Li , Vladimir Vatutin , Mei Zhang

We consider random walks amongst random conductances in the cases where the conductances can be arbitrarily small, with a heavy-tailed distribution at 0, and where the conductances may or may not have a heavy-tailed distribution at…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-19 David A. Croydon , Daniel Kious , Carlo Scali

Continuous-time branching processes describe the evolution of a population whose individuals generate a random number of children according to a birth process. Such branching processes can be used to understand preferential attachment…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-10 Alessandro Garavaglia , Remco van der Hofstad , Gerhard Woeginger

We replicate a renewal process at random times, which is equivalent to nesting two renewal processes, or considering a renewal process subject to stochastic resetting. We investigate the consequences on the statistical properties of the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-01-31 Claude Godrèche , Jean-Marc Luck

We study a universal object for the genealogy of a sample in populations with mutations: the critical birth-death process with Poissonian mutations, conditioned on its population size at a fixed time horizon. We show how this process arises…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-30 G. Achaz , C. Delaporte , A. Lambert

Random forests have become an established tool for classification and regression, in particular in high-dimensional settings and in the presence of complex predictor-response relationships. For bounded outcome variables restricted to the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-21 Leonie Weinhold , Matthias Schmid , Marvin N. Wright , Moritz Berger

We destroy a finite tree of size $n$ by cutting its edges one after the other and in uniform random order. Informally, the associated cut-tree describes the genealogy of the connected components created by this destruction process. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-20 Gabriel Berzunza

We consider the evolution of populations under the joint action of mutation and differential reproduction, or selection. The population is modelled as a finite-type Markov branching process in continuous time, and the associated…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-02-23 Ellen Baake , Hans-Otto Georgii

We describe the processes obtained by time reversal of a class of stationary jump-diffusion processes that model the dynamics of genetic variation in populations subject to repeated bottlenecks. Assuming that only one lineage survives each…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-25 Martin Hutzenthaler , Jesse E. Taylor

We consider a birth and death process in which death is due to both `natural death' and to competition between individuals, modelled as a quadratic function of population size. The resulting `logistic branching process' has been proposed as…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-23 Alison Etheridge , Shidong Wang , Feng Yu