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Randomized experiments are the gold standard for evaluating the effects of changes to real-world systems. Data in these tests may be difficult to collect and outcomes may have high variance, resulting in potentially large measurement error.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-27 Benjamin Letham , Brian Karrer , Guilherme Ottoni , Eytan Bakshy

The Markowitz-based portfolio selection turns to an NP-hard problem when considering cardinality constraints. In this case, existing exact solutions like quadratic programming may not be efficient to solve the problem. Many researchers,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-01-15 Taha Mansouri , Mohammad Reza Sadeghi Moghadam

We analyze the problem of estimating a signal from multiple measurements on a $\mbox{group action channel}$ that linearly transforms a signal by a random group action followed by a fixed projection and additive Gaussian noise. This channel…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-01-16 Emmanuel Abbe , João M. Pereira , Amit Singer

Recently, it has been proved in Babadi et al. that in noisy compressed sensing, a joint typical estimator can asymptotically achieve the Cramer-Rao lower bound of the problem.To prove this result, this paper used a lemma,which is provided…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2013-08-27 Rad Niazadeh , Masoud Babaie-Zadeh , Christian Jutten

We introduce a faithful representation of the heavy tail multivariate distribution of asset returns, as parsimonous as the Gaussian framework. Using calculation techniques of functional integration and Feynman diagrams borrowed from…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 D. Sornette , J. V. Andersen , P. Simonetti

We study the consistency of sample mean-variance portfolios of arbitrarily high dimension that are based on Bayesian or shrinkage estimation of the input parameters as well as weighted sampling. In an asymptotic setting where the number of…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-30 Francisco Rubio , Xavier Mestre , Daniel P. Palomar

This work initiates research into the problem of determining an optimal investment strategy for investors with different attitudes towards the trade-offs of risk and profit. The probability distribution of the return values of the stocks…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Ming-Yang Kao , Andreas Nolte , Stephen R. Tate

We present convincing empirical results on the application of Randomized Signature Methods for non-linear, non-parametric drift estimation for a multi-variate financial market. Even though drift estimation is notoriously ill defined due to…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-12-29 Erdinc Akyildirim , Matteo Gambara , Josef Teichmann , Syang Zhou

In finance industry portfolio construction deals with how to divide the investors' wealth across an asset-classes' menu in order to maximize the investors' gain. Main approaches in use at the present are based on variations of the classical…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2009-07-21 Giordano Pola , Gianni Pola

The potential benefits of portfolio diversification have been known to investors for a long time. Markowitz (1952) suggested the seminal approach for optimizing the portfolio problem based on finding the weights as budget shares that…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2019-03-05 Abdulnasser Hatemi-J , Mohamed Ali Hajji , Youssef El-Khatib

Classical mean-variance portfolio theory tells us how to construct a portfolio of assets which has the greatest expected return for a given level of return volatility. Utility theory then allows an investor to choose the point along this…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2009-09-21 Alex Dannenberg

We consider how to optimally allocate investments in a portfolio of competing technologies using the standard mean-variance framework of portfolio theory. We assume that technologies follow the empirically observed relationship known as…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2018-08-28 Rupert Way , François Lafond , Fabrizio Lillo , Valentyn Panchenko , J. Doyne Farmer

The standard approach for constructing a Mean-Variance portfolio involves estimating parameters for the model using collected samples. However, since the distribution of future data may not resemble that of the training set, the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-12 Duy Khanh Lam

In this paper, we consider a continuous-time mean-variance portfolio selection with regime-switching and random horizon. Unlike previous works, the dynamic of assets are described by non-Markovian regime-switching models in the sense that…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-05-16 Tian Chen , Ruyi Liu , Zhen Wu

We consider the problem of Bayesian optimization of a one-dimensional Brownian motion in which the $T$ adaptively chosen observations are corrupted by Gaussian noise. We show that as the smallest possible expected cumulative regret and the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-19 Zexin Wang , Vincent Y. F. Tan , Jonathan Scarlett

Performance analysis, from the external point of view of a client who would only have access to returns and holdings of a fund, evolved towards exact attribution made in the context of portfolio optimisation, which is the internal point of…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-08-08 Bruno Durin

Estimation of a location parameter based on noisy and binary quantized measurements is considered in this letter. We study the behavior of the Cramer-Rao bound as a function of the quantizer threshold for different symmetric unimodal noise…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2013-10-28 Rodrigo Cabral Farias , Eric Moisan , Jean-Marc Brossier

Selecting the optimal Markowitz porfolio depends on estimating the covariance matrix of the returns of $N$ assets from $T$ periods of historical data. Problematically, $N$ is typically of the same order as $T$, which makes the sample…

Applications · Statistics 2020-12-29 Raj Agrawal , Uma Roy , Caroline Uhler

Stochastic inverse problems considered in this article consist of estimating the probability distributions of intrinsically random inputs of computer models. These estimations are based on observable outputs affected by model noise, and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-17 Nicolas Bousquet , Mélanie Blazère , Thomas Cerbelaud

The conventional wisdom of mean-variance (MV) portfolio theory asserts that the nature of the relationship between risk and diversification is a decreasing asymptotic function, with the asymptote approximating the level of portfolio…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-08-19 Gilles Boevi Koumou
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