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We describe a procedure to perform approximate inference on the achieved signal-noise ratio of the Markowitz Portfolio under Gaussian i.i.d. returns. The procedure relies on a statistic similar to the Sharpe Ratio Information Criterion.…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-19 Steven E. Pav

The question of optimal portfolio is addressed. The conventional Markowitz portfolio optimisation is discussed and the shortcomings due to non-Gaussian security returns are outlined. A method is proposed to minimise the likelihood of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Robert Kitt , Jaan Kalda

Recent studies inspired by results from random matrix theory [1,2,3] found that covariance matrices determined from empirical financial time series appear to contain such a high amount of noise that their structure can essentially be…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Szilard Pafka , Imre Kondor

This paper studies a robust continuous-time Markowitz portfolio selection pro\-blem where the model uncertainty carries on the covariance matrix of multiple risky assets. This problem is formulated into a min-max mean-variance problem over…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-03-14 Amine Ismail , Huyên Pham

Time changes of noise level at Warsaw Stock Market are analyzed using a recently developed method basing on properties of the coarse grained entropy. The condition of the minimal noise level is used to build an efficient portfolio. Our…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Krzysztof Urbanowicz , Janusz A. Holyst

More than seventy years ago Harry Markowitz formulated portfolio construction as an optimization problem that trades off expected return and risk, defined as the standard deviation of the portfolio returns. Since then the method has been…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-01-11 Stephen Boyd , Kasper Johansson , Ronald Kahn , Philipp Schiele , Thomas Schmelzer

According to recent findings [1,2], empirical covariance matrices deduced from financial return series contain such a high amount of noise that, apart from a few large eigenvalues and the corresponding eigenvectors, their structure can…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Szilard Pafka , Imre Kondor

It is widely recognized that when classical optimal strategies are applied with parameters estimated from data, the resulting portfolio weights are remarkably volatile and unstable over time. The predominant explanation for this is the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-06-15 Carl Lindberg

We study the sensitivity to estimation error of portfolios optimized under various risk measures, including variance, absolute deviation, expected shortfall and maximal loss. We introduce a measure of portfolio sensitivity and test the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Imre Kondor , Szilard Pafka , Gabor Nagy

Using a recently developed method of noise level estimation that makes use of properties of the coarse grained-entropy we have analyzed the noise level for the Dow Jones index and a few stocks from the New York Stock Exchange. We have found…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Krzysztof Urbanowicz , Janusz A. Holyst

In this paper, we revisit the relationship between investors' utility functions and portfolio allocation rules. We derive portfolio allocation rules for asymmetric Laplace distributed $ALD(\mu,\sigma,\kappa)$ returns and compare them with…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-14 Maxime Markov , Vladimir Markov

In this paper, tight upper and lower bounds are derived on the weighted sum of minimum mean-squared errors for additive Gaussian noise channels. The bounds are obtained by constraining the input distribution to be close to a Gaussian…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-01-23 Michael Fauß , Abdelhak M. Zoubir , Alex Dytso , H. Vincent Poor , K. G. Nagananda

Markowitz's celebrated mean--variance portfolio optimization theory assumes that the means and covariances of the underlying asset returns are known. In practice, they are unknown and have to be estimated from historical data. Plugging the…

Applications · Statistics 2011-08-05 Tze Leung Lai , Haipeng Xing , Zehao Chen

We consider the problem of portfolio selection within the classical Markowitz mean-variance framework, reformulated as a constrained least-squares regression problem. We propose to add to the objective function a penalty proportional to the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-01-01 Joshua Brodie , Ingrid Daubechies , Christine De Mol , Domenico Giannone , Ignace Loris

Markowitz mean-variance portfolios with sample mean and covariance as input parameters feature numerous issues in practice. They perform poorly out of sample due to estimation error, they experience extreme weights together with high…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-12-29 Wolfgang Karl Härdle , Yegor Klochkov , Alla Petukhina , Nikita Zhivotovskiy

The goal of this paper is to characterize the best achievable performance for the problem of estimating an unknown parameter having a sparse representation. Specifically, we consider the setting in which a sparsely representable…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Zvika Ben-Haim , Yonina C. Eldar

Markowitz (1952, 1959) laid down the ground-breaking work on the mean-variance analysis. Under his framework, the theoretical optimal allocation vector can be very different from the estimated one for large portfolios due to the intrinsic…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-16 Jianqing Fan , Jingjin Zhang , Ke Yu

This paper studies a continuous-time market where an agent, having specified an investment horizon and a targeted terminal mean return, seeks to minimize the variance of the return. The optimal portfolio of such a problem is called…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-02 Xun Li , Xun Yu Zhou

Since Markowitz's mean-variance framework, optimizing a portfolio that maximizes the profit and minimizes the risk has been ubiquitous in the financial industry. Initially, profit and risk were measured by the first two moments of the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-09-12 Xiwen Wang , Rui Zhou , Jiaxi Ying , Daniel P. Palomar

We consider a single-period portfolio selection problem for an investor, maximizing the expected ratio of the portfolio utility and the utility of a best asset taken in hindsight. The decision rules are based on the history of stock returns…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-06-11 Dmitry B. Rokhlin
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