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We present initial results of a study on the variability of wind speeds across Europe over the past 140 yr, making use of the recent Twentieth Century Reanalysis data set, which includes uncertainty estimates from an ensemble method of…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2013-04-04 Philip E. Bett , Hazel E. Thornton , Robin T. Clark

Global atmospheric reanalyses have become a common tool for both the validation of climate models and diagnostic studies, such as assessing climate variability and long-term trends. Presently, the 20th Century Reanalysis (20CR), which…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-03-20 Oliver Krueger , Frederik Schenk , Frauke Feser , Ralf Weisse

Reanalysis datasets have become indispensable tools for wind resource assessment and wind power simulation, offering long-term and spatially continuous wind fields across large regions. However, they inherently contain systematic wind speed…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-11-10 Yan Wang , Simon C. Warder , Ellyess F. Benmoufok , Andrew Wynn , Oliver R. H. Buxton , Iain Staffell , Matthew D. Piggott

We introduce REmap-eu.app, a web-based data-mining visualization tool of the spatial and temporal variability of wind resources. It uses the latest open-access dataset of the daily wind capacity factor in 28 European countries between 1979…

Applications · Statistics 2023-05-03 Alban Puech , Jesse Read

Accurate projections of wind energy potential under climate change are critical for effective long-term energy planning. While previous studies have highlighted the value of multi-model ensembles, they often fall short in capturing the full…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-06-02 Andrea Lira-Loarca , Francesco Ferrari , Andrea Mazzino

We may anticipate that climate change will bring changes to the intensity and variability of near surface winds, either through local effects or by altering the large-scale flow. The impact of climate change on European wind resources has…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2017-06-19 Richard Davy , Natalia Gnatiuk , Lasse Pettersson , Leonid Bobylev

In context of increasing use of renewable sources, it is of importance to correctly evaluate the actual sustainability of their implementation. Emergy analysis is one of the possible methods useful for such an assessment. This work aims to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-01-13 Subodh Paudel , Massimo Santarelli , Viktoria Martin , Bruno Lacarriere , Olivier Le Corre

Reanalysis data are widely used for simulating renewable energy and in particular wind power generation. While MERRA-2 has been a de-facto standard in many studies, the newer ERA5- reanalysis recently gained importance. Here, we use these…

Applications · Statistics 2020-12-11 Katharina Gruber , Peter Regner , Sebastian Wehrle , Marianne Zeyringer , Johannes Schmidt

The European energy system will undergo major transformations in the coming decades to implement mitigation measures and comply with the Paris Agreement. In particular, the share of weather-dependent wind generation will increase…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-11-23 Bastien Cozian , Corentin Herbert , Freddy Bouchet

Wind energy resource assessment typically requires numerical models, but such models are too computationally intensive to consider multi-year timescales. Increasingly, unsupervised machine learning techniques are used to identify a small…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-14 Mariana C A Clare , Simon C Warder , Robert Neal , B Bhaskaran , Matthew D Piggott

We compare the available wind resources for conventional wind turbines and for airborne wind energy systems. Accessing higher altitudes and dynamically adjusting the harvesting operation to the wind resource substantially increases the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-03-13 Philip Bechtle , Mark Schelbergen , Roland Schmehl , Udo Zillmann , Simon Watson

We propose an index to quantify and analyse the impact of climatological variability on the energy system at different timescales. We define the Climatological Renewable Energy Deviation Index (CREDI) as the cumulative anomaly of a…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-02-29 Laurens P. Stoop , Karin van der Wiel , William Zappa , Arno Haverkamp , Ad J. Feelders , Machteld van den Broek

We use three ensemble members of the EURO-CORDEX project and their data on surface wind speeds, solar irradiation as well as water runoff with a spatial resolution of 12 km and a temporal resolution of 3 hours under representative…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-11-09 Markus Schlott , Alexander Kies , Tom Brown , Stefan Schramm , Martin Greiner

The task of simplifying the complex spatio-temporal variables associated with climate modeling is of utmost importance and comes with significant challenges. In this research, our primary objective is to tailor clustering techniques to…

Applications · Statistics 2023-11-21 Alexis Boulin , Elena Di Bernardino , Thomas Laloë , Gwladys Toulemonde

Reliable wind speed data is crucial for applications such as estimating local (future) wind power. Global Climate Models (GCMs) and Regional Climate Models (RCMs) provide forecasts over multi-decadal periods. However, their outputs vary…

Applications · Statistics 2024-11-19 Sofia Morelli , Nina Effenberger , Luca Schmidt , Nicole Ludwig

Efforts to reduce climate change, but also falling prices and significant technology developments currently drive an increased weather-dependent electricity production from renewable electricity sources. In light of the changing climate, it…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-06-10 Smail Kozarcanin , Hailiang Liu , Gorm Bruun Andresen

This study explores wind energy resources in different locations through the Gulf of Oman and also their future variability due climate change impacts. In this regard, EC-EARTH near surface wind outputs obtained from CORDEX-MENA simulations…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-02-25 Shahab Shamshirband , Amir Mosavi , Narjes Nabipour , Kwok-wing Chau

To forecast wind power generation in the scale of years to decades, outputs from climate models are often used. However, one major limitation of the data projected by these models is their coarse temporal resolution - usually not finer than…

Applications · Statistics 2023-09-19 Nina Effenberger , Nicole Ludwig , Rachel H. White

We assess evidence for changes in tail characteristics of wind, solar irradiance and temperature variables output from CMIP6 global climate models (GCMs) due to climate forcing. We estimate global and climate zone annual maximum and annual…

Applications · Statistics 2025-02-06 Callum Leach , Kevin Ewans , Philip Jonathan

Global return values of marine wind speed and significant wave height are estimated from very large aggregates of archived ensemble forecasts at +240-h lead time. Long lead time ensures that the forecasts represent independent draws from…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2014-07-22 Øyvind Breivik , Ole Johan Aarnes , Saleh Abdalla , Jean-Raymond Bidlot , Peter A. E. M. Janssen
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