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Global dynamics in nonlinear stochastic systems is often difficult to analyze rigorously. Yet, many excellent numerical methods exist to approximate these systems. In this work, we propose a method to bridge the gap between computation and…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-01-07 Maxime Breden , Christian Kuehn

Stochastic and conditional simulation methods have been effective towards producing realistic realizations and simulations of spatial numerical models that share equal probability of occurrence. Application of these methods are valuable…

We study the verification problem of stochastic systems under signal temporal logic (STL) specifications. We propose a novel approach that enables the verification of the probabilistic satisfaction of STL specifications for nonlinear…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2025-03-10 Liqian Ma , Zishun Liu , Hongzhe Yu , Yongxin Chen

Many random processes can be simulated as the output of a deterministic model accepting random inputs. Such a model usually describes a complex mathematical or physical stochastic system and the randomness is introduced in the input…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-11-21 A. Gokcen Mahmutoglu , Alper T. Erdogan , Alper Demir

Stochastic unit commitment models typically handle uncertainties in forecast demand by considering a finite number of realizations from a stochastic process model for loads. Accurate evaluations of expectations or higher moments for the…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2014-07-09 Cosmin Safta , Richard L. Chen , Habib N. Najm , Ali Pinar , Jean-paul watson

We develop a Bayesian methodology for numerical solution of the incompressible Navier--Stokes equations with quantified uncertainty. The central idea is to treat discretized Navier--Stokes dynamics as a state-space model and to view…

Computation · Statistics 2026-02-04 Nicholas Polson , Vadim Sokolov

We introduce a new path integral Monte Carlo method for investigating nonadiabatic systems in thermal equilibrium and demonstrate an approach to reducing stochastic error. We derive a general path integral expression for the partition…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2019-07-11 Neil Raymond , Dmitri Iouchtchenko , Pierre-Nicholas Roy , Marcel Nooijen

Sequential Monte Carlo Samplers are a class of stochastic algorithms for Monte Carlo integral estimation w.r.t. probability distributions, which combine elements of Markov chain Monte Carlo methods and importance sampling/resampling…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Andreas Eberle , Carlo Marinelli

A multifidelity method for the nonlinear propagation of uncertainties in the presence of stochastic accelerations is presented. The proposed algorithm treats the uncertainty propagation (UP) problem by separating the propagation of the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-08-19 Alberto Fossà , Roberto Armellin , Emmanuel Delande , Francesco Sanfedino

In this paper, we focus on the construction of a hybrid scheme for the approximation of non-Maxwellian kinetic models with uncertainties. In the context of multiagent systems, the introduction of a kernel at the kinetic level is useful to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-07-14 Andrea Medaglia , Andrea Tosin , Mattia Zanella

In this paper, a physics-oriented stochastic kinetic scheme will be developed that includes random inputs from both flow and electromagnetic fields via a hybridization of stochastic Galerkin and collocation methods. Based on the BGK-type…

Computational Physics · Physics 2021-03-17 Tianbai Xiao , Martin Frank

The calculation of physical quantities by lattice QCD simulations requires in some important cases the determination of the inverse of a very large matrix. In this article we describe how stochastic estimator methods can be applied to this…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2007-05-23 S. Güsken

Engineering quantum devices requires reliable characterization of the quantum system, including qubits, quantum operations (also known as instruments) and the quantum noise. Recently, quantum gate set tomography (GST) has emerged as a…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-04-16 Ze-Tong Li , Cong-Cong Zheng , Fan-Xu Meng , Han Zeng , Tian Luan , Zai-Chen Zhang , Xu-Tao Yu

This article is devoted to providing a review of mathematical formulations in which Polynomial Chaos Theory (PCT) has been incorporated into stochastic model predictive control (SMPC). In the past decade, PCT has been shown to provide a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-06-18 Prabhat K. Mishra , Joel A. Paulson , Richard D. Braatz

A stochastic model predictive control (SMPC) approach is presented for discrete-time linear systems with arbitrary time-invariant probabilistic uncertainties and additive Gaussian process noise. Closed-loop stability of the SMPC approach is…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-03-17 Joel A. Paulson , Stefan Streif , Ali Mesbah

We study uncertainty quantification for a Boltzmann-Poisson system that models electron transport in semiconductors and the physical collision mechanisms over the charges. We use the stochastic Galerkin method in order to handle the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-07-20 Jose A. Morales Escalante , Clemens Heitzinger

This paper presents the open-source stochastic model predictive control framework GRAMPC-S for nonlinear uncertain systems with chance constraints. It provides several uncertainty propagation methods to predict stochastic moments of the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-25 Daniel Landgraf , Andreas Völz , Knut Graichen

We propose a novel $hp$-multilevel Monte Carlo method for the quantification of uncertainties in the compressible Navier-Stokes equations, using the Discontinuous Galerkin method as deterministic solver. The multilevel approach exploits…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-08-25 A. Beck , J. Dürrwächter , T. Kuhn , F. Meyer , C. -D. Munz , C. Rohde

In this paper, we consider discrete-time non-linear stochastic dynamical systems with additive process noise in which both the initial state and noise distributions are uncertain. Our goal is to quantify how the uncertainty in these…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-19 Steven Adams , Eduardo Figueiredo , Luca Laurenti

Stochastic simulation has been widely used to analyze the performance of complex stochastic systems and facilitate decision making in those systems. Stochastic simulation is driven by the input model, which is a collection of probability…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-02-14 Tianyi Liu , Enlu Zhou