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Accurate simulation of complex physical systems enables the development, testing, and certification of control strategies before they are deployed into the real systems. As simulators become more advanced, the analytical tractability of the…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-05-27 Lucas Barcelos , Rafael Oliveira , Rafael Possas , Lionel Ott , Fabio Ramos

Gaussian process (GP) models are widely used to emulate propagation uncertainty in computer experiments. GP emulation sits comfortably within an analytically tractable Bayesian framework. Apart from propagating uncertainty of the input…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-01-30 Silvia Montagna , Surya T. Tokdar

This article considers stochastic algorithms for efficiently solving a class of large scale non-linear least squares (NLS) problems which frequently arise in applications. We propose eight variants of a practical randomized algorithm where…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-01-27 Farbod Roosta-Khorasani , Gábor J. Székely , Uri Ascher

The ubiquity of stabilizer circuits in the design and operation of quantum computers makes techniques to verify their correctness essential. The simulation of stabilizer circuits, which aims to replicate their behavior using a classical…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-09-19 Vadym Kliuchnikov , Michael Beverland , Adam Paetznick

This paper proposes a novel uncertainty quantification framework for computationally demanding systems characterized by a large vector of non-Gaussian uncertainties. It combines state-of-the-art techniques in advanced Monte Carlo sampling…

Computation · Statistics 2018-03-05 Phaedon-Stelios Koutsourelakis

We study the problem of system identification for stochastic continuous-time dynamics, based on a single finite-length state trajectory. We present a method for estimating the possibly unstable open-loop matrix by employing properly…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-30 Reza Sadeghi Hafshejani , Mohamad Kazem Shirani Fradonbeh

This paper presents a distributed stochastic model predictive control (SMPC) approach for large-scale linear systems with private and common uncertainties in a plug-and-play framework. Using the so-called scenario approach, the centralized…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-01-09 V. Rostampour , T. Keviczky

In this paper, we address the stochastic MPC (SMPC) problem for linear systems, subject to chance state constraints and hard input constraints, under unknown noise distribution. First, we reformulate the chance state constraints as…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-04-05 Charis Stamouli , Anastasios Tsiamis , Manfred Morari , George J. Pappas

As the penetration of distributed energy resources increases, harnessing their flexibility becomes critical for power system operations. Virtual power plants (VPPs) offer a promising solution. However, existing VPP market scheduling tools…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-05 Lorenzo Zapparoli , Blazhe Gjorgiev , Giovanni Sansavini

We present a general formalism for the construction of thermodynamically consistent stochastic models of non-linear electronic circuits. The devices constituting the circuit can have arbitrary I-V curves and may include tunnel junctions,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-09-29 Nahuel Freitas , Jean-Charles Delvenne , Massimiliano Esposito

Methods for quantifying the effects of uncertainties in hyperbolic problems can be divided into intrusive and non-intrusive techniques. Non-intrusive methods allow the usage of a given deterministic solver in a black-box manner, while being…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-08-26 Jonas Kusch , Jannick Wolters , Martin Frank

Stochastic model predictive control (SMPC) has been a promising solution to complex control problems under uncertain disturbances. However, traditional SMPC approaches either require exact knowledge of probabilistic distributions, or rely…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-01-03 Chao Shang , Fengqi You

This paper presents a nonparametric statistical modeling method for quantifying uncertainty in stochastic gradient systems with isotropic diffusion. The central idea is to apply the diffusion maps algorithm to a training data set to produce…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-02-10 Tyrus Berry , John Harlim

We present a "module-based hybrid" Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) framework for general nonlinear multi-physics simulation. The proposed methodology, introduced in [\hyperlink{ref1}{1}], supports the independent development of each…

Computational Physics · Physics 2014-10-21 Akshay Mittal , Xiao Chen , Charles Tong , Gianluca Iaccarino

Intrusive uncertainty quantification methods for hyperbolic problems exhibit spurious oscillations at shocks, which leads to a significant reduction of the overall approximation quality. Furthermore, a challenging task is to preserve…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-05-18 Graham Alldredge , Martin Frank , Jonas Kusch , Ryan McClarren

In a statistical analysis in Particle Physics, nuisance parameters can be introduced to take into account various types of systematic uncertainties. The best estimate of such a parameter is often modeled as a Gaussian distributed variable…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2019-02-25 Glen Cowan

Software engineers often have to estimate the performance of a software system before having full knowledge of the system parameters, such as workload and operational profile. These uncertain parameters inevitably affect the accuracy of…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2018-01-16 Aldeida Aleti , Catia Trubiani , André van Hoorn , Pooyan Jamshidi

The power-flow sensitivity coefficients (PFSCs) are widely used in the power system for expressing linearized dependencies between the controlled (i.e., the nodal voltages, lines currents) and control variables (e.g., active and reactive…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-12-18 Rahul Gupta

The flow-driven spectral chaos (FSC) is a recently developed method for tracking and quantifying uncertainties in the long-time response of stochastic dynamical systems using the spectral approach. The method uses a novel concept called…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-07-22 Hugo Esquivel , Arun Prakash , Guang Lin

Achieving safe control under uncertainty is a key problem that needs to be tackled for enabling real-world autonomous robots and cyber-physical systems. This paper introduces Probabilistic Safety Programs (PSP) that embed both the…

Robotics · Computer Science 2016-10-19 Ashish Kapoor , Debadeepta Dey , Shital Shah