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This article proposes a method for forming invariant stochastic differential systems, namely dynamic systems with trajectories belonging to a given smooth manifold. The It\^o or Stratonovich stochastic differential equations with the Wiener…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-03 Konstantin A. Rybakov

We describe an algorithm for the sequential sampling of entries in multiway contingency tables with given constraints. The algorithm can be used for computations in exact conditional inference. To justify the algorithm, a theory relates…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Yuguo Chen , Ian H. Dinwoodie , Seth Sullivant

The survival probability and the first-passage-time statistics are important quantities in different fields. The Wiener process is the simplest stochastic processwith continuous variables, and important results can be explicitly found from…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-02-15 Eugenio Urdapilleta

In a Cox model, the partial likelihood, as the product of a series of conditional probabilities, is used to estimate the regression coefficients. In practice, those conditional probabilities are approximated by risk score ratios based on a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-27 Youngjin Cho , Yili Hong , Pang Du

The main goal of these notes is to give an introduction to the mathematics of quantum noise and some of its applications in non-equilibrium statistical mechanics. We start with some reminders from the theory of classical stochastic…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2024-07-08 Soon Hoe Lim

This paper proposes probabilistic conformal prediction (PCP), a predictive inference algorithm that estimates a target variable by a discontinuous predictive set. Given inputs, PCP construct the predictive set based on random samples from…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-22 Zhendong Wang , Ruijiang Gao , Mingzhang Yin , Mingyuan Zhou , David M. Blei

Special stochastic representation of the wave function in Quantum Mechanics (QM), based on soliton realization of extended particles, is suggested with the aim to model quantum states via classical computer. Entangled solitons construction…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 T. F. Kamalov , Yu. P. Rybakov

This is a general description of a probabilistic formalism of mechanics, i.e., an extension of the Newtonian mechanics principles to the systems undergoing random motion. From an analysis of the induction procedure from experimental data to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2010-03-29 Qiuping A. Wang

Bayesian inference is an effective approach for solving statistical learning problems especially with uncertainty and incompleteness. However, inference efficiencies are physically limited by the bottlenecks of conventional computing…

Emerging Technologies · Computer Science 2017-11-06 Xiaotao Jia , Jianlei Yang , Zhaohao Wang , Yiran Chen , Hai , Li , Weisheng Zhao

The prediction of stochastic dynamical systems and the capture of dynamical behaviors are profound problems. In this article, we propose a data-driven framework combining Reservoir Computing and Normalizing Flow to study this issue, which…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-08-01 Cheng Fang , Yubin Lu , Ting Gao , Jinqiao Duan

Spatio-temporal Hawkes point processes are a particularly interesting class of stochastic point processes for modeling self-exciting behavior, in which the occurrence of one event increases the probability of other events occurring. These…

Computation · Statistics 2025-11-19 Alba Bernabeu , Jorge Mateu

We study a (relativistic) Wiener process on a complexified (pseudo-)Riemannian manifold. Using Nelson's stochastic quantization procedure, we derive three equivalent descriptions for this problem. If the process has a purely real quadratic…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2022-05-17 Folkert Kuipers

Simulation-based inference has been popular for amortized Bayesian computation. It is typical to have more than one posterior approximation, from different inference algorithms, different architectures, or simply the randomness of…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-04 Yuling Yao , Bruno Régaldo-Saint Blancard , Justin Domke

The theory of slow manifolds is an important tool in the study of deterministic dynamical systems, giving a practical method by which to reduce the number of relevant degrees of freedom in a model, thereby often resulting in a considerable…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-07-01 George W A Constable , Alan J McKane , Tim Rogers

Mathematical theory of selection is developed within the frameworks of general models of inhomogeneous populations with continuous time. Methods that allow us to study the distribution dynamics under natural selection and to construct…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-12-22 Georgy P. Karev

A stochastic theory for the toppling activity in sandpile models is developed, based on a simple mean-field assumption about the toppling process. The theory describes the process as an anti-persistent Gaussian walk, where the diffusion…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-13 Martin Rypdal , Kristoffer Rypdal

We investigate Wiener-transformable markets, where the driving process is given by an adapted transformation of a Wiener process. This includes processes with long memory, like fractional Brownian motion and related processes, and, in…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-08-30 Elena Boguslavskaya , Yuliya Mishura , Georgiy Shevchenko

Epidemics are inherently stochastic, and stochastic models provide an appropriate way to describe and analyse such phenomena. Given temporal incidence data consisting of, for example, the number of new infections or removals in a given time…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-24 Sam A. Whitaker , Andrew Golightly , Colin S. Gillespie , Theodore Kypraios

Optical computing often employs tailor-made hardware to implement specific algorithms, trading generality for improved performance in key aspects like speed and power efficiency. An important computing approach that is still missing its…

Doubly-stochastic point processes model the occurrence of events over a spatial domain as an inhomogeneous Poisson process conditioned on the realization of a random intensity function. They are flexible tools for capturing spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-28 Si Cheng , Jon Wakefield , Ali Shojaie
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