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Delay embedding methods are a staple tool in the field of time series analysis and prediction. However, the selection of embedding parameters can have a big impact on the resulting analysis. This has led to the creation of a large number of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-08-29 Eugene Tan , Shannon Algar , Débora Corrêa , Michael Small , Thomas Stemler , David Walker

Various functional limit theorems for partial sum processes of strictly stationary sequences of regularly varying random variables in the space of cadlag functions $D[0,1]$ with one of the Skorohod topologies have already been obtained. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-23 Danijel Krizmanic

This paper gathers together different conditions which are all equivalent to geometric ergodicity of time-homogeneous Markov chains on general state spaces. A total of 34 different conditions are presented (27 for general chains plus 7 just…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-06 M. A. Gallegos-Herrada , D. Ledvinka , J. S. Rosenthal

In this paper we discuss weak convergence of continuous-time Markov chains to a non-symmetric pure jump process. We approach this problem using Dirichlet forms as well as semimartingales. As an application, we discuss how to approximate a…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-23 Ante Mimica , Nikola Sandrić , René L. Schilling

This paper aims at improving the convergence to equilibrium of finite ergodic Markov chains via permutations and projections. First, we prove that a specific mixture of permuted Markov chains arises naturally as a projection under the KL…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-22 Michael C. H. Choi , Max Hird , Youjia Wang

The aim of this work is to provide a rigorous mathematical analysis of a stochastic concatenation model presented by Sobottka and Hart (2011) which allows approximation of the first-order stochastic structure in bacterial DNA by means of a…

Genomics · Quantitative Biology 2019-11-28 Andrew G. Hart , M. Sobottka

In this short paper, we consider discrete-time Markov chains on lattices as approximations to continuous-time diffusion processes. The approximations can be interpreted as finite difference schemes for the generator of the process. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-08 Christoph Reisinger

Motivated by information geometry, a distance function on the space of stochastic matrices is advocated. Starting with sequences of Markov chains the Bhattacharyya angle is advocated as the natural tool for comparing both short and long…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-06 Antony R. Lee , Peter Tino , Iain Bruce Styles

The concepts of probability, statistics and stochastic theory are being successfully used in structural engineering. Markov Chain modelling is a simple stochastic process model that has found its application in both describing stochastic…

Applications · Statistics 2007-08-14 K. Balaji Rao

Multistate Markov models are a canonical parametric approach for data modeling of observed or latent stochastic processes supported on a finite state space. Continuous-time Markov processes describe data that are observed irregularly over…

Markov chain Monte Carlo is an inherently serial algorithm. Although likelihood calculations for individual steps can sometimes be parallelized, the serial evolution of the process is widely viewed as incompatible with parallelization,…

Computation · Statistics 2013-12-31 Douglas N. VanDerwerken , Scott C. Schmidler

In this work, we characterise the statistics of Markov chains by constructing an associated sequence of periodic differential operators. Studying the density of states of these operators reveals the absolutely continuous invariant measure…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-09-22 Bryn Davies , Angelica Yu Xiao

Comparison results are given for time-inhomogeneous Markov processes with respect to function classes induced stochastic orderings. The main result states comparison of two processes, provided that the comparability of their infinitesimal…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-13 Ludger Rueschendorf , Alexander Schnurr , Viktor Wolf

This paper is devoted to the convergence analysis of stochastic approximation algorithms of the form $\theta\_{n+1} = \theta\_n + \gamma\_{n+1} H\_{\theta\_n}(X\_{n+1})$ where $\{\theta\_nn, n \geq 0\}$ is a $R^d$-valued sequence,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-27 Gersende Fort , Eric Moulines , Amandine Schreck , Matti Vihola

The time at which a one-dimensional continuous strong Markov process attains a boundary point of its state space is a discontinuous path functional and it is, therefore, unclear whether the exit time can be approximated by hitting times of…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-11 Thomas Kruse , Mikhail Urusov

This paper is concerned with the development of rigorous approximations to various expectations associated with Markov chains and processes having non-stationary transition probabilities. Such non-stationary models arise naturally in…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-07 Zeyu Zheng , Harsha Honnappa , Peter W. Glynn

We obtain a perfect sampling characterization of weak ergodicity for backward products of finite stochastic matrices, and equivalently, simultaneous tail triviality of the corresponding nonhomogeneous Markov chains. Applying these ideas to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-07 Nick Whiteley , Anthony Lee

We study the convergence of stochastic fixed point iterations in the consistent case (in the sense of Butnariu and Fl{\aa}m (1995)) in several different settings, under decreasingly restrictive regularity assumptions of the fixed point…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-03-26 Neal Hermer , D. Russell Luke , Anja Sturm

In the paper, we study a new rate of convergence estimate for homogeneous discrete-time nonlinear Markov chains based on the Markov-Dobrushin condition. This result generalizes the convergence estimates for any positive number of transition…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-22 Aleksandr A. Shchegolev

The theory of ``Markov-up'' processes is being developed. This is a new class of stochastic processes with ``partial'' markovian features; it could also be called ``one-sided Markov''. Such a behavior may be found in the real world and in…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-01 D. O. Kalikaeva