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We consider a class of continuous time Markov chains on $\Z^d$. These chains are the discrete space analogue of Markov processes with jumps. Under some conditions, we show that harmonic functions associated with these Markov chains are…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-02-27 Fangjun Xu

The marked Hawkes risk process is a compound point process for which the occurrence and amplitude of past events impact the future. Thanks to its autoregressive properties, it found applications in various fields such as neuosciences,…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-11 Laure Coutin , Mahmoud Khabou

This paper analyzes a (1, $\lambda$)-Evolution Strategy, a randomized comparison-based adaptive search algorithm, optimizing a linear function with a linear constraint. The algorithm uses resampling to handle the constraint. Two cases are…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-10-16 Alexandre Chotard , Anne Auger , Nikolaus Hansen

Spectral methods have proven to be a highly effective tool in understanding the intrinsic geometry of a high-dimensional data set $\left\{x_i \right\}_{i=1}^{n} \subset \mathbb{R}^d$. The key ingredient is the construction of a Markov chain…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2014-11-07 Stefan Steinerberger

We consider a stochastic process which is (a) described by a continuous-time Markov chain on only short time-scales and (b) constrained to conserve a number of hidden quantities on long time-scales. We assume that the transition matrix of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-10-27 Vitaly Vanchurin

Necessary and sufficient conditions for convergence in distribution of first-rare-event times and convergence in Skorokhod J-topology of first-rare-event-time processes for perturbed semi-Markov processes with finite phase space are…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-15 Dmitrii Silvestrov

Fluid approximations have seen great success in approximating the macro-scale behaviour of Markov systems with a large number of discrete states. However, these methods rely on the continuous-time Markov chain (CTMC) having a particular…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-10-29 Michalis Michaelides , Jane Hillston , Guido Sanguinetti

Labeled continuous-time Markov chains (CTMCs) describe processes subject to random timing and partial observability. In applications such as runtime monitoring, we must incorporate past observations. The timing of these observations matters…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2024-01-30 Thom Badings , Matthias Volk , Sebastian Junges , Marielle Stoelinga , Nils Jansen

Markov branching systems form a fundamental class of stochastic models that are extensively applied in biology, physics, finance, and other domains. These systems are distinguished by their continuous-time evolution and inherent branching…

The $S$ topology on the Skorokhod space was introduced by the author in 1997 and since then it proved to be a useful tool in several areas of the theory of stochastic processes. The paper brings complementary information on the $S$…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-27 Adam Jakubowski

We consider continuous-space, discrete-time Markov chains on $\mathbb{R}^d$, that admit a finite number $N$ of metastable states. Our main motivation for investigating these processes is to analyse random Poincar\'e maps, which describe…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-19 Nils Berglund

Stochastic processes find applications in modelling systems in a variety of disciplines. A large number of stochastic models considered are Markovian in nature. It is often observed that higher order Markov processes can model the data…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-13 Suryadeepto Nag

In this paper, we study a notion of local stationarity for discrete time Markov chains which is useful for applications in statistics. In the spirit of some locally stationary processes introduced in the literature, we consider triangular…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-10-06 Lionel Truquet

We propose a new stochastic model for streamflow discharge timeseries as a jump-driven process, called a superposition of continuous-state branching processes with immigration (a supCBI process). It is a non-Markovian model having the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-14 Hidekazu Yoshioka

Stochastic gradient descent (SGD) is a popular algorithm for minimizing objective functions that arise in machine learning. For constant step-sized SGD, the iterates form a Markov chain on a general state space. Focusing on a class of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-03-26 David Shirokoff , Philip Zaleski

The Skorokhod embedding problem aims to represent a given probability measure on the real line as the distribution of Brownian motion stopped at a chosen stopping time. In this paper, we consider an extension of the optimal Skorokhod…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-04 Gaoyue Guo , Xiaolu Tan , Nizar Touzi

This paper discusses several techniques which may be used for applying the coupling method to solutions of stochastic differential equations (SDEs). They all work in dimension $d\ge 1$, although, in $d=1$ the most natural way is to use…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-30 Alexander Veretennikov

We consider a class of discrete time Markov chains with state space [0,1] and the following dynamics. At each time step, first the direction of the next transition is chosen at random with probability depending on the current location. Then…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-04 Shaun McKinlay , Konstantin Borovkov

Under proper scaling and distributional assumptions, we prove the convergence in the Skorokhod space endowed with the M_1-topology of a sequence of stochastic integrals of a deterministic function driven by a time-changed symmetric…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-08-27 Enrico Scalas , Noèlia Viles

Consider a stochastic process $\{X(t)\}$ on a finite state space $ {\sf X}=\{1,\dots, d\}$. It is conditionally Markov, given a real-valued `input process' $\{\zeta(t)\}$. This is assumed to be small, which is modeled through the scaling,…

Performance · Computer Science 2018-09-18 Yue Chen , Ana Bušić , Sean Meyn