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Model-X approaches to testing conditional independence between a predictor and an outcome variable given a vector of covariates usually assume exact knowledge of the conditional distribution of the predictor given the covariates.…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-10 Ziang Niu , Abhinav Chakraborty , Oliver Dukes , Eugene Katsevich

A new bivariate partial sum process for locally stationary time series is introduced and its weak convergence to a Brownian sheet is established. This construction enables the development of a novel self-normalized CUSUM test statistic for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-15 Florian Heinrichs

The Moderate Deviations Principle (MDP) is well-understood for sums of independent random variables, worse understood for stationary random sequences, and scantily understood for random fields. Here it is established for splittable random…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-16 Boris Tsirelson

A useful sampling-reconstruction model should be stable with respect to different kind of small perturbations, regardless whether they result from jitter, measurement errors, or simply from a small change in the model assumptions. In this…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2007-05-31 E. costa-Reyes , A. Aldroubi , I. Krishtal

This article considers the sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) approximation of ratios of normalizing constants associated to posterior distributions which in principle rely on continuum models. Therefore, the Monte Carlo estimation error and the…

Computation · Statistics 2016-03-04 Pierre Del Moral , Ajay Jasra , Kody Law , Yan Zhou

This paper proposes a novel test method for high-dimensional mean testing regard for the temporal dependent data. Comparison to existing methods, we establish the asymptotic normality of the test statistic without relying on restrictive…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-01 Yuchen Hu , Xiaoyi Wang , Long Feng

We obtain large and moderate deviation estimates, as well as concentration inequalities, for a class of nonuniformly expanding maps with stretched exponential decay of correlations. In the large deviation regime, we also exhibit examples…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-26 C Cuny , J Dedecker , F Merlevède

In this paper, we derive the moderate deviation principle for stationary sequences of bounded random variables with values in a Hilbert space. The conditions obtained are expressed in terms of martingale-type conditions. The main tools are…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-01-21 Sophie Dede

There exist several methods developed for the canonical change point problem of detecting multiple mean shifts, which search for changes over sections of the data at multiple scales. In such methods, estimation of the noise level is often…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-07 Euan T. McGonigle , Haeran Cho

In this paper, we derive a central limit theorem for collections of weakly correlated random variables indexed by discrete metric spaces, where the correlation decays in the distance of the indices. The correlation structure we study…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-11 Michael Fleermann , Werner Kirsch

(This is the third version of a working paper.) We develop a family of self-normalized concentration inequalities for marginal mean under martingale-difference structure and $\phi/\tilde{\phi}$-mixing conditions, where the latter includes…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-17 Zihao Yuan

The goal of this paper is to obtain expectation bounds for the deviation of large sample autocovariance matrices from their means under weak data dependence. While the accuracy of covariance matrix estimation corresponding to independent…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-05-27 Fang Han , Yicheng Li

There is a wide availability of methods for testing normality under the assumption of independent and identically distributed data. When data are dependent in space and/or time, however, assessing and testing the marginal behavior is…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-17 Minwoo Kim , Marc G Genton , Raphael Huser , Stefano Castruccio

We analyze the extreme value dependence of independent, not necessarily identically distributed multivariate regularly varying random vectors. More specifically, we propose estimators of the spectral measure locally at some time point and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-06-05 Holger Drees

An example of a discrete-time stationary random process whose sums follow the normal approximation within a given part of the region of moderate deviations, but violate it outside this part.

Probability · Mathematics 2012-07-23 Boris Tsirelson

We consider a class of tempered subordinators, namely a class of subordinators with one-dimensional marginal tempered distributions which belong to a family studied in [3]. The main contribution in this paper is a non-central moderate…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-05 Nikolai Leonenko , Claudio Macci , Barbara Pacchiarotti

Batch Normalization is quite effective at accelerating and improving the training of deep models. However, its effectiveness diminishes when the training minibatches are small, or do not consist of independent samples. We hypothesize that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-03-31 Sergey Ioffe

We propose a testing procedure based on the Wilcoxon two-sample test statistic in order to test for change-points in the mean of long-range dependent data. We show that the corresponding self-normalized test statistic converges in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-09-10 Annika Betken

In this paper we give new deviation inequalities of Bernstein's type for the partial sums of weakly dependent time series. The loss from the independent case is studied carefully. We give non mixing examples such that dynamical systems and…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-10-20 Olivier Wintenberger

The block bootstrap approximates sampling distributions from dependent data by resampling data blocks. A fundamental problem is establishing its consistency for the distribution of a sample mean, as a prototypical statistic. We use a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-06-23 Johannes Tewes , Daniel J. Nordman , Dimitris N. Politis