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In the framework of homogeneous susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) models, we use a control theory approach to identify optimal pandemic mitigation strategies. We derive rather general conditions for reaching herd immunity while…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-07-05 Prakhar Godara , Stephan Herminghaus , Knut M. Heidemann

Tuberculosis (TB) is an infectious disease caused by Mycobacterium tuberculosis (Mtb.) that produces pulmonary damage due to its airborne nature. This fact facilitates the disease fast-spreading, which, according to the World Health…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-06-01 Pedro M. Gordaliza

In this paper, we study the optimal control for an SEIR model adapted to the vaccination strategy of susceptible individuals. There are factors associated with a vaccination campaign that make this strategy not only a public health issue…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-11-08 Nelson L. Santos Junior , João A. M. Gondim

Therapeutic strategies to correct an excessive immune response to pathogenic infection is investigated as an optimal control problem. The control problem is formulated around a four dimensional mathematical model describing the inflammatory…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-04-20 Ouassim Bara , Seddik Djouadi , Judy Day , Suzanne Lenhart

We study the problem of a decision maker who must provide the best possible treatment recommendation based on an experiment. The desirability of the outcome distribution resulting from the policy recommendation is measured through a…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-04-06 Anders Bredahl Kock , David Preinerstorfer , Bezirgen Veliyev

This paper is concerned with the well-posedness and optimal control problem of a reaction-diffusion system for an epidemic Susceptible-Infected-Recovered-Susceptible (SIRS) mathematical model in which the dynamics develops in a spatially…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-04-24 Pierluigi Colli , Gianni Gilardi , Gabriela Marinoschi , Elisabetta Rocca

The design of an efficient curing policy, able to stem an epidemic process at an affordable cost, has to account for the structure of the population contact network supporting the contagious process. Thus, we tackle the problem of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-12-04 Stefania Ottaviano , Francesco De Pellegrini , Stefano Bonaccorsi , Piet Van Mieghem

Analysis of policies for managing epidemics require simultaneously an economic and epidemiological perspective. We adopt a cost-of-policy framework to model both the virus spread and the cost of handling the pandemic. Because it is harder…

General Economics · Economics 2021-02-10 Jacob Janssen , Yaneer Bar-Yam

Tuberculosis (TB) is an infectious disease transmitted through the respiratory system. China is one of the countries with a high burden of TB. Since 2004, an average of more than 800,000 cases of active TB have been reported each year in…

Applications · Statistics 2023-04-03 Chuanqing Xu , Kedeng Cheng , Yu Wang , Songbai Guo , Maoxing Liu , Xiaojing Wang , Zhiguo Zhang

In this paper we introduce the optimal control of a kinetic model describing agents who migrate on a graph and interact within its nodes exchanging a physical quantity. As a prototype model, we consider the spread of an infectious disease…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-01-15 Jonathan Franceschi , Nadia Loy

We study the impact of parameter estimation and state measurement errors on a control framework for optimally mitigating the spread of epidemics. We capture the epidemic spreading process using a susceptible-infected-removed (SIR) epidemic…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-08-08 Baike She , Lei Xin , Shreyas Sundaram , Philip E. Paré

We analyze an optimal control version of a simple SIRS epidemiology model. The policy maker can adopt policies to diminish the contact rate between infected and susceptible individuals, at a specific economic cost. The arrival of a vaccine…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-06-09 Evangelos Magirou

Adaptive optimal control of nonlinear dynamic systems with deterministic and known dynamics under a known undiscounted infinite-horizon cost function is investigated. Policy iteration scheme initiated using a stabilizing initial control is…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-05-21 Ali Heydari

Understanding how to effectively control an epidemic spreading on a network is a problem of paramount importance for the scientific community. The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic has highlighted the need for policies that mitigate the spread,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-09-14 Carlo Cenedese , Lorenzo Zino , Michele Cucuzzella , Ming Cao

This paper aims to evaluate the potential cost-effectiveness of healthcare interventions against human papillomavirus (HPV). For this, we consider a two-sex epidemic model for the transmission dynamics of HPV which includes screening,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-11-16 Fernando Saldaña , José Ariel Camacho-Gutíerrez , Ignacio Barradas , Andrei Korobeinikov

A systematic and automated framework for developing closed-loop flow control strategies is proposed, integrating suboptimal control theory [Lee et al., J. Fluid Mech. 358, 245 (1998)] with Bayesian optimization. The approach is demonstrated…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-07-08 Yusuke Yugeta , Yosuke Hasegawa

We analyze equilibrium behavior and optimal policy within a Susceptible-Infected-Recovered epidemic model augmented with potentially undiagnosed agents who infer their health status and a social planner with imperfect enforcement of social…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-11-01 Thomas Phelan , Alexis Akira Toda

Efficient testing and vaccination protocols are critical aspects of epidemic management. To study the optimal allocation of limited testing and vaccination resources in a heterogeneous contact network of interacting susceptible, recovered,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-05-12 Mingtao Xia , Lucas Böttcher , Tom Chou

The process of contagiousness spread modelling is well-known in epidemiology. However, the application of spread modelling to banking market is quite recent. In this work, we present a system of ordinary differential equations, simulating…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-02-19 Olena Kostylenko , Helena Sofia Rodrigues , Delfim F. M. Torres

The aim of this paper is to provide a rigorous mathematical analysis of an optimal control problem with SIR dynamics. The main feature of our study is the presence of state constraints (related to intensive care units ICU capacity) and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-08-25 Florin Avram , Lorenzo Freddi , Dan Goreac