English
Related papers

Related papers: Forecasting Electricity Smart Meter Data Using Con…

200 papers

Kernel density estimation is a popular method for estimating unseen probability distributions. However, the convergence of these classical estimators to the true density slows down in high dimensions. Moreover, they do not define meaningful…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-30 Jack Kendrick

This study proposes multivariate kernel density estimation by stagewise minimization algorithm based on $U$-divergence and a simple dictionary. The dictionary consists of an appropriate scalar bandwidth matrix and a part of the original…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-08-11 Kiheiji Nishida , Kanta Naito

Load shapes derived from smart meter data are frequently employed to analyze daily energy consumption patterns, particularly in the context of applications like Demand Response (DR). Nevertheless, one of the most important challenges to…

Increased deployment of residential smart meters has made it possible to record energy consumption data on short intervals. These data, if used efficiently, carry valuable information for managing power demand and increasing energy…

Other Computer Science · Computer Science 2019-03-05 Nameer Al Khafaf , Mahdi Jalili , Peter Sokolowski

Residential consumers can use the demand response program (DRP) if they can utilize the home energy management system (HEMS), which reduces consumer costs by automatically adjusting air conditioning (AC) setpoints and shifting some…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-05-16 Reza Nematirad , M. M. Ardehali , Amir Khorsandi

Kernel density estimation is a widely used nonparametric approach to estimate an unknown distribution. Recent work in Bayesian predictive inference has considered stochastic processes formed by specifying the predictive distribution for the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-15 Torey Hilbert

Integrating renewable energy sources into the power grid is becoming increasingly important as the world moves towards a more sustainable energy future in line with SDG 7. However, the intermittent nature of renewable energy sources can…

We are interested in the nonparametric estimation of the probability density of price returns, using the kernel approach. The output of the method heavily relies on the selection of a bandwidth parameter. Many selection methods have been…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-23 Matthieu Garcin

A smart home energy dataset that records miscellaneous energy consumption data is publicly offered. The proposed energy activity dataset (EAD) has a high data type diversity in contrast to existing load monitoring datasets. In EAD, a simple…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-10-26 Chen Li

We introduce a novel kernel-based framework for learning differential equations and their solution maps that is efficient in data requirements, in terms of solution examples and amount of measurements from each example, and computational…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-07 Yasamin Jalalian , Juan Felipe Osorio Ramirez , Alexander Hsu , Bamdad Hosseini , Houman Owhadi

In this paper we revisit the kernel density estimation problem: given a kernel $K(x, y)$ and a dataset of $n$ points in high dimensional Euclidean space, prepare a data structure that can quickly output, given a query $q$, a…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2020-11-16 Moses Charikar , Michael Kapralov , Navid Nouri , Paris Siminelakis

The electricity consumption of buildings composes a major part of the city's energy consumption. Electricity consumption forecasting enables the development of home energy management systems resulting in the future design of more…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-16 Farshad Ahmadi Asl , Mehmet Bodur

Accurate prediction of electricity prices plays an essential role in the electricity market. To reflect the uncertainty of electricity prices, price intervals are predicted. This paper proposes a novel prediction interval construction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-15 Xin Lu

Demand side management (DSM) is a key solution for reducing the peak-time power consumption in smart grids. To provide incentives for consumers to shift their consumption to off-peak times, the utility company charges consumers differential…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2013-11-11 Linqi Song , Yuanzhang Xiao , Mihaela van der Schaar

New generation electricity network called Smart Grid is a recently conceived vision for a cleaner, more efficient and cheaper electricity system. One of the major challenges of electricity network is that generation and consumption should…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-08-02 Lorant Kovacs , Rajmund Drenyovszki , Andras Olah , Janos Levendovszky , Kalman Tornai , Istvan Pinter

Short-term forecasts of energy consumption are invaluable for the operation of energy systems, including low voltage electricity networks. However, network loads are challenging to predict when highly desegregated to small numbers of…

Applications · Statistics 2023-01-10 Ciaran Gilbert , Jethro Browell , Bruce Stephen

We review recent advances in modal regression studies using kernel density estimation. Modal regression is an alternative approach for investigating relationship between a response variable and its covariates. Specifically, modal regression…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-08 Yen-Chi Chen

Conditional density estimation generalizes regression by modeling a full density f(yjx) rather than only the expected value E(yjx). This is important for many tasks, including handling multi-modality and generating prediction intervals.…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-06-26 Michael P. Holmes , Alexander G. Gray , Charles Lee Isbell

In the near future, millions of load curves measuring the electricity consumption of French households in small time grids (probably half hours) will be available. All these collected load curves represent a huge amount of information which…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-01-20 Hervé Cardot , Anne De Moliner , Camelia Goga

This paper analyzes a scenario where the distribution system operator needs to estimate whether the average power demand in a given period is above a predetermined threshold using an 1-bit memoryless scheme. Specifically, individual…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-08-05 Iran Ramezanipour , Mauricio C. Tomé , Pedro H. J. Nardelli , Hirley Alves