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Solar flares, along with other sun-originated events such as Coronal Mass Ejections, fast solar wind streams, and solar energetic particles are among the most relevant events in Space Weather. Moreover, solar flares are the most energetic…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2022-11-21 Nicola Plutino , Francesco Berrilli , Dario Del Moro , Luca Giovannelli

We present a hybrid forecasting strategy that combines numerical modeling, statistical forecasting, and machine learning methods to predict enhanced bursts of solar activity. These bursts, referred to here as space weather seasons, occur on…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2026-05-27 Juie Shetye , Mausumi Dikpati

Solar flare X-ray emission results from rapidly increasing temperatures and emission measures in flaring active region loops. To date, observations from the X-Ray Sensor (XRS) onboard the Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2013-03-07 Daniel F. Ryan , Ryan O. Milligan , Peter T. Gallagher , Brian R. Dennis , A. Kim Tolbert , Richard A. Schwartz , C. Alex Young

Homogeneous coronal data set (HCDS) of the green corona (Fe XIV) and coronal index of the solar activity (CI) have been used to study time-latitudinal distribution in solar cycles 18-24 and compared with similar distribution of sunspots,…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2022-09-28 Jouni J. Takalo

We apply a complex network approach to analyse the time series of five solar parameters, and propose an strategy to predict the number of sunspots for the next solar maximum, and when will this maximum will occur. The approach is based on…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2024-12-18 Eduardo Flandez , Victor Munoz

In the declining phase of the solar cycle, when the new-polarity fields of the solar poles are strengthened by the transport of same-signed magnetic flux from lower latitudes, the polar coronal holes expand and form non-axisymmetric…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-23 Kalevi Mursula , Renata Lukianova , Lauri Holappa

Here we study the prediction of even and odd numbered sunspot cycles separately, thereby taking into account the Hale cyclicity of solar magnetism. We first show that the temporal evolution and shape of all sunspot cycles are extremely well…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2023-09-11 Timo Asikainen , Jani Mantere

Solar quasi-biennial oscillations with period range 0.6 to 4 years, are prominent in records of solar activity. Here we show that the 1.6 year quasi-biennial oscillation in solar activity has the exceptional feature of phase inversion…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2021-10-27 Ian R. Edmonds

A review of solar cycle prediction methods and their performance is given, including early forecasts for cycle 25. The review focuses on those aspects of the solar cycle prediction problem that have a bearing on dynamo theory. The scope of…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2020-03-05 Kristof Petrovay

We report on the results of the Sun in Time multi-wavelength program (X-rays to the UV) of solar analogs with ages covering ~0.1-7 Gyr. The chief science goals are to study the solar magnetic dynamo and to determine the radiative and…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-10 I. Ribas , E. F. Guinan , M. Guedel , M. Audard

In the present paper a systematic study is carried out to validate the similarity or degree of relationship between daily terrestrial cosmic rays intensity and three characteristics of about evolution of solar corona, like a number of…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2019-06-05 D. Sierra-Porta

The flare activity and the ultraviolet emission of the sun during its 24-th cycle are analysed. As compared to cycles 21-23, where the most powerful flares were observed during the decay phase, in cycle 24 the greatest number of powerful…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2017-11-29 E. A. Bruevich , G. V. Yakunina

Prediction of solar cycle is an important goal of Solar Physics both because it serves as a touchstone for our understanding of the sun and also because of its societal value for a space faring civilization. The task is difficult and…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2020-10-07 Leif Svalgaard

We use Renewal Theory for the estimation and interpretation of the flare rate from the Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite (GOES) soft X-ray flare catalogue. It is found, that in addition to the flare rate variability with the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-03-20 Andrei Gorobets , Mauro Messerotti

The use of the spotless days to predict the future solar activity is here revised based on the new version of the sunspot number index with a 24-month filter. Data from Solar Cycle (SC) 10 are considered because from this solar cycle the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2017-11-15 V. M. S. Carrasco , J. M. Vaquero , M. C. Gallego

Understanding how the solar corona is structured is of fundamental importance to determining how the Sun's upper atmosphere is heated to high temperatures. Recent spectroscopic studies have suggested that an instrument with a spatial…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2013-07-18 David H. Brooks , Harry P. Warren , Ignacio Ugarte-Urra , Amy R. Winebarger

The chromospheric Lyman-alpha line of neutral hydrogen (\lya; 1216\AA) is the strongest emission line in the solar spectrum. Fluctuations in \lya\ are known to drive changes in planetary atmospheres, although few instruments have had the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2020-08-26 Ryan O. Milligan , Hugh S. Hudson , Phillip C. Chamberlin , Iain G. Hannah , Laura A. Hayes

Solar Energetic Particle (SEP) events and their major subclass, Solar Proton Events (SPEs), can have unfavorable consequences on numerous aspects of life and technology, making them one of the most harmful effects of solar activity.…

We describe systematic changes in the centroid frequencies and the splitting coefficients as found using data from MDI on board SOHO, covering cycle 23. The data allow us to construct a seismic map of the evolving solar activity -- covering…

Astrophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 W. A. Dziembowski , Philip R. Goode

Utilizing the excellent stability of the Ozone Monitoring Instrument (OMI), we characterize both short-term (solar rotation) and long-term (solar cycle) changes of the solar spectral irradiance (SSI) between 265-500 nm during the on-going…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2016-10-26 S. V. Marchenko , M. T. DeLand , J. L. Lean