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Autonomous systems in the road transportation network require intelligent mechanisms that cope with uncertainty to foresee the future. In this paper, we propose a multi-stage probabilistic approach for trajectory forecasting: trajectory…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-28 Tiago Rodrigues de Almeida , Oscar Martinez Mozos

Symbolic models have recently spurred the interest of the research community because they offer a correct-by-design approach to the control of embedded and cyber-physical systems. In this paper we address construction of symbolic models for…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-08-15 Giordano Pola , Pierdomenico Pepe , Maria Domenica Di Benedetto

Adapting neural networks to new tasks typically requires task-specific fine-tuning, which is time-consuming and reliant on labeled data. We explore a generative alternative that produces task-specific parameters directly from task identity,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-24 Lijun Zhang , Xiao Liu , Hui Guan

Markov models lie at the interface between statistical independence in a probability distribution and graph separation properties. We review model selection and estimation in directed and undirected Markov models with Gaussian…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-03 Irene Córdoba , Concha Bielza , Pedro Larrañaga

Decomposable dependency models and their graphical counterparts, i.e., chordal graphs, possess a number of interesting and useful properties. On the basis of two characterizations of decomposable models in terms of independence…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-08 Luis M. de Campos , Juan F. Huete

A graphical model is a statistical model that is associated to a graph whose nodes correspond to variables of interest. The edges of the graph reflect allowed conditional dependencies among the variables. Graphical models admit…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-06-09 Mathias Drton , Marloes H. Maathuis

High-dimensional multivariate time series are common in many scientific and industrial applications, where the interest lies in identifying key dependence structure within the data for subsequent analysis tasks, such as forecasting. An…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-15 Madeline A. Shelley , Chiara Boetti , Marina I. Knight , Matthew A. Nunes

For statistical analysis of multiway contingency tables we propose modeling interaction terms in each maximal compact component of a hierarchical model. By this approach we can search for parsimonious models with smaller degrees of freedom…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-08-23 Hisayuki Hara , Tomonari Sei , Akimichi Takemura

We investigate a generic problem of learning pairwise exponential family graphical models with pairwise sufficient statistics defined by a global mapping function, e.g., Mercer kernels. This subclass of pairwise graphical models allow us to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-11-25 Xiao-Tong Yuan , Ping Li , Tong Zhang

Causal parameters may not be point identified in the presence of unobserved confounding. However, information about non-identified parameters, in the form of bounds, may still be recovered from the observed data in some cases. We develop a…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-02 Noam Finkelstein , Ilya Shpitser

Interpreting data with mathematical models is an important aspect of real-world industrial and applied mathematical modeling. Often we are interested to understand the extent to which a particular set of data informs and constrains model…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-06 Matthew J Simpson , Ruth E Baker

Existing research largely attributes the global sequence modeling capability of Transformers to the explicit computation of attention weights, a process that inherently incurs quadratic computational complexity. In this work, we offer a…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-05-07 Ruize He , Dongchen Han , Gao Huang

Graphical models are widely used in diverse application domains to model the conditional dependencies amongst a collection of random variables. In this paper, we consider settings where the graph structure is covariate-dependent, and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-24 Jiahe Lin , Yikai Zhang , George Michailidis

A large body of research in machine learning is concerned with supervised learning from examples. The examples are typically represented as vectors in a multi-dimensional feature space (also known as attribute-value descriptions). A teacher…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Peter D. Turney

The control of nonlinear dynamical systems remains a major challenge for autonomous agents. Current trends in reinforcement learning (RL) focus on complex representations of dynamics and policies, which have yielded impressive results in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-13 Hany Abdulsamad , Jan Peters

We examine Contextualized Machine Learning (ML), a paradigm for learning heterogeneous and context-dependent effects. Contextualized ML estimates heterogeneous functions by applying deep learning to the meta-relationship between contextual…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-18 Benjamin Lengerich , Caleb N. Ellington , Andrea Rubbi , Manolis Kellis , Eric P. Xing

Many forms of dependence manifest themselves over time, with behavior of variables in dynamical systems as a paradigmatic example. This paper studies temporal dependence in dynamical systems from a logical perspective, by enriching a…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2024-03-29 Alexandru Baltag , Johan van Benthem , Dazhu Li

Goal-models (GM) have been used in adaptive systems engineering for their ability to capture the different ways to fulfill the requirements. Contextual GM (CGM) extend these models with the notion of context and context-dependent…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2015-03-25 Felipe Pontes Guimarães , Genaina Nunes Rodrigues , Raian Ali , Daniel Macêdo Batista

Many real-world objects can be modeled as a stream of events on the nodes of a graph. In this paper, we propose a class of graphical event models named temporal point process graphical models for representing the temporal dependencies among…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-25 Yalong Lyu , Huiyuan Wang , Wei Lin

Latent feature models (LFM)s are widely employed for extracting latent structures of data. While offering high, parameter estimation is difficult with LFMs because of the combinational nature of latent features, and non-identifiability is a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-09-27 Ryota Suzuki , Shingo Takahashi , Murtuza Petladwala , Shigeru Kohmoto