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We present a new strategy for filtering high-dimensional multiscale systems characterized by high-order non-Gaussian statistics using observations from leading-order moments. A closed stochastic-statistical modeling framework suitable for…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2024-07-09 Di Qi , Jian-Guo Liu

In most real cases transition probabilities between operational modes of Markov jump linear systems cannot be computed exactly and are time-varying. We take into account this aspect by considering Markov jump linear systems where the…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2021-03-22 Y. Zacchia Lun , A. Abate , A. D'Innocenzo

In this article we consider the linear filtering problem in continuous-time. We develop and apply multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) strategies for ensemble Kalman-Bucy filters (EnKBFs). These filters can be viewed as approximations of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-04-06 Neil K. Chada , Ajay Jasra , Fangyuan Yu

We consider continuous-time, finite-horizon, optimal quadratic control of semi-Markov jump linear systems (S-MJLS), and develop principled approximations through Markov-like representations for the holding-time distributions. We adopt a…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-11-07 Saeid Jafari , Ketan Savla

The work of Kalman and Bucy has established a duality between filtering and optimal estimation in the context of time-continuous linear systems. This duality has recently been extended to time-continuous nonlinear systems in terms of an…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-08-15 Jin Won Kim , Sebastian Reich

In this paper we consider large state space continuous time Markov chains (MCs) arising in the field of systems biology. For density dependent families of MCs that represent the interaction of large groups of identical objects, Kurtz has…

Performance · Computer Science 2015-03-04 Alessio Angius , Gianfranco Balbo , Marco Beccuti , Enrico Bibbona , Andras Horvath , Roberta Sirovich

The Kalman(-Bucy) filter is the natural choice for the state reconstruction of disturbed, linear dynamical systems based on flawed and incomplete measurements. Taking a deterministic viewpoint this work investigates possible extensions of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-06-03 Karl Kunisch , Jesper Schröder

The objective of this paper is to study the filtering problem for a system of partially observable processes $(X, Y)$, where $X$ is a non-Markovian pure-jump process representing the signal and $Y$ is a general jump-diffusion which provides…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-02 Elena Bandini , Alessandro Calvia , Katia Colaneri

This paper deals with some reachability issues for piecewise linear switched systems with time-dependent coefficients and multiplicative noise. Namely, it aims at characterizing data that are almost reachable at some fixed time T > 0…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-10-29 Dan Goreac

In this paper, we focus on batch state estimation for linear systems. This problem is important in applications such as environmental field estimation, robotic navigation, and target tracking. Its difficulty lies on that limited operational…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-09-27 Vasileios Tzoumas , Ali Jadbabaie , George J. Pappas

This paper is dedicated to the investigation of a new numerical method to approximate the optimal stopping problem for a discrete-time continuous state space Markov chain under partial observations. It is based on a two-step discretization…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-02-16 Benoîte de Saporta , François Dufour , Christophe Nivot

In this paper we discuss weak convergence of continuous-time Markov chains to a non-symmetric pure jump process. We approach this problem using Dirichlet forms as well as semimartingales. As an application, we discuss how to approximate a…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-23 Ante Mimica , Nikola Sandrić , René L. Schilling

The purpose of this review is to present a comprehensive overview of the theory of ensemble Kalman-Bucy filtering for continuous-time, linear-Gaussian signal and observation models. We present a system of equations that describe the flow of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-06-16 Adrian N. Bishop , Pierre Del Moral

Inference and simulation in the context of high-dimensional dynamical systems remain computationally challenging problems. Some form of dimensionality reduction is required to make the problem tractable in general. In this paper, we propose…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-01-04 Jonathan Schmidt , Philipp Hennig , Jörg Nick , Filip Tronarp

The aim of this paper is to approximate a finite-state Markov process by another process with fewer states, called herein the approximating process. The approximation problem is formulated using two different methods. The first method,…

In standard treatments of stochastic filtering one first has to estimate the values of the parameters of the model. Simply running the filter without considering the reliability of this estimate does not take into account this additional…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-05 Andrew L. Allan , Samuel N. Cohen

We study a linear quadratic optimal control problem with stochastic coefficients and a terminal state constraint, which may be in force merely on a set with positive, but not necessarily full probability. Under such a partial terminal…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-11-15 Peter Bank , Moritz Voß

Real-time identification of electrical equivalent circuit models is a critical requirement in many practical systems, such as batteries and electric motors. Significant work has been done in the past developing different types of algorithms…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-01-15 Balakumar Balasingam , Krishna Pattipati

Jump Markov linear models consists of a finite number of linear state space models and a discrete variable encoding the jumps (or switches) between the different linear models. Identifying jump Markov linear models makes for a challenging…

Computation · Statistics 2015-02-17 Andreas Svensson , Thomas B. Schön , Fredrik Lindsten

In this paper, we study a generalized Kalman-Bucy filtering problem under uncertainty. The drift uncertainty for both signal process and observation process is considered and the attitude to uncertainty is characterized by a convex operator…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-11-09 Shaolin Ji , Chuiliu Kong , Chuanfeng Sun , Ji-Feng Zhang