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Cox processes model overdispersed point process data via a latent stochastic intensity, but both nonparametric estimation of the intensity model and posterior inference over intensity paths are typically intractable, relying on expensive…
A unified geometric approach for the stability analysis of traveling pulse solutions for reaction-diffusion equations with skew-gradient structure has been established in a previous paper [9], but essentially no results have been found in…
We show that the occurrence of chaotic diffusion in a typical class of time-delayed systems with linear instantaneous and nonlinear delayed term can be well described by an anti-persistent random walk. We numerically investigate the…
In this paper we establish a diffusion limit for a multivariate continuous time Markov chain whose components are indexed by vertices of a finite graph. The components take values in a common finite set of non-negative integers and evolve…
Let $(X_n)$ be a Markov chain on a standard borelian space $\mathbb{X}$. Any stopping time $\tau$ such that $\mathbb{E}_x\tau$ is finite for all $x\in\mathbb{X}$ induces a Markov chain in $\mathbb{X}$. In this article, we show that there is…
We consider the problem of learning two families of time-evolving random measures from indirect observations. In the first model, the signal is a Fleming--Viot diffusion, which is reversible with respect to the law of a Dirichlet process,…
Switching dynamical systems provide a powerful, interpretable modeling framework for inference in time-series data in, e.g., the natural sciences or engineering applications. Since many areas, such as biology or discrete-event systems, are…
This paper uses the generator approach of Stein's method to analyze the gap between steady-state distributions of Markov chains and diffusion processes. Until now, the standard way to invoke Stein's method for this problem was to use the…
Consider a system of interacting particles indexed by the nodes of a graph whose vertices are equipped with marks representing parameters of the model such as the environment or initial data. Each particle takes values in a countable state…
Starting from the overdamped Langevin dynamics in $\mathbb{R}^n$, $$ dX_t = -\nabla V(X_t) dt + \sqrt{2 \beta^{-1}} dW_t, $$ we consider a scalar Markov process $\xi_t$ which approximates the dynamics of the first component $X^1_t$. In the…
Reaction-diffusion systems have been proposed as a model for pattern formation and morphogenesis. The Fickian diffusion typically employed in these constructions model the Brownian motion of particles. The biological and chemical elements…
We construct a stationary Markov process corresponding to the evolution of masses and distances of subtrees along the spine from the root to a branch point in a conjectured stationary, continuum random tree-valued diffusion that was…
We study the long-term qualitative behavior of randomly perturbed dynamical systems. More specifically, we look at limit cycles of stochastic differential equations (SDE) with Markovian switching, in which the process switches at random…
Generative diffusion models and many stochastic models in science and engineering naturally live in infinite dimensions before discretisation. To incorporate observed data for statistical and learning tasks, one needs to condition on…
We develop exact Markov chain Monte Carlo methods for discretely-sampled, directly and indirectly observed diffusions. The qualification "exact" refers to the fact that the invariant and limiting distribution of the Markov chains is the…
We study a nonlinear branching diffusion process in the sense of McKean, i.e., where particles are subjected to a mean-field interaction. We consider first a strong formulation of the problem and we provide an existence and uniqueness…
We consider a hidden Markov model, where the signal process, given by a diffusion, is only indirectly observed through some noisy measurements. The article develops a variational method for approximating the hidden states of the signal…
In this paper, we consider the problem of joint parameter estimation for drift and diffusion coefficients of a stochastic McKean-Vlasov equation and for the associated system of interacting particles. The analysis is provided in a general…
We compute exact values respectively bounds of "distances" - in the sense of (transforms of) power divergences and relative entropy - between two discrete-time Galton-Watson branching processes with immigration GWI for which the offspring…
Consider the mutually catalytic branching process with finite branching rate $\gamma$. We show that as $\gamma\to\infty$, this process converges in finite-dimensional distributions (in time) to a certain discontinuous process. We give…