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Related papers: On Correlated Defaults and Incomplete Information

200 papers

We study models of regulatory breakup, in the spirit of Strong and Fouque [Ann. Finance 7 (2011) 349-374] but with a fluctuating number of companies. An important class of market models is based on systems of competing Brownian particles:…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-23 Ioannis Karatzas , Andrey Sarantsev

We consider a structural model where the survival/default state is observed together with a noisy version of the firm value process. This assumption makes the model more realistic than most of the existing alternatives, but triggers…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-09-05 Cheikh Mbaye , Abass Sagna , Frédéric Vrins

We introduce a dynamic model in which a developer incrementally improves a product of uncertain quality over time, with the quality evolving as a controlled Brownian motion. At each moment in time, the developer can continue exploring by…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-07-22 Santiago Oliveros

In this paper, we investigate a Brownian motion (BM) with purely time dependent drift and difusion by suggesting and examining several Brownian functionals which characterize the lifetime and reactivity of such stochastic processes. We…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-09-15 Ashutosh Dubey , Malay Bandyopadhyay , A. M. Jayannavar

We study the implementability of stable matchings in a two-sided market model with one-sided incomplete information. Firms' types are publicly known, whereas workers' types are private information. A mechanism generates a matching and…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-12-23 Dinko Dimitrov , Dipjyoti Majumdar

The problem of existence of arbitrage free and monotone CDO term structure models is studied. Conditions for positivity and monotonicity of the corresponding Heath-Jarrow-Morton-Musiela equation for the $x$-forward rates with the use of the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-12-11 Michał Barski

In this paper we are concerned with backward stochastic differential equations with random default time and their applications to default risk. The equations are driven by Brownian motion as well as a mutually independent martingale…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-10-13 Shige Peng , Xiaoming Xu

A Value-at-Risk based model is proposed to compute the adequate equity capital necessary to cover potential losses due to operational risks, such as human and system process failures, in banking organizations. Exploring the analogy to a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Reimer Kuehn , Peter Neu

Measuring the corporate default risk is broadly important in economics and finance. Quantitative methods have been developed to predictively assess future corporate default probabilities. However, as a more difficult yet crucial problem,…

Applications · Statistics 2018-04-26 Miao Yuan , Cheng Yong Tang , Yili Hong , Jian Yang

We present a diagrammatic formulation of a theory for the time dependence of density fluctuations in equilibrium systems of interacting Brownian particles. To facilitate derivation of the diagrammatic expansion we introduce a basis that…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-13 Grzegorz Szamel

A new framework for asset pricing based on modelling the information available to market participants is presented. Each asset is characterised by the cash flows it generates. Each cash flow is expressed as a function of one or more…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Andrea Macrina

In this paper we develop a tractable structural model with analytical default probabilities depending on some dynamics parameters, and we show how to calibrate the model using a chosen number of Credit Default Swap (CDS) market quotes. We…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2009-12-17 Damiano Brigo , Marco Tarenghi

Based on analytical and numerical calculations we study the dynamics of an overdamped colloidal particle moving in two dimensions under time-delayed, non-linear feedback control. Specifically, the particle is subject to a force derived from…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2025-03-07 Robin A. Kopp , Sabine H. L. Klapp

We show that financial correlations exhibit a non-trivial dynamic behavior. We introduce a simple phenomenological model of a multi-asset financial market, which takes into account the impact of portfolio investment on price dynamics. This…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-11 Giacomo Raffaelli , Matteo Marsili

We address the so-called calibration problem which consists of fitting in a tractable way a given model to a specified term structure like, e.g., yield or default probability curves. Time-homogeneous jump-diffusions like Vasicek or…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-01-27 Cheikh Mbaye , Frédéric Vrins

The stochastic motion of a particle with long-range correlated increments (the moving phase) which is intermittently interrupted by immobilizations (the traping phase) in a disordered medium is considered in the presence of an external…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-08-31 Yingjie Liang , Wei Wang , Ralf Metzler

The research reveals the existence of a constant characteristic time of preparatory micro-structural processes before the onset of macro-failure at various high loading rates of brittle and quasi-brittle materials. The presence of this…

Materials Science · Physics 2023-01-23 Ivan Smirnov

The probability of default (PD) estimation is an important process for financial institutions. The difficulty of the estimation depends on the correlations between borrowers. In this paper, we introduce a hierarchical Bayesian estimation…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-05-19 Masato Hisakado , Shintaro Mori

We propose a novel credit default model that takes into account the impact of macroeconomic information and contagion effect on the defaults of obligors. We use a set-valued Markov chain to model the default process, which is the set of all…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-08-31 Dianfa Chen , Jun Deng , Jianfen Feng , Bin Zou

We consider a pair $(X,Y)$ of stochastic processes satisfying the equation $dX=a(X)Y\,dB$ driven by a Brownian motion and study the monotonicity and continuity in $y$ of the value function $v(x,y)=\sup_{\tau}E_{x,y}[e^{-q\tau}g(X_{\tau})]$,…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-05-19 Sigurd Assing , Saul Jacka , Adriana Ocejo