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Related papers: On Correlated Defaults and Incomplete Information

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In this article we consider an optimization problem of expected utility maximization of continuous-time trading in a financial market. This trading is constrained by a benchmark for a utility-based shortfall risk measure. The market…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-10-28 Oliver Janke

Survival analysis has become a standard approach for modelling time to default by time-varying covariates in credit risk. Unlike most existing methods that implicitly assume a stationary data-generating process, in practise, mortgage…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-29 Jianwei Peng , Stefan Lessmann

This paper presents an overview of information-based asset pricing. In this approach, an asset is defined by its cash-flow structure. The market is assumed to have access to "partial" information about future cash flows. Each cash flow is…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2012-01-31 Dorje C. Brody , Lane P. Hughston , Andrea Macrina

In finance, durations between successive transactions are usually modeled by the autoregressive conditional duration model based on a continuous distribution omitting zero values. Zero or close-to-zero durations can be caused by either…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-09 Francisco Blasques , Vladimír Holý , Petra Tomanová

Brownian motion in one or more dimensions is extensively used as a stochastic process to model natural and engineering signals, as well as financial data. Most works dealing with multidimensional Brownian motion consider the different…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-03-10 Michał Balcerek , Adrian Pacheco-Pozo , Agnieszka Wyłomanska , Krzysztof Burnecki , Diego Krapf

This paper explores the continuous-time limit of a class of Quasi Score-Driven (QSD) models that characterize volatility. As the sampling frequency increases and the time interval tends to zero, the model weakly converges to a…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-06 Yinhao Wu , Ping He

We study causal inference for time-to-event outcomes under right censoring in the presence of unmeasured confounding. Focusing on structural accelerated failure time models, we develop an identification and inference framework that exploits…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-29 Qiushi Bu , Wen Su , Xinyu Zhang , Xingqiu Zhao , Zhonghua Liu

We introduce a continuum model describing data losses in a single node of a packet-switched network (like the Internet) which preserves the discrete nature of the data loss process. {\em By construction}, the model has critical behavior…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2009-11-13 A. S. Stepanenko , C. C. Constantinou , I. V. Yurkevich , I. V. Lerner

The analysis of high-frequency financial data is often impeded by the presence of noise. This article is motivated by intraday return data in which market microstructure noise appears to be rough, that is, best captured by a continuous-time…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-12 Carsten H. Chong , Thomas Delerue , Guoying Li

The structural default model of Lipton and Sepp, 2009 is generalized for a set of banks with mutual interbank liabilities whose assets are driven by correlated Levy processes with idiosyncratic and common components. The multi-dimensional…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-11-25 Andrey Itkin , Alexander Lipton

Pricing formulae for defaultable corporate bonds with discrete coupons under consideration of the government taxes in the united model of structural and reduced form models are provided. The aim of this paper is to generalize the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2013-10-22 Hyong-Chol O , Song-Yon Kim , Dong-Hyok Kim , Chol-Hyok Pak

Let $(W_1(s), W_2(t)), s,t\ge 0$ be a bivariate Brownian motion with standard Brownian motion marginals and constant correlation $\rho \in (-1,1).$ Parisian ruin is defined as a classical ruin that happens over an extended period of time,…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-28 Konrad Krystecki

We study the pricing of credit derivatives with asymmetric information. The managers have complete information on the value process of the firm and on the default threshold, while the investors on the market have only partial observations,…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2010-02-18 Caroline Hillairet , Ying Jiao

The modeling of the probability of joint default or total number of defaults among the firms is one of the crucial problems to mitigate the credit risk since the default correlations significantly affect the portfolio loss distribution and…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-08-08 Puneet Pasricha , Dharmaraja Selvamuthu , Selvaraju Natarajan

Stochastic processes time-changed by an inverse subordinator have been suggested as a way to model the price of assets in illiquid markets, where the jumps of the subordinator correspond to periods of time where one is unable to sell an…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-18 Joonyong Choi , David Clancy

In several examples, dualities for interacting diffusion and particle systems permit the study of the longtime behavior of solutions. A particularly difficult model in which many techniques collapse is a two-type model with mutually…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-12-23 Leif Doering , Leonid Mytnik

In this paper we present a novel approach for firm default probability estimation. The methodology is based on multivariate contingent claim analysis and pair copula constructions. For each considered firm, balance sheet data are used to…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-08-24 Luciana Dalla Valle , Maria Elena De Giuli , Claudia Tarantola , Claudio Manelli

We study the martingale property and moment explosions of a signature volatility model, where the volatility process of the log-price is given by a linear form of the signature of a time-extended Brownian motion. Excluding trivial cases, we…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-04 Eduardo Abi Jaber , Paul Gassiat , Dimitri Sotnikov

We present the qGaussian generalization of the Merton framework, which takes into account slow fluctuations of the volatility of the firms market value of financial assets. The minimal version of the model depends on the Tsallis entropic…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-10-28 Yuri A. Katz

In this short paper, we study the simulation of a large system of stochastic processes subject to a common driving noise and fast mean-reverting stochastic volatilities. This model may be used to describe the firm values of a large pool of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-10-13 Andrei Cozma , Christoph Reisinger
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